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All Games Wednesday, January 30, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Nuggets
70%117
105
26
Pelicans
30%110
99
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
108.29794.2
NOP logo NOP
101.098101.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PelicansNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PelicansNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENNOP
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
100%
99
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.06 53.0%
NOP
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
25
38
66%
NOP
15
30
50%
Midrange
DEN
8
21
38%
NOP
7
23
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
9
13.5
30
30%
45%
NOP
15
22.5
36
42%
63%
Free Throws
DEN
12
19
63%
NOP
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2292%11.0 / 12
M. Morris2083%10.0 / 12
N. Jokić2067%10.0 / 15
P. Millsap1365%6.5 / 10
G. Harris932%4.5 / 14
M. Plumlee956%4.5 / 8
W. Barton844%4.0 / 9
T. Lyles429%2.0 / 7
T. Craig0-0.0 / 1
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Holiday2269%11.0 / 16
K. Williams2188%10.5 / 12
D. Miller1554%7.5 / 14
J. Okafor1447%7.0 / 15
F. Jackson956%4.5 / 8
I. Clark633%3.0 / 9
C. Diallo638%3.0 / 8
T. Frazier450%2.0 / 4
S. Hill225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
88
+9
-9
97
NOP
84
+13
-14
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.06 53.0%
NOP
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
111.3
DEN 108.2 +7.2
NOP 101.0
Pace
98.0
103.4
DEN 94.2
NOP 101.0 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
13.7
DEN 15.3
NOP 14.3 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
52.9%
DEN 52.2% +2.2%
NOP 50.0%
TO %
13.1%
14.0%
DEN 9.3% +4.4%
NOP 13.7%
ORB %
26.6%
24.1%
DEN 13.0%
NOP 17.8% +4.8%
FTrt
23.2
25.4
DEN 21.3 +6.7
NOP 14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
61.9%
DEN 73.8% +0.8%
NOP 73.0%
STL %
7.9%
7.2%
DEN 10.3% +6.2%
NOP 4.1%
BLK %
8.2%
9.1%
DEN 13.2% +6.4%
NOP 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
55.3%
DEN 53.0% +2.0%
NOP 51.0%
Rim FG%
59.6%
62.1%
DEN 65.8% +15.8%
NOP 50.0%
Mid FG%
43.3%
41.1%
DEN 38.1% +7.7%
NOP 30.4%
3P %
35.1%
34.4%
DEN 30.0%
NOP 41.7% +11.7%
FT %
75.5%
76.1%
DEN 63.2%
NOP 76.9% +13.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
40.2%
DEN 42.7% +9.0%
NOP 33.7%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
27.4%
DEN 23.6% +2.2%
NOP 25.8%
3P Att. %
34.8%
32.4%
DEN 33.7%
NOP 40.4% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENNOP
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points10599
Rebounds4348
Assists3127
Steals104
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)14 (1)
Fouls1720
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)40 (2)
Field Goals42-8937-89
At-the-Rim FG25-3815-30
Midrange FG8-217-23
2-Point FG33-5922-53
3-Point FG9-3015-36
Free Throws12-1910-13
Fast Break Pts1811
2nd Chance Pts712
Points in Paint6242
Pts off Turnovers2614
Bench Points3537
Biggest Lead114

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
8 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
39.8
20
83%
7
7
2
0
0
0
0
7
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
3-4
75%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
37.1
20
67%
13
10
3
2
2
2
1
12
2-2
100%
9-14
64%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
33.9
9
32%
2
4
3
1
2
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
2-9
22%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
33.6
13
65%
8
2
0
2
1
3
4
4
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
#5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 28
26.0
8
44%
3
2
0
1
1
3
0
3
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
29.4
22
92%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
5-8
63%
4-6
67%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
14.4
9
56%
4
1
0
0
1
3
1
3
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
10.9
4
29%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
7.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
4.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back Surgery
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
53%
43
31
10
7
9
17
6
37
12-19
63%
33-59
56%
9-30
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.