FinalWin Prob.pScore
2921%100
105
1379%111
89
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
112.99396.3
MIA logo MIA
96.79289.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
100%
89
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.19 59.7%
MIA
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
18
33
55%
MIA
13
29
45%
Midrange
CHI
14
26
54%
MIA
9
18
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
MIA
12
18.0
42
29%
43%
Free Throws
CHI
17
21
81%
MIA
9
13
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Portis2672%13.0 / 18
W. Selden2091%10.0 / 11
K. Dunn1447%7.0 / 15
L. Markkanen1441%7.0 / 17
R. Lopez1381%6.5 / 8
R. Arcidiacono975%4.5 / 6
B. Sampson5125%2.5 / 2
S. Harrison4100%2.0 / 2
J. Parker0-0.0 / 1
A. Blakeney0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Johnson1563%7.5 / 12
J. Winslow1441%7.0 / 17
W. Ellington1350%6.5 / 13
B. Adebayo1381%6.5 / 8
J. Richardson1246%6.0 / 13
H. Whiteside857%4.0 / 7
K. Olynyk6100%3.0 / 3
D. Waiters630%3.0 / 10
J. Johnson217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
81
+7
-12
88
MIA
78
+18
-14
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.19 59.7%
MIA
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
107.5
CHI 112.9
MIA 96.7 +16.2
Pace
98.9
98.1
CHI 96.3 +7.2
MIA 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.0
CHI 15.0 +1.2
MIA 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
51.5%
CHI 56.4% +11.5%
MIA 44.9%
TO %
13.5%
14.3%
CHI 13.0% +0.7%
MIA 13.7%
ORB %
19.4%
24.8%
CHI 13.5%
MIA 30.0% +16.5%
FTrt
23.5
24.7
CHI 26.9 +12.3
MIA 14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
61.2%
CHI 65.0% +0.3%
MIA 64.7%
STL %
7.3%
7.8%
CHI 6.5%
MIA 6.5%
BLK %
7.7%
10.2%
CHI 6.4% +3.0%
MIA 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
52.9%
CHI 59.7% +13.8%
MIA 45.9%
Rim FG%
57.5%
60.8%
CHI 54.5% +9.7%
MIA 44.8%
Mid FG%
39.8%
36.8%
CHI 53.8% +3.8%
MIA 50.0%
3P %
35.1%
34.9%
CHI 42.1% +13.5%
MIA 28.6%
FT %
78.3%
69.5%
CHI 81.0% +11.8%
MIA 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
37.3%
CHI 42.3% +9.7%
MIA 32.6%
Mid Att. %
31.3%
25.9%
CHI 33.3%
MIA 20.2% +13.1%
3P Att. %
29.5%
36.8%
CHI 24.4%
MIA 47.2% +22.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points10589
Rebounds4047
Assists2622
Steals66
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)14 (1)
Fouls2020
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals40-7834-89
At-the-Rim FG18-3313-29
Midrange FG14-269-18
2-Point FG32-5922-47
3-Point FG8-1912-42
Free Throws17-219-13
Fast Break Pts136
2nd Chance Pts615
Points in Paint4836
Pts off Turnovers2314
Bench Points3540
Biggest Lead206

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#14 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 24
35.4
20
91%
2
8
1
0
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
4-6
67%
#32 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 25
34.4
14
47%
5
8
2
0
3
3
1
4
1-3
33%
5-13
38%
1-1
100%
#51 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25
34.1
9
75%
6
3
2
0
1
4
1
5
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
#24 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 22
33.9
14
41%
13
4
0
0
2
3
1
12
6-7
86%
4-10
40%
0-5
0%
#42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 31
23.5
13
81%
1
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
1-1
100%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 24
24.5
26
72%
4
2
0
1
3
4
1
3
4-4
100%
8-14
57%
2-3
67%
#3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
24.2
4
100%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#2 · SF · 6'8" 250 · 24
14.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#44 · NA · 6'5" 184 · 22
11.9
5
125%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
#9 · SG · 6'4" 197 · 22
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
#6 · PF · 6'9" 280 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 35
Inactive - Trade Pending
#45 · PG · 6'6" 214 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Surgery
#34 · PF · 6'10" 270 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thumb Surgery
#15 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Toe Injury
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
60%
40
26
6
3
12
20
5
35
17-21
81%
32-59
54%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.