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All Games Wednesday, January 30, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
20
Hornets
31%105
94
6
Celtics
69%112
126
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
97.99697.5
BOS logo BOS
135.59391.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHABOS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.94
0%
126
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.99 49.5%
BOS
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
16
31
52%
BOS
28
35
80%
Midrange
CHA
10
18
56%
BOS
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
13
19.5
40
33%
49%
BOS
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
Free Throws
CHA
3
7
43%
BOS
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2155%10.5 / 19
M. Monk1662%8.0 / 13
N. Batum1359%6.5 / 11
M. Williams10125%5.0 / 4
J. Lamb650%3.0 / 6
D. Graham633%3.0 / 9
M. Kidd-Gilchrist675%3.0 / 4
D. Bacon563%2.5 / 4
F. Kaminsky338%1.5 / 4
B. Biyombo233%1.0 / 3
M. Bridges220%1.0 / 5
W. Hernangomez2100%1.0 / 1
J. Chealey233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown2467%12.0 / 18
J. Tatum2067%10.0 / 15
T. Rozier1785%8.5 / 10
M. Morris1563%7.5 / 12
A. Horford1478%7.0 / 9
G. Hayward1255%6.0 / 11
S. Ojeleye770%3.5 / 5
B. Wanamaker583%2.5 / 3
D. Theis583%2.5 / 3
M. Smart325%1.5 / 6
A. Baynes250%1.0 / 2
G. Yabusele2-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
84
+11
-12
95
BOS
83
+16
-10
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.99 49.5%
BOS
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
111.8
CHA 97.9 +37.6
BOS 135.5
Pace
98.7
100.0
CHA 97.5 +5.9
BOS 91.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.2
CHA 14.8 +0.9
BOS 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
53.4%
CHA 51.1%
BOS 62.2% +11.1%
TO %
11.7%
12.4%
CHA 11.5%
BOS 11.0% +0.5%
ORB %
21.9%
21.7%
CHA 14.6%
BOS 33.3% +18.7%
FTrt
25.7
21.5
CHA 7.9
BOS 17.8 +9.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
62.4%
CHA 51.3%
BOS 68.0% +16.7%
STL %
7.2%
8.5%
CHA 7.3%
BOS 10.8% +3.5%
BLK %
8.9%
9.7%
CHA 8.2%
BOS 14.3% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
55.3%
CHA 49.5%
BOS 63.0% +13.5%
Rim FG%
56.9%
61.6%
CHA 51.6%
BOS 80.0% +28.4%
Mid FG%
41.7%
43.1%
CHA 55.6% +17.1%
BOS 38.5%
3P %
35.1%
36.5%
CHA 32.5%
BOS 41.4% +8.9%
FT %
79.7%
80.2%
CHA 42.9%
BOS 87.5% +44.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
32.1%
CHA 34.8%
BOS 38.9% +4.1%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
29.8%
CHA 20.2% +8.7%
BOS 28.9%
3P Att. %
37.8%
38.1%
CHA 44.9% +12.7%
BOS 32.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHABOS
Possessions9693
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points94126
Rebounds3153
Assists2034
Steals710
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)10 (2)
Fouls1714
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)41 (0)
Field Goals39-8950-90
At-the-Rim FG16-3128-35
Midrange FG10-1810-26
2-Point FG26-4938-61
3-Point FG13-4012-29
Free Throws3-714-16
Fast Break Pts419
2nd Chance Pts1327
Points in Paint4264
Pts off Turnovers1922
Bench Points4257
Biggest Lead235

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
20 Charlotte Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Marvin Williams
#2 · PF · 6'9" 237 · 33
27.4
10
125%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
Nicolas Batum
#5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
26.6
13
59%
2
4
2
0
3
3
2
0
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
Kemba Walker
#15 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 29
26.5
21
55%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
7-13
54%
2-7
29%
Jeremy Lamb
#3 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 27
23.2
6
50%
5
1
0
0
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
Bismack Biyombo
#8 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
13.6
2
33%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Malik Monk
#1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 21
25.9
16
62%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
3-10
30%
Miles Bridges
#0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 21
21.9
2
20%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
Devonte' Graham
#4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
18.9
6
33%
1
3
1
0
2
1
0
1
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
#14 · SF · 6'7" 232 · 25
18.9
6
75%
1
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
Dwayne Bacon
#7 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 23
12.0
5
63%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
Frank Kaminsky
#44 · PF · 7'0" 242 · 26
8.8
3
38%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
Willy Hernangomez
#41 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25
8.6
2
100%
2
2
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Joe Chealey
#31 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23
7.8
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
#9 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
Cody Zeller
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand Surgery
J.P. Macura
#55 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
50%
31
20
7
5
12
17
7
24
3-7
43%
26-49
53%
13-40
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.