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All Games Monday, January 28, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Nuggets
57%105
95
16
Grizzlies
43%103
92
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
101.194102.9
MEM logo MEM
97.99486.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMEM
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.95
100%
92
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.02 51.1%
MEM
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
28
64%
MEM
15
21
71%
Midrange
DEN
11
21
52%
MEM
11
25
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
36
22%
33%
MEM
9
13.5
32
28%
42%
Free Throws
DEN
13
14
93%
MEM
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2460%12.0 / 20
W. Barton2067%10.0 / 15
M. Beasley1869%9.0 / 13
G. Harris1146%5.5 / 12
M. Morris964%4.5 / 7
T. Craig563%2.5 / 4
P. Millsap429%2.0 / 7
M. Plumlee440%2.0 / 5
T. Lyles0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Gasol2870%14.0 / 20
M. Conley2368%11.5 / 17
J. Holiday956%4.5 / 8
K. Anderson956%4.5 / 8
J. Jackson840%4.0 / 10
J. Noah758%3.5 / 6
B. Caboclo550%2.5 / 5
S. Mack338%1.5 / 4
I. Rabb0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
79
+12
-15
91
MEM
75
+12
-19
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.02 51.1%
MEM
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
106.1
DEN 101.1
MEM 97.9 +3.2
Pace
98.0
96.6
DEN 102.9 +16.3
MEM 86.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.4
DEN 14.0 +2.6
MEM 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
50.8%
DEN 48.2%
MEM 50.6% +2.4%
TO %
13.1%
13.5%
DEN 14.1% +4.7%
MEM 18.8%
ORB %
26.6%
20.1%
DEN 21.4%
MEM 24.3% +2.9%
FTrt
23.2
27.2
DEN 16.5
MEM 24.4 +7.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
63.1%
DEN 45.9%
MEM 74.3% +28.4%
STL %
7.9%
8.5%
DEN 10.6% +5.3%
MEM 5.3%
BLK %
8.2%
10.7%
DEN 4.3%
MEM 14.3% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
53.4%
DEN 51.1%
MEM 52.9% +1.8%
Rim FG%
59.6%
59.9%
DEN 64.3%
MEM 71.4% +7.1%
Mid FG%
43.3%
40.0%
DEN 52.4% +8.4%
MEM 44.0%
3P %
35.1%
34.2%
DEN 22.2%
MEM 28.1% +5.9%
FT %
75.5%
77.2%
DEN 92.9% +24.5%
MEM 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
34.8%
DEN 32.9% +6.0%
MEM 26.9%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
31.0%
DEN 24.7% +7.3%
MEM 32.1%
3P Att. %
34.8%
34.2%
DEN 42.4% +1.3%
MEM 41.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMEM
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points9592
Rebounds3742
Assists1726
Steals105
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)19 (1)
Fouls1822
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (8)33 (2)
Field Goals37-8535-78
At-the-Rim FG18-2815-21
Midrange FG11-2111-25
2-Point FG29-4926-46
3-Point FG8-369-32
Free Throws13-1413-19
Fast Break Pts1316
2nd Chance Pts169
Points in Paint4844
Pts off Turnovers3012
Bench Points3115
Biggest Lead325

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
9 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Will Barton
#5 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 28
35.7
20
67%
5
2
1
0
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
7-9
78%
2-6
33%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
34.6
24
60%
5
3
4
0
4
3
1
4
3-3
100%
9-12
75%
1-8
13%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
31.4
11
46%
4
3
0
0
2
4
1
3
3-3
100%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
29.3
4
29%
5
1
1
1
2
4
0
5
4-4
100%
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
20.7
5
63%
4
2
3
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
24.6
9
64%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
24.4
18
69%
3
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
18.7
4
40%
7
2
0
0
2
3
3
4
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
13.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Surgery
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Surgery
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
51%
37
17
10
2
15
18
9
28
13-14
93%
29-49
59%
8-36
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.