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All Games Sunday, January 27, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
12
Wizards
45%111
119
13
Spurs
55%113
132
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
117.8101103.7
SAS logo SAS
129.410299.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.119
0%
132
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.16 57.8%
SAS
1.33 66.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
12
19
63%
SAS
18
25
72%
Midrange
WAS
10
24
42%
SAS
15
27
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
18
27.0
46
39%
59%
SAS
16
24.0
34
47%
71%
Free Throws
WAS
21
29
72%
SAS
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Beal2153%10.5 / 20
T. Satoransky2175%10.5 / 14
T. Ariza2050%10.0 / 20
J. Green1568%7.5 / 11
T. Bryant1575%7.5 / 10
O. Porter Jr.1354%6.5 / 12
C. Randle1192%5.5 / 6
T. Brown Jr.338%1.5 / 4
J. McRae0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge3075%15.0 / 20
D. Bertans21105%10.5 / 10
B. Forbes16100%8.0 / 8
D. White1689%8.0 / 9
P. Mills1575%7.5 / 10
M. Belinelli1393%6.5 / 7
R. Gay1146%5.5 / 12
P. Gasol550%2.5 / 5
J. Poeltl467%2.0 / 3
C. Metu117%0.5 / 3
L. Walker IV0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
92
+11
-9
103
SAS
87
+12
-15
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.16 57.8%
SAS
1.33 66.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
112.6
WAS 117.8
SAS 129.4 +11.6
Pace
101.7
98.6
WAS 103.7 +4.2
SAS 99.4
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
15.0
WAS 13.9 +0.6
SAS 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
53.4%
WAS 55.1%
SAS 66.3% +11.2%
TO %
13.2%
11.9%
WAS 8.1% +6.3%
SAS 14.4%
ORB %
21.2%
20.9%
WAS 16.0%
SAS 22.6% +6.6%
FTrt
26.6
23.7
WAS 32.6 +8.2
SAS 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
58.0%
WAS 80.0% +16.7%
SAS 63.3%
STL %
8.1%
6.2%
WAS 10.9% +5.0%
SAS 5.9%
BLK %
8.0%
8.3%
WAS 0.0%
SAS 9.3% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.6%
56.0%
WAS 57.8%
SAS 66.7% +8.9%
Rim FG%
64.0%
62.7%
WAS 63.2%
SAS 72.0% +8.8%
Mid FG%
40.0%
44.0%
WAS 41.7%
SAS 55.6% +13.9%
3P %
34.0%
39.2%
WAS 39.1%
SAS 47.1% +8.0%
FT %
76.8%
81.8%
WAS 72.4%
SAS 85.7% +13.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
27.8%
WAS 21.3%
SAS 29.1% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
43.7%
WAS 27.0% +4.4%
SAS 31.4%
3P Att. %
37.0%
28.6%
WAS 51.7% +12.2%
SAS 39.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsWASSAS
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points119132
Rebounds3249
Assists3231
Steals116
Blocks04
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)15 (1)
Fouls1820
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)42 (0)
Field Goals40-8949-86
At-the-Rim FG12-1918-25
Midrange FG10-2415-27
2-Point FG22-4333-52
3-Point FG18-4616-34
Free Throws21-2918-21
Fast Break Pts1924
2nd Chance Pts88
Points in Paint3244
Pts off Turnovers247
Bench Points2754
Biggest Lead521

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
12 Washington Wizards
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Trevor Ariza
#1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 34
41.9
20
50%
4
2
2
0
0
1
1
3
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
4-12
33%
Bradley Beal
#3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 26
39.0
21
53%
4
7
4
0
3
3
2
2
2-3
67%
5-12
42%
3-8
38%
Tomas Satoransky
#31 · PG · 6'7" 210 · 27
36.8
21
75%
9
8
1
0
1
1
3
6
3-4
75%
6-9
67%
2-4
50%
Jeff Green
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 32
30.5
15
68%
1
3
0
0
1
5
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
Thomas Bryant
#13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 21
30.4
15
75%
10
2
0
0
1
2
1
9
4-6
67%
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
Otto Porter Jr.
#22 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 26
28.4
13
54%
1
4
3
0
2
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-8
38%
Chasson Randle
#9 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26
15.0
11
92%
1
5
1
0
1
2
0
1
5-6
83%
0-0
-
2-4
50%
Troy Brown Jr.
#6 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 20
13.9
3
38%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Jordan McRae
#52 · SG · 6'5" 179 · 28
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Sam Dekker
#8 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 25
DND - Injury/Illness | back spasms
Ian Mahinmi
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 32
DND - Injury/Illness | right thumb sprain
Devin Robinson
#7 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Payton II
#4 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | assignment
Markieff Morris
#5 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | transient cervical neuropraxia
John Wall
#2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left heel surgery
Dwight Howard
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | back surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
119
58%
32
32
11
0
9
18
8
24
21-29
72%
22-43
51%
18-46
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.