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All Games Sunday, January 27, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Raptors
61%113
123
14
Mavericks
39%109
120
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
124.29999.8
DAL logo DAL
121.29998.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.123
100%
120
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.21 60.3%
DAL
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
13
22
59%
DAL
25
35
71%
Midrange
TOR
7
27
26%
DAL
7
17
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
17
25.5
34
50%
75%
DAL
11
16.5
36
31%
46%
Free Throws
TOR
32
38
84%
DAL
23
34
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard3361%16.5 / 27
K. Lowry1963%9.5 / 15
P. Siakam1454%7.0 / 13
F. VanVleet1372%6.5 / 9
S. Ibaka1146%5.5 / 12
D. Green1083%5.0 / 6
N. Powell990%4.5 / 5
D. Wright975%4.5 / 6
O. Anunoby583%2.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić3583%17.5 / 21
H. Barnes1450%7.0 / 14
D. Smith Jr.1343%6.5 / 15
D. Finney-Smith1381%6.5 / 8
W. Matthews1260%6.0 / 10
D. Jordan1169%5.5 / 8
D. Powell8133%4.0 / 3
D. Nowitzki7175%3.5 / 2
J. Brunson4100%2.0 / 2
R. Broekhoff3150%1.5 / 1
M. Kleber0-0.0 / 2
D. Harris0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
92
+10
-7
102
DAL
88
+14
-11
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.21 60.3%
DAL
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
109.2
TOR 124.2 +3.0
DAL 121.2
Pace
100.2
99.1
TOR 99.8 +1.7
DAL 98.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
14.8
TOR 14.4 +0.2
DAL 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
51.8%
TOR 54.8%
DAL 55.1% +0.3%
TO %
13.2%
13.6%
TOR 7.4% +2.3%
DAL 9.7%
ORB %
21.8%
22.6%
TOR 18.2% +1.9%
DAL 16.3%
FTrt
24.7
29.1
TOR 45.8 +7.2
DAL 38.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
60.3%
TOR 64.9% +6.8%
DAL 58.1%
STL %
8.2%
6.5%
TOR 6.1% +1.0%
DAL 5.1%
BLK %
9.1%
7.6%
TOR 9.6% +5.5%
DAL 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
54.2%
TOR 60.3% +2.0%
DAL 58.3%
Rim FG%
61.6%
62.0%
TOR 59.1%
DAL 71.4% +12.3%
Mid FG%
43.1%
39.0%
TOR 25.9%
DAL 41.2% +15.3%
3P %
36.6%
34.0%
TOR 50.0% +19.4%
DAL 30.6%
FT %
80.4%
74.2%
TOR 84.2% +16.6%
DAL 67.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
33.8%
TOR 26.5%
DAL 39.8% +13.3%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
24.0%
TOR 32.5%
DAL 19.3% +13.2%
3P Att. %
37.9%
42.2%
TOR 41.0% +0.1%
DAL 40.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORDAL
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points123120
Rebounds4443
Assists2425
Steals65
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)11 (0)
Fouls2729
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)36 (1)
Field Goals37-8343-88
At-the-Rim FG13-2225-35
Midrange FG7-277-17
2-Point FG20-4932-52
3-Point FG17-3411-36
Free Throws32-3823-34
Fast Break Pts2314
2nd Chance Pts1010
Points in Paint3462
Pts off Turnovers179
Bench Points3635
Biggest Lead137

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
2 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
37.3
19
63%
5
9
1
2
1
4
2
3
4-4
100%
0-4
0%
5-10
50%
Pascal Siakam
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
36.6
14
54%
5
2
1
0
1
4
1
4
5-5
100%
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
Serge Ibaka
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
36.4
11
46%
11
2
1
2
0
5
1
10
5-8
63%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
34.8
33
61%
10
3
0
0
0
1
1
9
10-11
91%
7-15
47%
3-8
38%
Danny Green
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 32
31.1
10
83%
7
1
2
0
0
4
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
Fred VanVleet
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
21.2
13
72%
1
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
3-4
75%
Norman Powell
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 26
15.5
9
90%
1
0
0
0
2
5
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
Delon Wright
#55 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27
13.3
9
75%
1
1
1
1
3
1
0
1
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
OG Anunoby
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 22
10.9
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
Greg Monroe
#15 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
CJ Miles
#0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
Patrick McCaw
#1 · SG · 6'7" 185 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Loyd
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Chris Boucher
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Malachi Richardson
#22 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | On Assignment
Jonas Valanciunas
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thumb Dislocation
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
60%
44
24
6
5
7
27
8
36
32-38
84%
20-49
41%
17-34
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.