FinalWin Prob.pScore
349%114
112
751%115
118
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
105.7106114.9
OKC logo OKC
111.310698.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILOKC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.112
0%
118
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.3%
OKC
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
21
48
44%
OKC
18
33
55%
Midrange
MIL
3
6
50%
OKC
10
29
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
15
22.5
37
41%
61%
OKC
16
24.0
32
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIL
19
28
68%
OKC
14
25
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2754%13.5 / 25
K. Middleton2265%11.0 / 17
B. Lopez19136%9.5 / 7
M. Brogdon1864%9.0 / 14
E. Bledsoe1139%5.5 / 14
T. Snell867%4.0 / 6
S. Brown542%2.5 / 6
G. Hill233%1.0 / 3
D. Wilson0-0.0 / 3
E. Ilyasova0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George3686%18.0 / 21
J. Grant1657%8.0 / 14
T. Ferguson1568%7.5 / 11
S. Adams1478%7.0 / 9
D. Schröder1454%7.0 / 13
R. Westbrook1333%6.5 / 20
N. Noel643%3.0 / 7
A. Nader450%2.0 / 4
P. Patterson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
92
+13
-14
105
OKC
95
+14
-11
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.07 53.3%
OKC
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.9
110.3
MIL 105.7
OKC 111.3 +5.7
Pace
103.2
102.9
MIL 114.9 +16.6
OKC 98.4
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
13.2
MIL 12.5 +2.1
OKC 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
51.4%
MIL 51.1%
OKC 55.3% +4.2%
TO %
12.8%
13.2%
MIL 11.9%
OKC 10.3% +1.6%
ORB %
20.8%
26.0%
MIL 18.0%
OKC 21.6% +3.6%
FTrt
25.5
26.6
MIL 30.8 +4.2
OKC 26.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
54.8%
MIL 56.4%
OKC 65.9% +9.5%
STL %
7.2%
9.0%
MIL 5.7% +1.0%
OKC 4.7%
BLK %
10.4%
9.1%
MIL 8.1%
OKC 18.5% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.1%
53.5%
MIL 53.3%
OKC 54.1% +0.8%
Rim FG%
64.1%
59.6%
MIL 43.8%
OKC 54.5% +10.7%
Mid FG%
39.4%
38.6%
MIL 50.0% +15.5%
OKC 34.5%
3P %
35.2%
34.8%
MIL 40.5%
OKC 50.0% +9.5%
FT %
77.2%
71.3%
MIL 67.9% +11.9%
OKC 56.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
38.6%
MIL 52.7% +17.6%
OKC 35.1%
Mid Att. %
17.8%
26.7%
MIL 6.6% +24.3%
OKC 30.9%
3P Att. %
42.0%
34.7%
MIL 40.7% +6.6%
OKC 34.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILOKC
Possessions106106
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points112118
Rebounds4952
Assists2229
Steals65
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)11 (1)
Fouls2221
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)41 (4)
Field Goals39-9144-94
At-the-Rim FG21-4818-33
Midrange FG3-610-29
2-Point FG24-5428-62
3-Point FG15-3716-32
Free Throws19-2814-25
Fast Break Pts815
2nd Chance Pts1213
Points in Paint4444
Pts off Turnovers1120
Bench Points1524
Biggest Lead819

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 24
34.7
27
54%
18
4
1
0
4
4
4
14
8-12
67%
5-17
29%
3-5
60%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 27
34.2
22
65%
4
6
1
0
2
2
0
4
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
3-7
43%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
32.6
18
64%
6
4
0
0
0
6
2
4
3-4
75%
6-9
67%
1-5
20%
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 29
31.4
11
39%
6
3
1
0
4
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-10
40%
1-4
25%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 31
30.5
19
136%
4
2
1
2
1
3
0
4
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
5-6
83%
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 33
21.3
2
33%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#23 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 24
20.4
5
42%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 23
16.0
0
0%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#21 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 27
14.3
8
67%
3
0
0
1
1
3
1
2
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
#77 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 32
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · C · 7'1" 223 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
#50 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way Contract
#9 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bilateral Heel Bursitis
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | On Assignment
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way Contract
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
53%
49
22
6
5
14
22
9
40
19-28
68%
24-54
44%
15-37
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.