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All Games Saturday, January 26, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
76ers
41%111
110
9
Nuggets
59%114
126
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
104.8105112.2
DEN logo DEN
118.910699.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Nuggets76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Nuggets76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.110
0%
126
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.04 51.9%
DEN
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
19
36
53%
DEN
31
49
63%
Midrange
PHI
5
19
26%
DEN
9
21
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
14
21.0
36
39%
58%
DEN
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
Free Throws
PHI
20
27
74%
DEN
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Redick2258%11.0 / 19
C. Brewer2063%10.0 / 16
B. Simmons1948%9.5 / 20
S. Milton1179%5.5 / 7
M. Muscala1056%5.0 / 9
L. Shamet867%4.0 / 6
F. Korkmaz7117%3.5 / 3
T. McConnell536%2.5 / 7
A. Johnson550%2.5 / 5
J. Bolden338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić3270%16.0 / 23
M. Plumlee1785%8.5 / 10
W. Barton1667%8.0 / 12
T. Craig1558%7.5 / 13
M. Beasley1464%7.0 / 11
M. Morris1045%5.0 / 11
G. Harris945%4.5 / 10
T. Lyles758%3.5 / 6
P. Millsap467%2.0 / 3
B. Goodwin2-0.0 / 0
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
93
+11
-12
104
DEN
96
+16
-10
112
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.04 51.9%
DEN
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.0
112.6
PHI 104.8
DEN 118.9 +14.1
Pace
102.2
98.0
PHI 112.2 +12.5
DEN 99.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
14.7
PHI 12.8 +1.6
DEN 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.2%
52.7%
PHI 49.5%
DEN 55.3% +5.8%
TO %
14.0%
13.1%
PHI 10.4%
DEN 9.3% +1.1%
ORB %
24.5%
26.6%
PHI 20.0%
DEN 26.2% +6.2%
FTrt
31.2
23.2
PHI 29.7
DEN 30.9 +1.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
65.3%
PHI 76.3% +20.0%
DEN 56.3%
STL %
7.2%
7.9%
PHI 6.7% +2.9%
DEN 3.8%
BLK %
8.6%
8.2%
PHI 2.9%
DEN 7.3% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.1%
54.5%
PHI 51.9%
DEN 57.3% +5.4%
Rim FG%
63.0%
59.6%
PHI 52.8%
DEN 63.3% +10.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
43.3%
PHI 26.3%
DEN 42.9% +16.6%
3P %
35.9%
35.1%
PHI 38.9% +5.6%
DEN 33.3%
FT %
77.1%
75.5%
PHI 74.1%
DEN 75.9% +1.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
37.5%
PHI 39.6%
DEN 52.1% +12.6%
Mid Att. %
29.5%
27.7%
PHI 20.9% +1.5%
DEN 22.3%
3P Att. %
34.2%
34.8%
PHI 39.6% +14.0%
DEN 25.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPHIDEN
Possessions105106
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points110126
Rebounds4151
Assists2927
Steals74
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)10 (1)
Fouls2421
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)40 (2)
Field Goals38-9148-94
At-the-Rim FG19-3631-49
Midrange FG5-199-21
2-Point FG24-5540-70
3-Point FG14-368-24
Free Throws20-2722-29
Fast Break Pts1213
2nd Chance Pts1012
Points in Paint4074
Pts off Turnovers1014
Bench Points4150
Biggest Lead018

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
16 Philadelphia 76ers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Ben Simmons
#25 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 23
35.2
19
48%
12
4
0
0
3
3
1
11
7-10
70%
6-16
38%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
#00 · PF · 6'9" 186 · 33
32.0
20
63%
6
2
4
0
1
4
2
4
5-6
83%
6-11
55%
1-4
25%
JJ Redick
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 35
27.5
22
58%
2
3
0
0
2
2
2
0
0-0
-
5-9
56%
4-10
40%
T.J. McConnell
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 27
27.3
5
36%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-1
100%
Jonah Bolden
#43 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23
10.9
3
38%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Landry Shamet
#1 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 22
27.5
8
67%
2
7
0
0
1
2
1
1
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
Mike Muscala
#31 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
27.2
10
56%
6
1
0
0
3
1
2
4
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
Shake Milton
#18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22
20.5
11
79%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
Amir Johnson
#5 · C · 6'9" 240 · 32
19.1
5
50%
4
4
1
1
2
5
1
3
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
Furkan Korkmaz
#30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22
9.1
7
117%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
Haywood Highsmith
#7 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 22
3.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Markelle Fultz
#20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Thoracic Outlet Syndrome
Justin Patton
#0 · C · 7'0" 236 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot Surgery
Joel Embiid
#21 · C · 7'0" 280 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Rest
Zhaire Smith
#8 · SG · 6'4" 199 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Surgery
Jimmy Butler
#23 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained Right Wrist
Wilson Chandler
#22 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring Tightness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
52%
41
29
7
2
12
24
10
31
20-27
74%
24-55
44%
14-36
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.