FinalWin Prob.pScore
1841%106
101
1459%110
106
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
108.69397.6
DAL logo DAL
115.29287.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.101
0%
106
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.0%
DAL
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
19
32
59%
DAL
20
31
65%
Midrange
DET
4
15
27%
DAL
3
14
21%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
12
18.0
38
32%
47%
DAL
14
21.0
36
39%
58%
Free Throws
DET
19
25
76%
DAL
18
30
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin3567%17.5 / 26
A. Drummond2368%11.5 / 17
R. Jackson1243%6.0 / 14
R. Bullock990%4.5 / 5
B. Brown7117%3.5 / 3
L. Galloway550%2.5 / 5
Z. Pachulia583%2.5 / 3
L. Kennard330%1.5 / 5
S. Johnson214%1.0 / 7
J. Calderon0-0.0 / 2
K. Thomas0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić3270%16.0 / 23
D. Smith Jr.1968%9.5 / 14
D. Jordan1359%6.5 / 11
M. Kleber12120%6.0 / 5
H. Barnes938%4.5 / 12
D. Powell975%4.5 / 6
D. Finney-Smith9113%4.5 / 4
D. Harris325%1.5 / 6
W. Matthews0-0.0 / 4
D. Nowitzki0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
81
+17
-12
98
DAL
83
+12
-9
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.0%
DAL
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
109.2
DET 108.6
DAL 115.2 +6.6
Pace
97.3
99.1
DET 97.6 +9.8
DAL 87.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
14.8
DET 14.8 +1.6
DAL 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.8%
DET 48.2%
DAL 54.3% +6.1%
TO %
13.2%
13.6%
DET 11.9%
DAL 9.6% +2.3%
ORB %
24.9%
22.6%
DET 27.7% +6.3%
DAL 21.4%
FTrt
26.1
29.1
DET 29.4
DAL 37.0 +7.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
60.3%
DET 62.9%
DAL 64.9% +2.0%
STL %
7.1%
6.5%
DET 6.5%
DAL 8.7% +2.2%
BLK %
7.1%
7.6%
DET 0.0%
DAL 12.8% +12.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
54.2%
DET 51.0%
DAL 55.2% +4.2%
Rim FG%
57.5%
62.0%
DET 59.4%
DAL 64.5% +5.1%
Mid FG%
38.4%
39.0%
DET 26.7% +5.3%
DAL 21.4%
3P %
34.8%
34.0%
DET 31.6%
DAL 38.9% +7.3%
FT %
74.7%
74.2%
DET 76.0% +16.0%
DAL 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
33.8%
DET 37.6%
DAL 38.3% +0.6%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
24.0%
DET 17.6%
DAL 17.3% +0.4%
3P Att. %
39.4%
42.2%
DET 44.7% +0.3%
DAL 44.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETDAL
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points101106
Rebounds4643
Assists2224
Steals68
Blocks06
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)9 (1)
Fouls2625
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)34 (1)
Field Goals35-8537-81
At-the-Rim FG19-3220-31
Midrange FG4-153-14
2-Point FG23-4723-45
3-Point FG12-3814-36
Free Throws19-2518-30
Fast Break Pts2118
2nd Chance Pts1117
Points in Paint4446
Pts off Turnovers1112
Bench Points1533
Biggest Lead913

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
39.9
35
67%
7
4
1
0
6
2
3
4
8-11
73%
9-15
60%
3-9
33%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 25
38.1
23
68%
15
0
3
0
1
3
6
9
5-8
63%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
35.3
12
43%
3
9
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
3-9
33%
#25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28
32.9
9
90%
3
3
0
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
#6 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 22
17.8
7
117%
2
2
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
#7 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 23
22.6
2
14%
4
1
1
0
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-4
0%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23
16.1
3
30%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
13.2
5
50%
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
12.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
9.9
5
83%
2
0
0
0
1
4
2
0
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
#22 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#12 · PG · 6'4" 213 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#8 · PF · 6'11" 245 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#24 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right adductor tightness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
51%
46
22
6
0
12
26
13
33
19-25
76%
23-47
49%
12-38
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.