FinalWin Prob.pScore
1378%113
100
3022%102
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.59397.5
CLE logo CLE
100.09489.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.100
100%
94
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
CLE
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
27
70%
CLE
16
27
59%
Midrange
MIA
9
30
30%
CLE
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
CLE
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
17
25
68%
CLE
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow2779%13.5 / 17
H. Whiteside1464%7.0 / 11
D. Jones1458%7.0 / 12
D. Wade1343%6.5 / 15
J. Richardson1050%5.0 / 10
T. Johnson950%4.5 / 9
B. Adebayo857%4.0 / 7
J. Johnson583%2.5 / 3
R. McGruder0-0.0 / 2
K. Olynyk0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Osman2969%14.5 / 21
A. Burks1393%6.5 / 7
C. Sexton1346%6.5 / 14
A. Zizic1169%5.5 / 8
R. Hood1056%5.0 / 9
J. Clarkson627%3.0 / 11
L. Nance650%3.0 / 6
M. Dellavedova450%2.0 / 4
D. Adel250%1.0 / 2
J. Blossomgame0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+14
-14
93
CLE
81
+12
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.2%
CLE
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
107.4
MIA 107.5 +7.5
CLE 100.0
Pace
98.1
96.9
MIA 97.5 +7.7
CLE 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.1
MIA 14.8 +1.3
CLE 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
50.3%
MIA 51.9% +2.5%
CLE 49.4%
TO %
14.3%
13.0%
MIA 13.3%
CLE 12.5% +0.8%
ORB %
24.8%
23.7%
MIA 26.7% +6.7%
CLE 20.0%
FTrt
24.7
23.6
MIA 31.3 +16.0
CLE 15.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
53.2%
MIA 51.4%
CLE 62.2% +10.8%
STL %
7.8%
6.7%
MIA 6.5%
CLE 8.5% +2.0%
BLK %
10.2%
4.3%
MIA 7.3% +3.8%
CLE 3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
52.5%
MIA 53.2% +2.7%
CLE 50.5%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.5%
MIA 70.4% +11.1%
CLE 59.3%
Mid FG%
36.8%
39.5%
MIA 30.0%
CLE 39.3% +9.3%
3P %
34.9%
35.5%
MIA 39.1% +5.8%
CLE 33.3%
FT %
69.5%
79.2%
MIA 68.0%
CLE 76.9% +8.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
34.5%
MIA 33.8% +2.0%
CLE 31.8%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
32.2%
MIA 37.5%
CLE 32.9% +4.6%
3P Att. %
36.8%
33.2%
MIA 28.7%
CLE 35.3% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points10094
Rebounds4842
Assists1923
Steals68
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (0)
Fouls1821
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)33 (0)
Field Goals37-8037-85
At-the-Rim FG19-2716-27
Midrange FG9-3011-28
2-Point FG28-5727-55
3-Point FG9-2310-30
Free Throws17-2510-13
Fast Break Pts1211
2nd Chance Pts1514
Points in Paint4638
Pts off Turnovers1217
Bench Points3518
Biggest Lead188

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 25
36.5
10
50%
0
4
0
0
4
4
0
0
5-6
83%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
35.6
27
79%
7
2
0
1
2
4
0
7
1-2
50%
7-12
58%
4-6
67%
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
30.8
9
50%
2
6
2
0
2
3
0
2
0-2
0%
3-3
100%
1-6
17%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
23.9
5
83%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
22.4
14
64%
13
1
1
1
1
2
4
9
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
28.0
13
43%
6
3
0
0
3
0
1
5
2-2
100%
4-11
36%
1-3
33%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
25.6
8
57%
8
1
2
0
2
3
3
5
4-6
67%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
23.0
14
58%
9
0
0
1
0
1
3
6
1-3
33%
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 27
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
NWT - Injury/Illness
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
48
19
6
4
14
18
12
36
17-25
68%
28-57
49%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.