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All Games Wednesday, January 23, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
7
Nuggets
40%106
108
4
Jazz
60%110
114
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
112.59698.9
UTA logo UTA
116.39895.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENUTA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
114
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.08 54.0%
UTA
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
17
26
65%
UTA
13
27
48%
Midrange
DEN
17
35
49%
UTA
6
15
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
UTA
19
28.5
46
41%
62%
Free Throws
DEN
16
20
80%
UTA
19
27
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2864%14.0 / 22
W. Barton2285%11.0 / 13
G. Harris1689%8.0 / 9
T. Lyles1250%6.0 / 12
M. Morris10125%5.0 / 4
J. Murray938%4.5 / 12
T. Craig735%3.5 / 10
P. Millsap213%1.0 / 8
M. Plumlee2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell3565%17.5 / 27
R. Rubio1794%8.5 / 9
R. Gobert1550%7.5 / 15
J. Crowder1563%7.5 / 12
J. Ingles1464%7.0 / 11
K. Korver975%4.5 / 6
R. O'Neale563%2.5 / 4
E. Udoh440%2.0 / 5
D. Favors0-0.0 / 0
G. Niang0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
82
+17
-14
99
UTA
85
+18
-13
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.08 54.0%
UTA
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
110.8
DEN 112.5
UTA 116.3 +3.8
Pace
98.0
100.5
DEN 98.9 +3.7
UTA 95.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.6
DEN 14.6 +0.6
UTA 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
53.8%
DEN 52.3%
UTA 54.0% +1.7%
TO %
13.1%
14.6%
DEN 14.2%
UTA 11.5% +2.7%
ORB %
26.6%
22.9%
DEN 30.0% +6.0%
UTA 24.0%
FTrt
23.2
29.5
DEN 22.7
UTA 30.7 +8.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
64.4%
DEN 47.6%
UTA 73.7% +26.1%
STL %
7.9%
8.0%
DEN 7.3% +0.2%
UTA 7.1%
BLK %
8.2%
9.7%
DEN 21.4% +9.9%
UTA 11.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
55.9%
DEN 54.0%
UTA 55.9% +1.9%
Rim FG%
59.6%
62.1%
DEN 65.4% +17.3%
UTA 48.1%
Mid FG%
43.3%
39.1%
DEN 48.6% +8.6%
UTA 40.0%
3P %
35.1%
35.6%
DEN 29.6%
UTA 41.3% +11.7%
FT %
75.5%
73.6%
DEN 80.0% +9.6%
UTA 70.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
39.5%
DEN 29.5%
UTA 30.7% +1.1%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
21.1%
DEN 39.8%
UTA 17.0% +22.7%
3P Att. %
34.8%
39.4%
DEN 30.7%
UTA 52.3% +21.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENUTA
Possessions9698
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points108114
Rebounds5040
Assists2028
Steals77
Blocks97
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)13 (0)
Fouls2520
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)28 (2)
Field Goals42-8838-88
At-the-Rim FG17-2613-27
Midrange FG17-356-15
2-Point FG34-6119-42
3-Point FG8-2719-46
Free Throws16-2019-27
Fast Break Pts1212
2nd Chance Pts1822
Points in Paint5432
Pts off Turnovers1721
Bench Points4633
Biggest Lead115

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
7 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
38.4
7
35%
8
2
2
4
0
3
3
5
1-4
25%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
37.1
28
64%
21
6
2
1
3
5
3
18
7-7
100%
9-14
64%
1-7
14%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
28.4
9
38%
0
3
0
0
2
4
0
0
2-3
67%
2-9
22%
1-2
50%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
27.9
16
89%
2
2
0
1
2
3
0
2
4-4
100%
6-7
86%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
18.1
2
13%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-3
0%
Will Barton
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
29.6
22
85%
9
5
1
1
3
4
3
6
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
4-5
80%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
23.4
10
125%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
20.0
12
50%
3
2
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-4
0%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
5.7
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
3.5
2
100%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right foot surgery
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | low back surgery
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right hip surgery
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
54%
50
20
7
9
14
25
12
38
16-20
80%
34-61
56%
8-27
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.