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All Games Wednesday, January 23, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
21
Clippers
35%105
111
14
Heat
65%111
99
ORTG#PossPace
LAC logo LAC
120.79297.8
MIA logo MIA
107.69286.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatClippersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatClippersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLACMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
99
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAC
1.12 56.1%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAC
19
27
70%
MIA
26
36
72%
Midrange
LAC
19
36
53%
MIA
5
19
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAC
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
MIA
8
12.0
28
29%
43%
Free Throws
LAC
14
21
67%
MIA
13
22
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Harris3178%15.5 / 20
M. Harrell1673%8.0 / 11
L. Williams1350%6.5 / 13
A. Bradley1255%6.0 / 11
S. Gilgeous-Alexander1056%5.0 / 9
M. Gortat1056%5.0 / 9
J. Robinson867%4.0 / 6
J. Motley758%3.5 / 6
P. Beverley440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2279%11.0 / 14
J. Richardson1750%8.5 / 17
T. Johnson1558%7.5 / 13
D. Wade1346%6.5 / 14
J. Winslow1155%5.5 / 10
D. Waiters950%4.5 / 9
B. Adebayo880%4.0 / 5
J. Johnson330%1.5 / 5
D. Jones125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAC
85
+12
-7
97
MIA
78
+14
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC
1.12 56.1%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
107.5
LAC 120.7 +13.0
MIA 107.6
Pace
102.0
98.1
LAC 97.8 +10.9
MIA 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
15.0
LAC 14.7 +1.8
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
51.5%
LAC 57.1% +5.3%
MIA 51.8%
TO %
13.4%
14.3%
LAC 6.9% +6.2%
MIA 13.1%
ORB %
21.9%
24.8%
LAC 20.0%
MIA 26.1% +6.1%
FTrt
32.6
24.7
LAC 24.7
MIA 26.5 +1.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
61.2%
LAC 51.1%
MIA 59.0% +7.9%
STL %
6.6%
7.8%
LAC 5.4% +2.1%
MIA 3.3%
BLK %
7.7%
10.2%
LAC 5.5% +0.7%
MIA 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
52.9%
LAC 56.1% +2.3%
MIA 53.8%
Rim FG%
58.0%
60.8%
LAC 70.4%
MIA 72.2% +1.8%
Mid FG%
41.2%
36.8%
LAC 52.8% +26.5%
MIA 26.3%
3P %
38.7%
34.9%
LAC 31.8% +3.2%
MIA 28.6%
FT %
79.2%
69.5%
LAC 66.7% +7.6%
MIA 59.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
37.3%
LAC 31.8%
MIA 43.4% +11.6%
Mid Att. %
30.6%
25.9%
LAC 42.4%
MIA 22.9% +19.5%
3P Att. %
29.5%
36.8%
LAC 25.9%
MIA 33.7% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsLACMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points11199
Rebounds4140
Assists2323
Steals53
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)14 (0)
Fouls2019
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)28 (2)
Field Goals45-8539-83
At-the-Rim FG19-2726-36
Midrange FG19-365-19
2-Point FG38-6331-55
3-Point FG7-228-28
Free Throws14-2113-22
Fast Break Pts69
2nd Chance Pts219
Points in Paint5060
Pts off Turnovers1711
Bench Points4431
Biggest Lead188

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
21 Los Angeles Clippers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tobias Harris
#34 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 27
39.3
31
78%
7
6
1
0
3
1
0
7
5-5
100%
10-15
67%
2-4
50%
Avery Bradley
#11 · SF · 6'2" 180 · 28
34.7
12
55%
2
3
1
0
1
2
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-6
33%
Patrick Beverley
#21 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 31
34.0
4
40%
6
2
1
0
0
4
0
6
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
#2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 21
30.8
10
56%
2
3
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
#13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 35
22.5
10
56%
8
1
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
Montrezl Harrell
#5 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 25
25.5
16
73%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-8
50%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
#23 · SG · 6'1" 175 · 32
21.1
13
50%
5
6
1
1
1
2
0
5
2-4
50%
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
Jerome Robinson
#10 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 22
16.2
8
67%
2
0
0
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
Johnathan Motley
#15 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 24
9.2
7
58%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Sindarius Thornwell
#0 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Tyrone Wallace
#9 · SG · 6'5" 198 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Scott
#30 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanovic
#51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Angel Delgado
#31 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Luc Mbah a Moute
#12 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore Left Knee
Danilo Gallinari
#8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Spasms
Milos Teodosic
#4 · PG · 6'5" 196 · 32
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
56%
41
23
5
3
7
20
7
34
14-21
67%
38-63
60%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.