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All Games Tuesday, January 22, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
22
Kings
22%108
105
4
Raptors
78%119
120
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
102.9102106.6
TOR logo TOR
115.410499.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACTOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
0%
120
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.04 52.0%
TOR
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
20
34
59%
TOR
20
36
56%
Midrange
SAC
14
36
39%
TOR
4
15
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
TOR
16
24.0
40
40%
60%
Free Throws
SAC
16
22
73%
TOR
24
35
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bagley2258%11.0 / 19
B. Bogdanović1647%8.0 / 17
B. Hield1550%7.5 / 15
H. Giles1150%5.5 / 11
Y. Ferrell1038%5.0 / 13
W. Cauley-Stein1083%5.0 / 6
B. McLemore10125%5.0 / 4
K. Koufos583%2.5 / 3
J. Jackson433%2.0 / 6
F. Mason233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry1968%9.5 / 14
F. VanVleet1986%9.5 / 11
P. Siakam1869%9.0 / 13
S. Ibaka1547%7.5 / 16
C. Miles1594%7.5 / 8
N. Powell1169%5.5 / 8
D. Wright956%4.5 / 8
C. Boucher867%4.0 / 6
D. Green638%3.0 / 8
G. Monroe0-0.0 / 6
P. McCaw0-0.0 / 2
J. Loyd0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
88
+13
-14
101
TOR
88
+22
-16
110
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.04 52.0%
TOR
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.0
113.1
SAC 102.9
TOR 115.4 +12.4
Pace
103.5
100.2
SAC 106.6 +6.9
TOR 99.7
Avg. Poss. Time
13.3
14.4
SAC 13.5 +0.9
TOR 14.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
54.3%
SAC 48.9%
TOR 52.7% +3.8%
TO %
12.4%
13.2%
SAC 12.2% +0.9%
TOR 13.1%
ORB %
23.1%
21.8%
SAC 22.7%
TOR 26.7% +4.0%
FTrt
24.4
24.7
SAC 24.2
TOR 38.5 +14.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
60.3%
SAC 70.7% +8.2%
TOR 62.5%
STL %
8.0%
8.2%
SAC 7.8% +1.1%
TOR 6.7%
BLK %
7.9%
9.1%
SAC 13.7% +6.6%
TOR 7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
56.5%
SAC 52.0%
TOR 54.5% +2.5%
Rim FG%
60.3%
61.6%
SAC 58.8% +3.2%
TOR 55.6%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.1%
SAC 38.9% +12.2%
TOR 26.7%
3P %
37.8%
36.6%
SAC 33.3%
TOR 40.0% +6.7%
FT %
72.6%
80.4%
SAC 72.7% +4.1%
TOR 68.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
36.4%
SAC 37.4%
TOR 39.6% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
31.1%
25.6%
SAC 39.6%
TOR 16.5% +23.1%
3P Att. %
32.2%
37.9%
SAC 23.1%
TOR 44.0% +20.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACTOR
Possessions102104
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points105120
Rebounds4346
Assists2925
Steals87
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)16 (0)
Fouls2721
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)12 (10)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)34 (4)
Field Goals41-9140-91
At-the-Rim FG20-3420-36
Midrange FG14-364-15
2-Point FG34-7024-51
3-Point FG7-2116-40
Free Throws16-2224-35
Fast Break Pts1626
2nd Chance Pts1224
Points in Paint5046
Pts off Turnovers1812
Bench Points3243
Biggest Lead519

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
22 Sacramento Kings
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Yogi Ferrell
#3 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 26
38.5
10
38%
7
6
2
0
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-8
25%
2-5
40%
Marvin Bagley III
#35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 20
37.8
22
58%
11
1
1
2
2
3
1
10
2-2
100%
10-18
56%
0-2
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
#8 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 26
36.1
16
47%
8
9
3
0
1
1
2
6
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
1-4
25%
Buddy Hield
#24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 25
35.5
15
50%
3
5
1
1
4
3
0
3
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
2-6
33%
Willie Cauley-Stein
#00 · C · 7'0" 240 · 25
24.6
10
83%
6
2
0
0
0
5
1
5
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Harry Giles III
#20 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
22.7
11
50%
4
2
0
2
1
4
2
2
3-6
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
Justin Jackson
#25 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
17.2
4
33%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
Ben McLemore
#23 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26
12.9
10
125%
2
0
0
1
1
3
1
1
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
Frank Mason
#10 · PG · 5'11" 190 · 25
9.5
2
33%
0
3
1
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
#41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
5.3
5
83%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
De'Aaron Fox
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
Iman Shumpert
#9 · SG · 6'5" 212 · 29
DND - Rest | Load Management
Nemanja Bjelica
#88 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Wenyen Gabriel
#32 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Troy Williams
#19 · SG · 6'7" 218 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Skal Labissiere
#7 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 23
Inactive - Personal
Zach Randolph
#50 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 38
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
52%
43
29
8
7
14
27
10
33
16-22
73%
34-70
49%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.