FinalWin Prob.pScore
1528%102
99
272%110
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.09994.3
BOS logo BOS
108.199104.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.99
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:15.3CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.4HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.1HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.7CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point stepback jump shot99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.1CelticsMarcus Morris defensive rebound99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.9HeatDion Waiters misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot99
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:47.2CelticsMarcus Morris makes regular free throw 2 of 299
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:47.2CelticsMarcus Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 299
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 0:47.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Marcus Morris draws the foul)99
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0HeatJustise Winslow turnover (lost ball) (Kyrie Irving steals)99
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 0:54.1HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound99
1.9%
105
98.1%
Q4 - 0:55.6CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot99
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 1:08CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound99
1.2%
105
98.8%
Q4 - 1:09HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot99
1.4%
105
98.6%
Q4 - 1:16CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)99
2.6%
105
97.4%
Q4 - 1:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 299
1.9%
105
98.1%
Q4 - 1:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 298
1.7%
105
98.3%
Q4 - 1:33CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)97
1.4%
105
98.6%
Q4 - 1:47HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound97
1.5%
105
98.5%
Q4 - 1:48CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot97
1.3%
105
98.7%
Q4 - 2:02HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)97
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 2:21HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 297
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 2:21HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 296
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 2:21CelticsKyrie Irving personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)95
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 2:21HeatHeat offensive rebound95
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 2:22HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving finger roll layup95
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 2:36CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point driving finger roll layup95
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 2:52CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound95
1.3%
103
98.7%
Q4 - 2:52HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 295
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 2:52HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 295
1.8%
103
98.2%
Q4 - 2:52CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)94
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 3:01HeatHeat defensive rebound94
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 3:02CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround jump shot94
1.2%
103
98.8%
Q4 - 3:28CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound94
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 3:29HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot94
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 3:47CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point driving finger roll layup94
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 3:56HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds lost ball)94
3.1%
101
96.9%
Q4 - 4:11CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point driving floating bank jump shot94
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 4:32HeatDion Waiters makes two point stepback jump shot94
6.0%
99
94.0%
Q4 - 4:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound92
4.3%
99
95.7%
Q4 - 4:51CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point pullup jump shot92
3.8%
99
96.2%
Q4 - 5:07HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 292
3.9%
99
96.1%
Q4 - 5:07HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 1 of 291
3.6%
99
96.4%
Q4 - 5:07CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)90
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 5:10CelticsGordon Hayward turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)90
2.9%
99
97.1%
Q4 - 5:19CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound90
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 5:21HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot90
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 5:44HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound90
2.8%
99
97.2%
Q4 - 5:45CelticsAron Baynes misses three point jump shot90
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 6:02HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)90
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 6:13CelticsSemi Ojeleye turnover (out of bounds step)87
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 6:19HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving reverse layup87
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 6:25HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound85
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 6:27CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Jaylen Brown's two point cutting layup85
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 6:41HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 285
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 6:41HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 1 of 284
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 6:41CelticsTerry Rozier shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)83
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 6:48CelticsSemi Ojeleye makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)83
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk83
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 7:06HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound81
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 7:08HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot81
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 7:26CelticsAron Baynes makes two point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)81
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 7:47HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Dion Waiters assists)81
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 7:55HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound79
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 7:56CelticsTerry Rozier misses two point bank jump shot79
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 8:05HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Loose ball) (Aron Baynes draws the foul)79
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 8:07HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)79
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)79
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 8:26CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup (Terry Rozier assists)79
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 8:42HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)79
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 8:55CelticsAron Baynes personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 8:56HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound76
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 8:57CelticsAron Baynes misses two point alley-oop layup76
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 9:11CelticsCeltics defensive rebound76
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 9:12HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot76
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 9:25HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound76
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 9:26CelticsTerry Rozier misses two point floating jump shot76
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 9:45HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point running finger roll layup76
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 9:49CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Dion Waiters steals)74
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 10:06HeatJustise Winslow makes two point alley-oop dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)74
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 10:10HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound72
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 10:12CelticsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot72
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 10:17HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Aron Baynes draws the foul)72
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 10:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Justise Winslow assists)72
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 10:37CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup70
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 10:45CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound70
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 10:46HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot70
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 10:57CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot70
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 11:09HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 270
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 11:09HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 1 of 269
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 11:09CelticsGordon Hayward shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)68
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 11:20CelticsGordon Hayward makes three point pullup jump shot68
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 11:38CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound68
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 11:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot68
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 11:48HeatHeat offensive rebound68
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 11:50HeatAron Baynes blocks Tyler Johnson's two point driving floating jump shot68
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.68
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q3 - 0:01.2HeatHeat offensive rebound68
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 0:02.3HeatJosh Richardson misses two point turnaround jump shot68
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q3 - 0:16.8CelticsAl Horford turnover (out of bounds lost ball)68
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 0:31.4HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup68
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q3 - 0:45.8CelticsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)66
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 1:03HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)66
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 1:20CelticsAl Horford makes two point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)63
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 1:37CelticsTerry Rozier defensive rebound63
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 1:38HeatAl Horford blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point driving reverse layup63
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 1:55CelticsMarcus Morris makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)63
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 1:59HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Kyrie Irving steals)63
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 2:22CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup63
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q3 - 2:23CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound63
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 2:24CelticsAl Horford misses two point jump shot63
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 2:32CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound63
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 2:33HeatJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot63
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 2:52CelticsAl Horford makes two point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)63
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 3:14HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)63
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 3:19CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)60
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 3:25CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound60
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 3:26HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot60
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 3:29HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound60
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 3:31HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot60
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 3:45CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)60
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 3:59HeatDwyane Wade makes two point pullup jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)60
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 4:22CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point driving floating jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)58
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 4:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Johnson assists)58
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 4:53CelticsKyrie Irving personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)56
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 5:10CelticsMarcus Morris makes regular free throw 1 of 156
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 5:10HeatTyler Johnson shooting foul (Marcus Morris draws the foul)56
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 5:20CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound56
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 5:21HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot56
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 5:27CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)56
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q3 - 5:41HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)56
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 5:41CelticsCeltics defensive rebound56
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 5:41HeatDwyane Wade misses two point reverse layup56
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 6:01CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)56
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 6:11CelticsCeltics defensive rebound56
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 6:12HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot56
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 6:20CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)56
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 6:31HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound56
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 6:33CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point fadeaway jump shot56
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 6:38HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)56
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 6:39HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound56
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 6:40HeatKyrie Irving blocks Josh Richardson's two point layup56
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 6:59CelticsAl Horford makes two point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)56
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 7:06CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound56
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q3 - 7:09HeatJosh Richardson misses two point driving hook shot56
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 7:17HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound56
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 7:18CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point cutting layup56
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 7:23HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Morris steals)56
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 7:33HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound56
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 7:34CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point jump shot56
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 7:51HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)56
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 8:11CelticsAl Horford makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot53
8.3%
63
91.7%
Q3 - 8:23CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound53
9.3%
61
90.7%
Q3 - 8:24HeatAl Horford blocks James Johnson's two point putback layup53
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 8:24HeatJames Johnson offensive rebound53
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q3 - 8:28HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving finger roll layup53
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 8:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup53
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q3 - 8:56CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound53
12.2%
59
87.8%
Q3 - 9:00HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot53
12.7%
59
87.3%
Q3 - 9:17HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound53
13.9%
59
86.1%
Q3 - 9:19CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot53
13.4%
59
86.6%
Q3 - 9:20CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound53
12.2%
59
87.8%
Q3 - 9:23CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point jump shot53
13.4%
59
86.6%
Q3 - 9:40HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)53
12.2%
59
87.8%
Q3 - 9:50CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)50
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q3 - 9:53HeatJames Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Kyrie Irving steals)50
8.2%
59
91.8%
Q3 - 10:10CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)50
9.7%
59
90.3%
Q3 - 10:14HeatJosh Richardson turnover (lost ball) (Kyrie Irving steals)50
12.2%
56
87.8%
Q3 - 10:27CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point driving layup50
14.0%
56
86.0%
Q3 - 10:50HeatJustise Winslow turnover (out of bounds bad pass)50
15.5%
54
84.5%
Q3 - 11:04CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Morris assists)50
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q3 - 11:16HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)50
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q3 - 11:18CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound50
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q3 - 11:22HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot50
20.2%
52
79.8%
Q3 - 11:48CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot50
22.0%
52
78.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
24.2%
50
75.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound50
27.0%
50
73.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point running reverse layup50
25.0%
50
75.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (lost ball) (Hassan Whiteside steals)50
26.3%
50
73.7%
Q2 - 0:09.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)50
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q2 - 0:15.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point tip dunk50
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound48
21.5%
50
78.5%
Q2 - 0:16.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point putback layup48
20.4%
50
79.6%
Q2 - 0:17.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound48
21.5%
50
78.5%
Q2 - 0:18.9HeatDion Waiters misses three point pullup jump shot48
20.4%
50
79.6%
Q2 - 0:35.3CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point running finger roll layup48
21.5%
50
78.5%
Q2 - 0:38.2HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Kyrie Irving steals)48
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q2 - 0:49.7HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound48
26.3%
48
73.7%
Q2 - 0:51.9CelticsAl Horford misses two point jump shot48
25.8%
48
74.2%
Q2 - 1:12HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 248
24.7%
48
75.3%
Q2 - 1:12HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 247
24.1%
48
75.9%
Q2 - 1:12CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)46
23.5%
48
76.5%
Q2 - 1:30CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point running reverse layup (Al Horford assists)46
21.5%
48
78.5%
Q2 - 1:32CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound46
24.6%
46
75.4%
Q2 - 1:36HeatAl Horford blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point jump shot46
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q2 - 1:37HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound46
26.1%
46
73.9%
Q2 - 1:40HeatJames Johnson misses two point jump shot46
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q2 - 2:05HeatHeat defensive rebound46
26.5%
46
73.5%
Q2 - 2:06CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot46
25.7%
46
74.3%
Q2 - 2:20HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup (Dwyane Wade assists)46
24.1%
46
75.9%
Q2 - 2:40HeatHeat defensive rebound44
21.9%
46
78.1%
Q2 - 2:45CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot44
21.3%
46
78.7%
Q2 - 2:45HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Loose ball) (Marcus Morris draws the foul)44
19.9%
46
80.1%
Q2 - 2:45CelticsCeltics offensive rebound44
19.9%
46
80.1%
Q2 - 2:48CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot44
21.3%
46
78.7%
Q2 - 2:55CelticsMarcus Morris defensive rebound44
19.9%
46
80.1%
Q2 - 2:57HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point hook shot44
20.5%
46
79.5%
Q2 - 2:58HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound44
21.9%
46
78.1%
Q2 - 3:02HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot44
20.3%
46
79.7%
Q2 - 3:21CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Marcus Morris assists)44
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q2 - 3:39HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)44
25.8%
43
74.2%
Q2 - 3:49CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Loose ball) (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)41
21.9%
43
78.1%
Q2 - 3:49HeatHeat offensive rebound41
21.9%
43
78.1%
Q2 - 3:51HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot41
20.3%
43
79.7%
Q2 - 4:13CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point running pullup jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)41
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q2 - 4:17HeatJames Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Kyrie Irving steals)41
25.5%
40
74.5%
Q2 - 4:26CelticsMarcus Morris personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)41
27.8%
40
72.2%
Q2 - 4:35HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound41
27.8%
40
72.2%
Q2 - 4:38CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point jump shot41
27.1%
40
72.9%
Q2 - 4:39CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound41
25.5%
40
74.5%
Q2 - 4:42CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point jump shot41
27.1%
40
72.9%
Q2 - 4:55HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup41
25.5%
40
74.5%
Q2 - 5:15HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound39
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 5:15CelticsKyrie Irving misses regular free throw 2 of 239
23.1%
40
76.9%
Q2 - 5:15CelticsKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 239
21.6%
40
78.4%
Q2 - 5:15HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)39
21.9%
39
78.1%
Q2 - 5:31HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point driving dunk (Justise Winslow assists)39
23.1%
39
76.9%
Q2 - 5:44HeatHeat defensive rebound37
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 5:45CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point stepback jump shot37
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 6:01CelticsCeltics defensive rebound37
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 6:04HeatJustise Winslow misses three point stepback jump shot37
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 6:07HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound37
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 6:10CelticsHassan Whiteside blocks Jaylen Brown's two point running layup37
20.7%
39
79.3%
Q2 - 6:18HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop dunk (Justise Winslow assists)37
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 6:32CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)35
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 6:44HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 135
19.3%
37
80.7%
Q2 - 6:44CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)34
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 6:48CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Josh Richardson steals)32
16.4%
37
83.6%
Q2 - 7:12HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)32
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 7:17HeatHeat offensive rebound29
12.6%
37
87.4%
Q2 - 7:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot29
11.8%
37
88.2%
Q2 - 7:32CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)29
12.6%
37
87.4%
Q2 - 7:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound29
12.6%
37
87.4%
Q2 - 7:44CelticsGordon Hayward misses two point driving floating jump shot29
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 7:55CelticsCeltics defensive rebound29
11.4%
37
88.6%
Q2 - 7:56HeatDion Waiters misses three point pullup jump shot29
11.8%
37
88.2%
Q2 - 8:10CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point driving layup29
12.8%
37
87.2%
Q2 - 8:16CelticsGordon Hayward defensive rebound29
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 8:19HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot29
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 8:23HeatHeat offensive rebound29
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q2 - 8:23HeatMarcus Smart blocks Dion Waiters's two point layup29
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 8:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound29
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q2 - 8:33CelticsGordon Hayward misses two point pullup jump shot29
14.8%
35
85.2%
Q2 - 8:45CelticsCeltics defensive rebound29
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 8:46HeatDion Waiters misses two point driving floating jump shot29
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 8:56HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound29
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q2 - 8:59CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point pullup jump shot29
14.8%
35
85.2%
Q2 - 9:06CelticsCeltics offensive rebound29
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 9:07CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving finger roll layup29
14.9%
35
85.1%
Q2 - 9:15HeatDwyane Wade turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)29
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 9:28CelticsAron Baynes turnover (offensive foul)29
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 9:28CelticsAron Baynes offensive foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)29
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 9:39CelticsCeltics defensive rebound29
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 9:41HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving floating jump shot29
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 9:58CelticsAron Baynes makes regular free throw 2 of 229
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 9:58CelticsAron Baynes makes regular free throw 1 of 229
15.5%
34
84.5%
Q2 - 9:58HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Aron Baynes draws the foul)29
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q2 - 10:09HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup29
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q2 - 10:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound27
15.4%
33
84.6%
Q2 - 10:23CelticsAron Baynes misses two point tip layup27
15.0%
33
85.0%
Q2 - 10:23CelticsAron Baynes offensive rebound27
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q2 - 10:24CelticsTerry Rozier misses two point layup27
15.0%
33
85.0%
Q2 - 10:29CelticsCeltics offensive rebound27
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q2 - 10:31CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
15.0%
33
85.0%
Q2 - 10:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Dwyane Wade assists)27
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q2 - 10:55HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound25
13.0%
33
87.0%
Q2 - 10:58CelticsDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Jaylen Brown's two point layup25
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q2 - 11:13HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
11.9%
33
88.1%
Q2 - 11:27CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 11:39HeatDwyane Wade makes two point turnaround jump shot (Tyler Johnson assists)25
11.9%
33
88.1%
Q2 - 11:47CelticsAron Baynes turnover (back court violation)23
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.5HeatHeat defensive rebound23
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q1 - 0:03.8CelticsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot23
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q1 - 0:09.8HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 223
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q1 - 0:09.8HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 222
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q1 - 0:09.8CelticsAron Baynes shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)21
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q1 - 0:09.8HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound21
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q1 - 0:14.0HeatAron Baynes blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving dunk21
8.8%
33
91.2%
Q1 - 0:30.3CelticsGordon Hayward turnover (offensive foul)21
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q1 - 0:30.3CelticsGordon Hayward offensive foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)21
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q1 - 0:33.3CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound21
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q1 - 0:38.6HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot21
8.8%
33
91.2%
Q1 - 0:58.7HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound21
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q1 - 1:00CelticsTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot21
9.0%
33
91.0%
Q1 - 1:15CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound21
8.7%
33
91.3%
Q1 - 1:19HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot21
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q1 - 1:29CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Johnson steals)21
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q1 - 1:31HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Kyrie Irving steals)21
8.7%
33
91.3%
Q1 - 1:33CelticsGordon Hayward turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)21
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q1 - 1:46CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound21
8.7%
33
91.3%
Q1 - 1:49HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot21
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q1 - 2:12CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Aron Baynes assists)21
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q1 - 2:24HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point reverse dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)21
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q1 - 2:39CelticsKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 119
9.5%
31
90.5%
Q1 - 2:39HeatTyler Johnson shooting foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)19
9.6%
30
90.4%
Q1 - 2:49HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving reverse layup (Justise Winslow assists)19
12.2%
27
87.8%
Q1 - 3:07CelticsAl Horford makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kyrie Irving assists)17
11.4%
27
88.6%
Q1 - 3:12HeatTyler Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Al Horford steals)17
12.2%
25
87.8%
Q1 - 3:27CelticsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 2 of 217
13.3%
25
86.7%
Q1 - 3:27CelticsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 1 of 217
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q1 - 3:27HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)17
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q1 - 3:39HeatTyler Johnson turnover (traveling)17
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q1 - 3:43CelticsMarcus Morris personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)17
15.5%
23
84.5%
Q1 - 3:45CelticsAl Horford turnover (lost ball) (Dwyane Wade steals)17
15.5%
23
84.5%
Q1 - 4:06HeatTyler Johnson makes three point pullup jump shot (James Johnson assists)17
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q1 - 4:13HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound14
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 4:15CelticsGordon Hayward misses three point pullup jump shot14
12.1%
23
87.9%
Q1 - 4:18CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound14
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q1 - 4:22HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot14
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q1 - 4:36CelticsGordon Hayward personal foul (James Johnson draws the foul)14
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 4:52CelticsMarcus Morris makes two point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)14
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 4:54CelticsCeltics offensive rebound14
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 4:55CelticsJames Johnson blocks Jayson Tatum's two point running layup14
14.0%
21
86.0%
Q1 - 4:58HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Kyrie Irving steals)14
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 5:16CelticsAl Horford makes two point hook shot (Kyrie Irving assists)14
14.4%
21
85.6%
Q1 - 5:32HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)14
15.4%
19
84.6%
Q1 - 5:44CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)11
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 5:50HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Loose ball) (Marcus Morris draws the foul)11
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 6:04CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot9
11.8%
19
88.2%
Q1 - 6:19CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound9
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 6:19HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 19
12.8%
17
87.2%
Q1 - 6:19CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)9
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 6:40CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)7
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 6:49CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound7
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 6:52CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot7
14.2%
14
85.8%
Q1 - 7:03HeatJames Johnson turnover (discontinue dribble)7
13.7%
14
86.3%
Q1 - 7:17CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds step)7
14.7%
14
85.3%
Q1 - 7:28HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)7
13.7%
14
86.3%
Q1 - 7:47CelticsMarcus Morris makes two point tip layup4
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 7:48CelticsMarcus Morris offensive rebound4
12.8%
12
87.2%
Q1 - 7:48CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot4
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 8:10HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback dunk4
12.8%
12
87.2%
Q1 - 8:11HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound2
12.1%
12
87.9%
Q1 - 8:11HeatRodney McGruder misses two point driving finger roll layup2
11.5%
12
88.5%
Q1 - 8:25CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)2
12.1%
12
87.9%
Q1 - 8:26CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound2
13.7%
9
86.3%
Q1 - 8:30CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point jump shot2
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 8:37CelticsMarcus Morris defensive rebound2
13.7%
9
86.3%
Q1 - 8:39HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot2
14.0%
9
86.0%
Q1 - 8:55CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point pullup jump shot2
14.7%
9
85.3%
Q1 - 9:04HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (traveling)2
15.3%
7
84.7%
Q1 - 9:09HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound2
16.6%
7
83.4%
Q1 - 9:12CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot2
16.2%
7
83.8%
Q1 - 9:24CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound2
15.3%
7
84.7%
Q1 - 9:28HeatRodney McGruder misses three point pullup jump shot2
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 9:32HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound2
16.6%
7
83.4%
Q1 - 9:34CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point jump shot2
16.2%
7
83.8%
Q1 - 9:48HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)2
15.3%
7
84.7%
Q1 - 10:16CelticsMarcus Morris makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
16.4%
7
83.6%
Q1 - 10:33HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Marcus Morris draws the foul)2
17.3%
5
82.7%
Q1 - 10:35CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound2
17.3%
5
82.7%
Q1 - 10:38HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot2
17.7%
5
82.3%
Q1 - 10:51CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup2
18.6%
5
81.4%
Q1 - 10:52CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound2
19.6%
3
80.4%
Q1 - 10:54CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point driving floating jump shot2
20.5%
3
79.5%
Q1 - 11:00CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound2
19.6%
3
80.4%
Q1 - 11:03HeatJustise Winslow misses two point pullup jump shot2
19.9%
3
80.1%
Q1 - 11:25CelticsMarcus Morris makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)2
20.7%
3
79.3%
Q1 - 11:37HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup2
23.3%
0
76.7%
Q1 - 12:00Hassan Whiteside vs. Al Horford (Justise Winslow gains possession)0
22.0%
0
78.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
BOS
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
29
66%
BOS
14
22
64%
Midrange
MIA
6
22
27%
BOS
17
35
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
35
31%
47%
BOS
12
18.0
30
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
16
18
89%
BOS
9
10
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Jones1869%9.0 / 13
D. Waiters1856%9.0 / 16
B. Adebayo1372%6.5 / 9
J. Richardson1142%5.5 / 13
T. Johnson950%4.5 / 9
J. Winslow850%4.0 / 8
J. Johnson867%4.0 / 6
D. Wade836%4.0 / 11
H. Whiteside660%3.0 / 5
R. McGruder0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving2665%13.0 / 20
J. Tatum1973%9.5 / 13
M. Morris1771%8.5 / 12
A. Horford1673%8.0 / 11
G. Hayward750%3.5 / 7
M. Smart643%3.0 / 7
J. Brown633%3.0 / 9
A. Baynes440%2.0 / 5
T. Rozier325%1.5 / 6
S. Ojeleye3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+17
-19
97
BOS
80
+12
-19
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
BOS
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
111.8
MIA 100.0
BOS 108.1 +8.1
Pace
98.1
100.0
MIA 94.3
BOS 104.1 +9.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.2
MIA 15.3
BOS 13.8 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
53.4%
MIA 48.3%
BOS 56.3% +8.0%
TO %
14.3%
12.4%
MIA 17.6%
BOS 17.2% +0.4%
ORB %
24.8%
21.7%
MIA 26.3% +4.1%
BOS 22.2%
FTrt
24.7
21.5
MIA 20.9 +9.4
BOS 11.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
62.4%
MIA 69.4% +8.9%
BOS 60.5%
STL %
7.8%
8.5%
MIA 11.1%
BOS 13.1% +2.0%
BLK %
10.2%
9.7%
MIA 8.8%
BOS 13.7% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
55.3%
MIA 51.0%
BOS 58.2% +7.2%
Rim FG%
60.8%
61.6%
MIA 65.5% +1.9%
BOS 63.6%
Mid FG%
36.8%
43.1%
MIA 27.3%
BOS 48.6% +21.3%
3P %
34.9%
36.5%
MIA 31.4%
BOS 40.0% +8.6%
FT %
69.5%
80.2%
MIA 88.9%
BOS 90.0% +1.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
32.1%
MIA 33.7% +8.4%
BOS 25.3%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
29.8%
MIA 25.6% +14.6%
BOS 40.2%
3P Att. %
36.8%
38.1%
MIA 40.7% +6.2%
BOS 34.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points99107
Rebounds3836
Assists2526
Steals1113
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)19 (0)
Fouls1621
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (7)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (5)28 (7)
Field Goals36-8643-87
At-the-Rim FG19-2914-22
Midrange FG6-2217-35
2-Point FG25-5131-57
3-Point FG11-3512-30
Free Throws16-189-10
Fast Break Pts1717
2nd Chance Pts1614
Points in Paint4442
Pts off Turnovers2328
Bench Points6623
Biggest Lead222

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 25
31.6
11
42%
1
3
4
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
3-8
38%
#20 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 23
28.0
8
50%
5
6
1
0
2
3
0
5
6-6
100%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
20.3
6
60%
8
1
1
1
2
1
4
4
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
18.3
8
67%
3
4
0
1
5
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
28.9
18
69%
9
0
1
1
0
2
4
5
3-3
100%
6-9
67%
1-3
33%
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
28.0
9
50%
1
2
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-8
38%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
27.7
13
72%
7
2
1
2
3
3
1
6
5-6
83%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
25.9
18
56%
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
67%
2-7
29%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
23.2
8
36%
2
6
1
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
51%
38
25
11
5
19
16
10
28
16-18
89%
25-51
49%
11-35
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.