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All Games Monday, January 21, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
13
Mavericks
30%109
106
3
Bucks
70%117
116
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
101.910498.7
MIL logo MIL
111.5104109.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.106
0%
116
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.97 48.6%
MIL
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
14
24
58%
MIL
25
44
57%
Midrange
DAL
13
35
37%
MIL
5
15
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
14
21.0
40
35%
53%
MIL
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
Free Throws
DAL
10
17
59%
MIL
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić1850%9.0 / 18
J. Brunson1657%8.0 / 14
W. Matthews1558%7.5 / 13
D. Jordan1558%7.5 / 13
D. Finney-Smith1381%6.5 / 8
D. Harris964%4.5 / 7
H. Barnes827%4.0 / 15
M. Kleber857%4.0 / 7
D. Powell440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo3165%15.5 / 24
E. Bledsoe2166%10.5 / 16
M. Brogdon1959%9.5 / 16
B. Lopez1680%8.0 / 10
K. Middleton1338%6.5 / 17
S. Brown11138%5.5 / 4
G. Hill550%2.5 / 5
D. Wilson0-0.0 / 1
E. Ilyasova0-0.0 / 1
T. Snell0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
93
+16
-11
109
MIL
90
+14
-14
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.97 48.6%
MIL
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
113.9
DAL 101.9
MIL 111.5 +9.6
Pace
99.1
103.2
DAL 98.7
MIL 109.9 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
13.9
DAL 14.6
MIL 13.1 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
55.0%
DAL 48.5%
MIL 52.7% +4.2%
TO %
13.6%
12.8%
DAL 9.4% +3.6%
MIL 13.0%
ORB %
22.6%
20.8%
DAL 20.4% +2.6%
MIL 17.8%
FTrt
29.1
25.5
DAL 17.2
MIL 24.2 +7.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
60.1%
DAL 58.5% +8.5%
MIL 50.0%
STL %
6.5%
7.2%
DAL 6.7%
MIL 8.7% +2.0%
BLK %
7.6%
10.4%
DAL 18.6% +6.7%
MIL 11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
57.1%
DAL 48.6%
MIL 56.3% +7.7%
Rim FG%
62.0%
64.1%
DAL 58.3% +1.5%
MIL 56.8%
Mid FG%
39.0%
39.4%
DAL 37.1% +3.8%
MIL 33.3%
3P %
34.0%
35.2%
DAL 35.0%
MIL 37.5% +2.5%
FT %
74.2%
77.2%
DAL 58.8%
MIL 90.9% +32.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
40.2%
DAL 24.2%
MIL 48.4% +24.1%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
17.8%
DAL 35.4%
MIL 16.5% +18.9%
3P Att. %
42.2%
42.0%
DAL 40.4% +5.2%
MIL 35.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALMIL
Possessions104104
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points106116
Rebounds4851
Assists2421
Steals79
Blocks117
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)14 (1)
Fouls1919
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (0)43 (1)
Field Goals41-9942-91
At-the-Rim FG14-2425-44
Midrange FG13-355-15
2-Point FG27-5930-59
3-Point FG14-4012-32
Free Throws10-1720-22
Fast Break Pts1628
2nd Chance Pts196
Points in Paint4856
Pts off Turnovers1412
Bench Points3416
Biggest Lead517

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
13 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Luka Doncic
#77 · PG · 6'6" 230 · 20
32.9
18
50%
11
10
1
1
3
1
2
9
4-5
80%
4-12
33%
2-5
40%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 27
31.1
8
27%
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-2
0%
4-7
57%
0-8
0%
Wesley Matthews
#23 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 32
31.1
15
58%
3
3
3
4
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
3-8
38%
DeAndre Jordan
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31
31.0
15
58%
15
1
0
2
3
4
5
10
3-6
50%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
Jalen Brunson
#13 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 22
29.8
16
57%
3
5
0
0
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-12
33%
2-3
67%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
33.1
13
81%
5
2
2
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
17.9
9
64%
0
1
0
1
1
4
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
16.9
8
57%
6
0
0
0
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
Dwight Powell
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 28
16.2
4
40%
2
1
1
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Ray Spalding
#26 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
Inactive - Coach's Decision
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Achilles Surgery
Dennis Smith Jr.
#1 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Illness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
49%
48
24
7
11
11
19
11
37
10-17
59%
27-59
46%
14-40
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.