FinalWin Prob.pScore
308%102
102
892%122
124
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
110.99289.9
DEN logo DEN
136.39193.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.102
0%
124
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.17 58.6%
DEN
1.29 64.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
19
29
66%
DEN
22
32
69%
Midrange
CLE
6
14
43%
DEN
13
20
65%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
DEN
15
22.5
37
41%
61%
Free Throws
CLE
22
26
85%
DEN
9
11
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Zizic2388%11.5 / 13
R. Hood1882%9.0 / 11
C. Osman1785%8.5 / 10
J. Clarkson1354%6.5 / 12
C. Sexton1038%5.0 / 13
A. Burks867%4.0 / 6
M. Dellavedova880%4.0 / 5
D. Adel3150%1.5 / 1
J. Blossomgame233%1.0 / 3
C. Payne0-0.0 / 1
C. Frye0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray2681%13.0 / 16
N. Jokić1986%9.5 / 11
T. Lyles1673%8.0 / 11
M. Morris15107%7.5 / 7
P. Millsap1464%7.0 / 11
M. Beasley1381%6.5 / 8
T. Craig550%2.5 / 5
W. Barton542%2.5 / 6
M. Plumlee583%2.5 / 3
G. Harris429%2.0 / 7
T. Lydon2100%1.0 / 1
B. Goodwin0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
80
+7
-12
87
DEN
80
+16
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.17 58.6%
DEN
1.29 64.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.4
112.6
CLE 110.9
DEN 136.3 +25.4
Pace
96.9
98.0
CLE 89.9
DEN 93.2 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.7
CLE 16.0
DEN 15.5 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
52.7%
CLE 55.6%
DEN 64.6% +9.0%
TO %
13.0%
13.1%
CLE 14.4%
DEN 11.3% +3.1%
ORB %
23.7%
26.6%
CLE 13.9%
DEN 34.3% +20.4%
FTrt
23.6
23.2
CLE 36.1 +23.7
DEN 12.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.2%
65.3%
CLE 57.1%
DEN 66.0% +8.9%
STL %
6.7%
7.9%
CLE 5.4%
DEN 7.7% +2.3%
BLK %
4.3%
8.2%
CLE 1.9%
DEN 4.7% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
54.5%
CLE 58.6%
DEN 64.6% +6.0%
Rim FG%
57.5%
59.6%
CLE 65.5%
DEN 68.8% +3.3%
Mid FG%
39.5%
43.3%
CLE 42.9%
DEN 65.0% +22.1%
3P %
35.5%
35.1%
CLE 34.5%
DEN 40.5% +6.0%
FT %
79.2%
75.5%
CLE 84.6% +2.8%
DEN 81.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
37.5%
CLE 40.3% +4.3%
DEN 36.0%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
27.7%
CLE 19.4% +3.0%
DEN 22.5%
3P Att. %
33.2%
34.8%
CLE 40.3%
DEN 41.6% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEDEN
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points102124
Rebounds2843
Assists2033
Steals57
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)11 (1)
Fouls1525
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals35-7250-89
At-the-Rim FG19-2922-32
Midrange FG6-1413-20
2-Point FG25-4335-52
3-Point FG10-2915-37
Free Throws22-269-11
Fast Break Pts1210
2nd Chance Pts718
Points in Paint4858
Pts off Turnovers922
Bench Points3447
Biggest Lead430

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20
33.2
10
38%
4
7
1
0
3
3
1
3
1-1
100%
3-9
33%
1-4
25%
#41 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22
30.8
23
88%
6
0
0
0
0
2
0
6
5-6
83%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
#16 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
30.0
17
85%
3
1
1
1
4
3
0
3
4-5
80%
5-7
71%
1-3
33%
#1 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26
26.9
18
82%
0
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
6-6
100%
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
#3 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24
19.7
0
0%
1
3
0
0
2
3
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#8 · SG · 6'3" 194 · 27
23.4
13
54%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
#10 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 28
21.7
8
67%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
6-6
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25
19.0
2
33%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 255 · 36
15.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
#18 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 28
14.8
8
80%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
#32 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22
5.1
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#22 · SF · 6'8" 245 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Sprain
#12 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#5 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 33
Inactive - Personal
#31 · C · 6'11" 229 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Wrist Surgery
#0 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Surgery
#13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
59%
28
20
5
1
12
15
5
23
22-26
85%
25-43
58%
10-29
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.