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All Games Saturday, January 19, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Heat
62%108
117
29
Bulls
38%104
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.29995.3
CHI logo CHI
105.198102.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.117
100%
103
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.30 65.0%
CHI
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
31
77%
CHI
13
34
38%
Midrange
MIA
8
16
50%
CHI
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
32
41%
61%
CHI
12
18.0
27
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
14
23
61%
CHI
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2681%13.0 / 16
D. Waiters2188%10.5 / 12
D. Wade1464%7.0 / 11
T. Johnson1464%7.0 / 11
J. Winslow1161%5.5 / 9
J. Johnson1071%5.0 / 7
D. Jones9113%4.5 / 4
H. Whiteside660%3.0 / 5
B. Adebayo583%2.5 / 3
K. Olynyk150%0.5 / 1
R. McGruder0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine2250%11.0 / 22
B. Portis2195%10.5 / 11
L. Markkanen2056%10.0 / 18
J. Parker1169%5.5 / 8
R. Arcidiacono8100%4.0 / 4
K. Dunn621%3.0 / 14
C. Hutchison550%2.5 / 5
R. Lopez550%2.5 / 5
W. Selden425%2.0 / 8
S. Harrison150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+9
-17
91
CHI
85
+17
-13
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.30 65.0%
CHI
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
104.9
MIA 118.2 +13.1
CHI 105.1
Pace
98.1
98.9
MIA 95.3
CHI 102.0 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.4
MIA 15.1
CHI 14.1 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
50.5%
MIA 65.2% +19.1%
CHI 46.1%
TO %
14.3%
13.5%
MIA 16.0%
CHI 12.2% +3.8%
ORB %
24.8%
19.4%
MIA 18.4%
CHI 23.5% +5.1%
FTrt
24.7
23.5
MIA 29.1
CHI 29.2 +0.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
55.0%
MIA 60.0% +5.7%
CHI 54.3%
STL %
7.8%
7.3%
MIA 5.1%
CHI 9.2% +4.1%
BLK %
10.2%
7.7%
MIA 9.7% +7.6%
CHI 2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
52.9%
MIA 65.0% +15.5%
CHI 49.5%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.5%
MIA 77.4% +39.2%
CHI 38.2%
Mid FG%
36.8%
39.8%
MIA 50.0% +14.3%
CHI 35.7%
3P %
34.9%
35.1%
MIA 40.6%
CHI 44.4% +3.8%
FT %
69.5%
78.3%
MIA 60.9%
CHI 80.8% +19.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
39.2%
MIA 39.2% +1.0%
CHI 38.2%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
31.3%
MIA 20.3% +11.2%
CHI 31.5%
3P Att. %
36.8%
29.5%
MIA 40.5% +10.2%
CHI 30.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points117103
Rebounds4643
Assists2719
Steals59
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)13 (1)
Fouls2325
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (1)31 (0)
Field Goals45-7935-89
At-the-Rim FG24-3113-34
Midrange FG8-1610-28
2-Point FG32-4723-62
3-Point FG13-3212-27
Free Throws14-2321-26
Fast Break Pts414
2nd Chance Pts1411
Points in Paint5840
Pts off Turnovers2113
Bench Points6445
Biggest Lead199

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
16 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Richardson
#0 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 25
29.6
26
81%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
6-7
86%
4-8
50%
Justise Winslow
#20 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 23
25.3
11
61%
5
4
1
0
3
2
0
5
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
25.1
10
71%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
25.0
6
60%
10
3
0
3
1
1
4
6
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
15.2
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-5
0%
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
26.8
14
64%
10
7
0
0
4
4
3
7
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
2-3
67%
Tyler Johnson
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
25.7
14
64%
1
2
2
0
3
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · PG · 6'9" 255 · 22
22.7
5
83%
1
3
1
2
2
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
21.8
21
88%
6
2
0
0
1
4
0
6
0-1
0%
6-6
100%
3-7
43%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
18.6
9
113%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-3
33%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
4.3
1
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | 2 Way
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | 2 Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
65%
46
27
5
6
17
23
7
39
14-23
61%
32-47
68%
13-32
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.