FinalWin Prob.pScore
271%116
113
2729%109
105
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
109.7103104.2
ATL logo ATL
102.9102100.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSATL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.113
100%
105
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.12 55.9%
ATL
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
16
31
52%
ATL
22
30
73%
Midrange
BOS
11
25
44%
ATL
6
21
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
ATL
12
18.0
41
29%
44%
Free Throws
BOS
23
25
92%
ATL
13
14
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving3276%16.0 / 21
J. Tatum1979%9.5 / 12
J. Brown1450%7.0 / 14
A. Horford1350%6.5 / 13
T. Rozier945%4.5 / 10
M. Morris844%4.0 / 9
A. Baynes675%3.0 / 4
D. Theis5125%2.5 / 2
M. Smart440%2.0 / 5
S. Ojeleye3150%1.5 / 1
B. Wanamaker0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Huerter1853%9.0 / 17
T. Young1650%8.0 / 16
J. Collins1594%7.5 / 8
A. Len1575%7.5 / 10
D. Bembry1056%5.0 / 9
T. Prince930%4.5 / 15
D. Dedmon650%3.0 / 6
J. Lin638%3.0 / 8
O. Spellman6100%3.0 / 3
V. Carter4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
88
+15
-15
103
ATL
82
+16
-20
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.12 55.9%
ATL
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
108.1
BOS 109.7 +6.8
ATL 102.9
Pace
100.0
103.9
BOS 104.2 +3.4
ATL 100.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
13.6
BOS 13.8 +0.5
ATL 14.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.2%
BOS 51.1% +1.1%
ATL 50.0%
TO %
12.4%
15.8%
BOS 13.2% +3.7%
ATL 16.9%
ORB %
21.7%
24.8%
BOS 23.4%
ATL 28.9% +5.5%
FTrt
21.5
25.5
BOS 28.4 +13.2
ATL 15.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
62.4%
BOS 48.7%
ATL 70.0% +21.3%
STL %
8.5%
7.8%
BOS 9.7% +1.9%
ATL 7.8%
BLK %
9.7%
9.2%
BOS 15.7% +5.0%
ATL 10.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
54.6%
BOS 55.9% +2.9%
ATL 53.0%
Rim FG%
61.6%
59.0%
BOS 51.6%
ATL 73.3% +21.7%
Mid FG%
43.1%
37.9%
BOS 44.0% +15.4%
ATL 28.6%
3P %
36.5%
35.2%
BOS 37.5% +8.2%
ATL 29.3%
FT %
80.2%
75.2%
BOS 92.0%
ATL 92.9% +0.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
39.2%
BOS 35.2% +2.6%
ATL 32.6%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
20.4%
BOS 28.4%
ATL 22.8% +5.6%
3P Att. %
38.1%
40.3%
BOS 36.4%
ATL 44.6% +8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSATL
Possessions103102
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points113105
Rebounds4349
Assists1928
Steals108
Blocks86
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)20 (0)
Fouls1820
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals39-8840-92
At-the-Rim FG16-3122-30
Midrange FG11-256-21
2-Point FG27-5628-51
3-Point FG12-3212-41
Free Throws23-2513-14
Fast Break Pts249
2nd Chance Pts1711
Points in Paint4252
Pts off Turnovers1614
Bench Points3740
Biggest Lead1016

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
36.5
32
76%
3
5
1
0
4
1
1
2
5-5
100%
6-11
55%
5-8
63%
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
34.6
19
79%
5
2
1
3
1
1
1
4
5-5
100%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29
28.3
8
44%
7
1
1
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-5
40%
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 33
27.6
13
50%
9
0
0
2
3
2
4
5
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
1-4
25%
#36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 25
17.3
4
40%
0
4
1
0
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
29.2
9
45%
11
4
3
1
3
1
1
10
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-5
20%
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 22
27.9
14
50%
4
2
3
0
2
1
0
4
6-8
75%
1-5
20%
2-5
40%
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
16.0
6
75%
3
0
0
1
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
11.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
5.6
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 29
5.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#28 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#26 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 25
Inactive - Personal
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 29
Inactive - Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
56%
43
19
10
8
15
18
11
32
23-25
92%
27-56
48%
12-32
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.