FinalWin Prob.pScore
1647%105
93
1753%106
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.99594.9
DET logo DET
103.29595.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.93
0%
98
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.1%
DET
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
31
77%
DET
13
26
50%
Midrange
MIA
5
17
29%
DET
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
DET
13
19.5
33
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
5
19
26%
DET
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2071%10.0 / 14
T. Johnson1657%8.0 / 14
J. Winslow1542%7.5 / 18
R. McGruder1169%5.5 / 8
B. Adebayo9150%4.5 / 3
H. Whiteside844%4.0 / 9
J. Johnson750%3.5 / 7
K. Olynyk338%1.5 / 4
D. Jones250%1.0 / 2
D. Waiters233%1.0 / 3
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin3257%16.0 / 28
L. Kennard2273%11.0 / 15
R. Bullock1973%9.5 / 13
S. Johnson12100%6.0 / 6
R. Jackson950%4.5 / 9
B. Brown233%1.0 / 3
Z. Pachulia233%1.0 / 3
A. Drummond0-0.0 / 1
L. Galloway0-0.0 / 5
J. Calderon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+12
-19
88
DET
84
+10
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.1%
DET
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
109.0
MIA 97.9 +5.3
DET 103.2
Pace
98.1
97.3
MIA 94.9
DET 95.1 +0.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.2
MIA 15.2
DET 15.1 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
50.8%
MIA 57.1% +6.5%
DET 50.6%
TO %
14.3%
13.2%
MIA 18.2%
DET 11.8% +6.4%
ORB %
24.8%
24.9%
MIA 17.1%
DET 17.4% +0.3%
FTrt
24.7
26.1
MIA 24.7 +2.7
DET 22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
57.9%
MIA 64.1%
DET 65.7% +1.6%
STL %
7.8%
7.1%
MIA 3.2%
DET 7.4% +4.2%
BLK %
10.2%
7.1%
MIA 12.2% +8.0%
DET 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
53.0%
MIA 54.1% +1.4%
DET 52.7%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.5%
MIA 77.4% +27.4%
DET 50.0%
Mid FG%
36.8%
38.4%
MIA 29.4%
DET 39.1% +9.7%
3P %
34.9%
34.8%
MIA 34.5%
DET 39.4% +4.9%
FT %
69.5%
74.7%
MIA 26.3%
DET 83.3% +57.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
36.7%
MIA 40.3% +8.6%
DET 31.7%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
23.9%
MIA 22.1% +6.0%
DET 28.0%
3P Att. %
36.8%
39.4%
MIA 37.7%
DET 40.2% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points9398
Rebounds4542
Assists2523
Steals37
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)11 (1)
Fouls2020
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)34 (0)
Field Goals39-7735-82
At-the-Rim FG24-3113-26
Midrange FG5-179-23
2-Point FG29-4822-49
3-Point FG10-2913-33
Free Throws5-1915-18
Fast Break Pts47
2nd Chance Pts144
Points in Paint5232
Pts off Turnovers1018
Bench Points3636
Biggest Lead516

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#20 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 23
35.7
15
42%
9
2
1
0
2
4
0
9
0-2
0%
3-10
30%
3-7
43%
#8 · PG · 6'3" 186 · 27
34.7
16
57%
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
30.7
7
50%
3
5
1
0
4
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
30.1
11
69%
4
4
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
19.3
8
44%
10
0
0
2
1
3
4
6
0-8
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
28.5
20
71%
4
8
0
0
5
3
0
4
0-1
0%
10-12
83%
0-2
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
26.4
9
150%
6
1
0
1
2
2
1
5
1-1
100%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
12.2
3
38%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
10.0
2
50%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
8.6
2
33%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
3.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision | Illness
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
54%
45
25
3
6
19
20
7
38
5-19
26%
29-48
60%
10-29
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.