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All Games Thursday, January 17, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
28
Bulls
17%103
105
8
Nuggets
83%116
135
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
110.59591.1
DEN logo DEN
142.19599.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
0%
135
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.05 52.5%
DEN
1.27 63.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
19
33
58%
DEN
21
39
54%
Midrange
CHI
15
32
47%
DEN
9
17
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
DEN
20
30.0
40
50%
75%
Free Throws
CHI
7
11
64%
DEN
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen2784%13.5 / 16
R. Lopez1785%8.5 / 10
J. Parker1583%7.5 / 9
C. Hutchison1267%6.0 / 9
B. Portis1036%5.0 / 14
Z. LaVine827%4.0 / 15
K. Dunn643%3.0 / 7
A. Blakeney675%3.0 / 4
S. Harrison250%1.0 / 2
C. Felicio2100%1.0 / 1
W. Selden0-0.0 / 4
R. Arcidiacono0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray2583%12.5 / 15
N. Jokić1847%9.0 / 19
P. Millsap14100%7.0 / 7
G. Harris1464%7.0 / 11
M. Beasley1393%6.5 / 7
T. Craig13108%6.5 / 6
T. Lyles1260%6.0 / 10
J. Hernangomez9113%4.5 / 4
M. Plumlee8133%4.0 / 3
M. Morris643%3.0 / 7
B. Goodwin350%1.5 / 3
T. Lydon0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
83
+17
-12
100
DEN
88
+17
-7
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.05 52.5%
DEN
1.27 63.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
112.6
CHI 110.5
DEN 142.1 +31.6
Pace
98.9
98.0
CHI 91.1
DEN 99.3 +8.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
14.7
CHI 15.8
DEN 14.5 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
52.7%
CHI 52.7%
DEN 62.5% +9.8%
TO %
13.5%
13.1%
CHI 10.9%
DEN 6.3% +4.6%
ORB %
19.4%
26.6%
CHI 33.3% +2.3%
DEN 31.0%
FTrt
23.5
23.2
CHI 11.8
DEN 20.8 +9.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
65.3%
CHI 61.4%
DEN 68.0% +6.6%
STL %
7.3%
7.9%
CHI 3.2%
DEN 6.3% +3.1%
BLK %
7.7%
8.2%
CHI 5.4% +2.3%
DEN 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.5%
CHI 52.5%
DEN 63.7% +11.2%
Rim FG%
57.5%
59.6%
CHI 57.6% +3.8%
DEN 53.8%
Mid FG%
39.8%
43.3%
CHI 46.9%
DEN 52.9% +6.0%
3P %
35.1%
35.1%
CHI 35.7%
DEN 50.0% +14.3%
FT %
78.3%
75.5%
CHI 63.6%
DEN 75.0% +11.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
37.5%
CHI 35.5%
DEN 40.6% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
31.3%
27.7%
CHI 34.4%
DEN 17.7% +16.7%
3P Att. %
29.5%
34.8%
CHI 30.1%
DEN 41.7% +11.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIDEN
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points105135
Rebounds4545
Assists2734
Steals36
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)7 (0)
Fouls2116
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals44-9350-96
At-the-Rim FG19-3321-39
Midrange FG15-329-17
2-Point FG34-6530-56
3-Point FG10-2820-40
Free Throws7-1115-20
Fast Break Pts411
2nd Chance Pts1212
Points in Paint5656
Pts off Turnovers1115
Bench Points4252
Biggest Lead340

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
28 Chicago Bulls
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Chandler Hutchison
#15 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 23
33.0
12
67%
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
Kris Dunn
#32 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 25
29.9
6
43%
1
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
Zach LaVine
#8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24
28.8
8
27%
5
6
0
0
2
4
2
3
0-0
-
4-12
33%
0-3
0%
Bobby Portis
#5 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24
27.8
10
36%
13
4
0
0
1
2
7
6
1-2
50%
3-11
27%
1-2
50%
Lauri Markkanen
#24 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 22
25.2
27
84%
10
1
0
0
2
3
1
9
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
5-10
50%
Wayne Selden
#14 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24
25.1
0
0%
0
4
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
Robin Lopez
#42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 31
19.0
17
85%
6
0
0
1
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
8-9
89%
0-1
0%
Jabari Parker
#2 · SF · 6'8" 250 · 24
18.2
15
83%
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
Ryan Arcidiacono
#51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 25
12.4
0
0%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Antonio Blakeney
#9 · SG · 6'4" 197 · 22
9.1
6
75%
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
Shaquille Harrison
#3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25
5.8
2
50%
0
3
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
#6 · PF · 6'9" 280 · 27
5.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Wendell Carter Jr.
#34 · PF · 6'10" 270 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thumb Sprain
Rawle Alkins
#20 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Denzel Valentine
#45 · PG · 6'6" 214 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Surgery
Brandon Sampson
#44 · NA · 6'5" 184 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
53%
45
27
3
3
12
21
16
29
7-11
64%
34-65
52%
10-28
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.