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All Games Thursday, January 17, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
21
Kings
47%116
95
23
Hornets
53%117
114
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
96.09994.9
CHA logo CHA
114.0100104.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACCHA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.95
0%
114
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.98 49.0%
CHA
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
19
31
61%
CHA
23
35
66%
Midrange
SAC
9
24
38%
CHA
5
14
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
11
16.5
33
33%
50%
CHA
11
16.5
38
29%
43%
Free Throws
SAC
6
13
46%
CHA
25
29
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Hield2471%12.0 / 17
B. Bogdanović1771%8.5 / 12
M. Bagley1558%7.5 / 13
D. Fox1045%5.0 / 11
W. Cauley-Stein880%4.0 / 5
I. Shumpert739%3.5 / 9
J. Jackson650%3.0 / 6
Y. Ferrell550%2.5 / 5
N. Bjelica225%1.0 / 4
H. Giles110%0.5 / 5
B. McLemore0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2355%11.5 / 21
M. Kidd-Gilchrist1575%7.5 / 10
M. Bridges1568%7.5 / 11
J. Lamb1447%7.0 / 15
T. Parker1458%7.0 / 12
W. Hernangomez1155%5.5 / 10
M. Williams1071%5.0 / 7
N. Batum744%3.5 / 8
M. Monk5125%2.5 / 2
B. Biyombo0-0.0 / 0
D. Graham0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
82
+15
-17
97
CHA
87
+16
-13
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.98 49.0%
CHA
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.0
111.3
SAC 96.0 +18.0
CHA 114.0
Pace
103.5
98.7
SAC 94.9
CHA 104.6 +9.7
Avg. Poss. Time
13.3
14.6
SAC 15.2
CHA 13.8 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
51.4%
SAC 50.6%
CHA 51.1% +0.5%
TO %
12.4%
11.7%
SAC 16.1%
CHA 11.5% +4.6%
ORB %
23.1%
21.9%
SAC 24.4%
CHA 27.9% +3.5%
FTrt
24.4
25.7
SAC 14.8
CHA 33.3 +18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
57.8%
SAC 71.8% +18.0%
CHA 53.8%
STL %
8.0%
7.2%
SAC 7.1%
CHA 11.0% +3.9%
BLK %
7.9%
8.9%
SAC 6.1%
CHA 7.3% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
54.2%
SAC 49.0%
CHA 55.3% +6.3%
Rim FG%
60.3%
56.9%
SAC 61.3%
CHA 65.7% +4.4%
Mid FG%
38.8%
41.7%
SAC 37.5% +1.8%
CHA 35.7%
3P %
37.8%
35.1%
SAC 33.3% +4.4%
CHA 28.9%
FT %
72.6%
79.7%
SAC 46.2%
CHA 86.2% +40.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
36.6%
SAC 35.2%
CHA 40.2% +5.0%
Mid Att. %
31.1%
25.7%
SAC 27.3%
CHA 16.1% +11.2%
3P Att. %
32.2%
37.8%
SAC 37.5%
CHA 43.7% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACCHA
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points95114
Rebounds4246
Assists2821
Steals711
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)13 (0)
Fouls2216
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)34 (4)
Field Goals39-8839-87
At-the-Rim FG19-3123-35
Midrange FG9-245-14
2-Point FG28-5528-49
3-Point FG11-3311-38
Free Throws6-1325-29
Fast Break Pts712
2nd Chance Pts1117
Points in Paint3852
Pts off Turnovers1424
Bench Points4460
Biggest Lead1321

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
21 Sacramento Kings
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Buddy Hield
#24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 25
32.1
24
71%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
6-11
55%
De'Aaron Fox
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 21
30.5
10
45%
5
8
1
1
4
4
0
5
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
#00 · C · 7'0" 240 · 25
27.4
8
80%
11
4
3
1
2
2
6
5
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
#9 · SF · 6'5" 212 · 29
20.1
7
39%
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
Nemanja Bjelica
#88 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 31
19.4
2
25%
6
4
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
#8 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 26
27.3
17
71%
1
2
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
7-11
64%
1-2
50%
Justin Jackson
#25 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
24.1
6
50%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
Marvin Bagley III
#35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 20
22.9
15
58%
8
1
0
0
3
2
4
4
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
Yogi Ferrell
#3 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 26
16.4
5
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
Harry Giles III
#20 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
16.2
1
10%
4
4
0
0
4
6
0
4
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
#23 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
Frank Mason
#10 · PG · 5'11" 190 · 25
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
#41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
Wenyen Gabriel
#32 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
Skal Labissiere
#7 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Troy Williams
#19 · SG · 6'7" 218 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
Zach Randolph
#50 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 38
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
49%
42
28
7
3
17
22
11
31
6-13
46%
28-55
51%
11-33
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.