FinalWin Prob.pScore
249%110
108
351%111
117
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
111.39798.0
BOS logo BOS
119.49897.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORBOS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
117
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.03 51.4%
BOS
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
21
33
64%
BOS
20
35
57%
Midrange
TOR
13
30
43%
BOS
12
27
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
7
10.5
29
24%
36%
BOS
14
21.0
30
47%
70%
Free Throws
TOR
19
21
90%
BOS
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard3375%16.5 / 22
S. Ibaka2250%11.0 / 22
D. Green1554%7.5 / 14
N. Powell1161%5.5 / 9
G. Monroe1169%5.5 / 8
K. Lowry1045%5.0 / 11
P. Siakam650%3.0 / 6
F. VanVleet0-0.0 / 3
D. Wright0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving2771%13.5 / 19
A. Horford2492%12.0 / 13
G. Hayward1869%9.0 / 13
J. Tatum1650%8.0 / 16
A. Baynes990%4.5 / 5
J. Brown732%3.5 / 11
M. Morris633%3.0 / 9
M. Smart563%2.5 / 4
T. Rozier563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
87
+17
-10
104
BOS
84
+15
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.03 51.4%
BOS
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
111.8
TOR 111.3
BOS 119.4 +8.0
Pace
100.2
100.0
TOR 98.0 +0.9
BOS 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
14.2
TOR 14.7 +0.1
BOS 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
53.4%
TOR 48.4%
BOS 57.6% +9.2%
TO %
13.2%
12.4%
TOR 11.4% +1.9%
BOS 13.3%
ORB %
21.8%
21.7%
TOR 28.6%
BOS 33.3% +4.7%
FTrt
24.7
21.5
TOR 22.8 +8.7
BOS 14.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
62.4%
TOR 48.8%
BOS 69.6% +20.8%
STL %
8.2%
8.5%
TOR 9.3% +3.2%
BOS 6.1%
BLK %
9.1%
9.7%
TOR 3.2%
BOS 9.5% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
55.3%
TOR 51.4%
BOS 59.1% +7.7%
Rim FG%
61.6%
61.6%
TOR 63.6% +6.5%
BOS 57.1%
Mid FG%
43.1%
43.1%
TOR 43.3%
BOS 44.4% +1.1%
3P %
36.6%
36.5%
TOR 24.1%
BOS 46.7% +22.6%
FT %
80.4%
80.2%
TOR 90.5% +5.9%
BOS 84.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
32.1%
TOR 35.9%
BOS 38.0% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
29.8%
TOR 32.6%
BOS 29.3% +3.3%
3P Att. %
37.9%
38.1%
TOR 31.5%
BOS 32.6% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORBOS
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points108117
Rebounds4249
Assists2032
Steals96
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)10 (3)14 (1)
Fouls1424
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)35 (1)
Field Goals41-9246-92
At-the-Rim FG21-3320-35
Midrange FG13-3012-27
2-Point FG34-6332-62
3-Point FG7-2914-30
Free Throws19-2111-13
Fast Break Pts1815
2nd Chance Pts1211
Points in Paint5854
Pts off Turnovers1812
Bench Points2239
Biggest Lead1116

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
36.4
33
75%
4
2
4
0
1
0
0
4
11-11
100%
8-11
73%
2-8
25%
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
35.8
6
50%
4
7
1
0
3
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
33.7
22
50%
10
0
0
0
1
3
5
5
2-3
67%
10-18
56%
0-3
0%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
33.5
10
45%
6
7
1
1
1
2
1
5
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
1-5
20%
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 32
30.8
15
54%
6
1
0
1
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
3-8
38%
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 26
24.0
11
61%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
18.1
0
0%
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#15 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29
15.4
11
69%
9
0
0
0
1
1
4
5
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#55 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
#1 · SG · 6'7" 185 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32
DND - Injury/Illness | Sore Right Hip
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#22 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 22
Inactive - Personal
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thumb Dislocation
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
51%
42
20
9
2
10
14
14
28
19-21
90%
34-63
54%
7-29
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.