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All Games Tuesday, January 15, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
1
Warriors
57%116
142
8
Nuggets
43%113
111
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
146.49797.9
DEN logo DEN
113.39897.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.142
100%
111
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.41 70.3%
DEN
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
17
25
68%
DEN
21
35
60%
Midrange
GSW
19
31
61%
DEN
7
23
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
21
31.5
39
54%
81%
DEN
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
Free Throws
GSW
7
10
70%
DEN
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry3191%15.5 / 17
K. Thompson3191%15.5 / 17
K. Durant2790%13.5 / 15
Q. Cook1169%5.5 / 8
K. Looney956%4.5 / 8
A. Iguodala880%4.0 / 5
S. Livingston8100%4.0 / 4
J. Jerebko788%3.5 / 4
D. Green433%2.0 / 6
J. Bell450%2.0 / 4
A. McKinnie233%1.0 / 3
J. Evans0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2285%11.0 / 13
J. Murray2170%10.5 / 15
N. Jokić1761%8.5 / 14
W. Barton1146%5.5 / 12
P. Millsap1071%5.0 / 7
M. Plumlee956%4.5 / 8
J. Hernangomez788%3.5 / 4
T. Craig467%2.0 / 3
T. Lyles450%2.0 / 4
B. Goodwin325%1.5 / 6
M. Morris214%1.0 / 7
T. Welsh150%0.5 / 1
T. Lydon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
87
+14
-10
101
DEN
90
+10
-8
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.41 70.3%
DEN
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.5
112.6
GSW 146.4 +33.1
DEN 113.3
Pace
101.3
98.0
GSW 97.9 +0.8
DEN 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
14.7
GSW 14.7 +0.1
DEN 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.4%
52.7%
GSW 71.1% +17.8%
DEN 53.3%
TO %
13.5%
13.1%
GSW 9.1%
DEN 7.5% +1.6%
ORB %
22.5%
26.6%
GSW 30.8% +11.7%
DEN 19.1%
FTrt
22.7
23.2
GSW 10.5
DEN 17.4 +6.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.8%
65.3%
GSW 66.7%
DEN 71.4% +4.7%
STL %
7.4%
7.9%
GSW 6.2% +2.1%
DEN 4.1%
BLK %
11.3%
8.2%
GSW 6.9% +1.5%
DEN 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.3%
54.5%
GSW 70.3% +14.8%
DEN 55.5%
Rim FG%
66.3%
59.6%
GSW 68.0% +8.0%
DEN 60.0%
Mid FG%
45.8%
43.3%
GSW 61.3% +30.9%
DEN 30.4%
3P %
38.5%
35.1%
GSW 53.8% +12.6%
DEN 41.2%
FT %
80.1%
75.5%
GSW 70.0%
DEN 81.3% +11.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
37.5%
GSW 26.3%
DEN 38.0% +11.7%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
27.7%
GSW 32.6%
DEN 25.0% +7.6%
3P Att. %
38.4%
34.8%
GSW 41.1% +4.1%
DEN 37.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsGSWDEN
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points142111
Rebounds5036
Assists3830
Steals64
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)8 (0)
Fouls2012
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)27 (1)
Field Goals57-9542-92
At-the-Rim FG17-2521-35
Midrange FG19-317-23
2-Point FG36-5628-58
3-Point FG21-3914-34
Free Throws7-1013-16
Fast Break Pts96
2nd Chance Pts1310
Points in Paint4648
Pts off Turnovers1310
Bench Points4037
Biggest Lead380

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
1 Golden State Warriors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Draymond Green
#23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 29
31.3
4
33%
6
13
1
0
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
Kevin Durant
#35 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 30
29.7
27
90%
4
6
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-8
75%
5-7
71%
Stephen Curry
#30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
29.7
31
91%
6
4
0
0
3
2
1
5
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
8-13
62%
Klay Thompson
#11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
24.9
31
91%
3
1
3
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
8-11
73%
5-8
63%
Kevon Looney
#5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 23
23.6
9
56%
12
4
0
1
1
2
6
6
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Alfonzo McKinnie
#28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26
21.7
2
33%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
Andre Iguodala
#9 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 35
21.5
8
80%
6
2
1
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
#21 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 32
18.3
7
88%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
Quinn Cook
#4 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 26
13.7
11
69%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
Shaun Livingston
#34 · PG · 6'7" 192 · 33
9.7
8
100%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Jordan Bell
#2 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 24
8.7
4
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Jacob Evans
#10 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 22
7.4
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Damion Lee
#1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Damian Jones
#15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Pectoral Surgery
DeMarcus Cousins
#0 · C · 6'11" 270 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles Rehab
Marcus Derrickson
#32 · PF · 6'7" 249 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
142
70%
50
38
6
4
10
20
12
38
7-10
70%
36-56
64%
21-39
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.