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All Games Tuesday, January 15, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
17
Heat
31%107
86
3
Bucks
69%114
124
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
82.7104101.0
MIL logo MIL
119.2104107.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.86
0%
124
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
MIL
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
18
72%
MIL
22
36
61%
Midrange
MIA
15
34
44%
MIL
9
21
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
34
24%
35%
MIL
17
25.5
39
44%
65%
Free Throws
MIA
6
8
75%
MIL
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow1973%9.5 / 13
H. Whiteside1979%9.5 / 12
D. Wade975%4.5 / 6
W. Ellington990%4.5 / 5
T. Johnson744%3.5 / 8
D. Jones788%3.5 / 4
J. Richardson630%3.0 / 10
R. McGruder425%2.0 / 8
B. Adebayo214%1.0 / 7
K. Olynyk214%1.0 / 7
D. Waiters225%1.0 / 4
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Bledsoe1753%8.5 / 16
M. Brogdon1657%8.0 / 14
S. Brown1372%6.5 / 9
G. Antetokounmpo1250%6.0 / 12
K. Middleton1146%5.5 / 12
B. Lopez1179%5.5 / 7
T. Snell10100%5.0 / 5
P. Connaughton964%4.5 / 7
D. Wilson867%4.0 / 6
G. Hill758%3.5 / 6
E. Ilyasova583%2.5 / 3
J. Smith3150%1.5 / 1
T. Maker233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+5
-17
92
MIL
97
+8
-7
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
MIL
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
113.9
MIA 82.7 +36.5
MIL 119.2
Pace
98.1
103.2
MIA 101.0
MIL 107.2 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.9
MIA 14.3
MIL 13.4 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
55.0%
MIA 46.5%
MIL 58.9% +12.4%
TO %
14.3%
12.8%
MIA 16.7%
MIL 6.3% +10.4%
ORB %
24.8%
20.8%
MIA 8.0%
MIL 15.2% +7.2%
FTrt
24.7
25.5
MIA 9.3
MIL 18.8 +9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
60.1%
MIA 75.0% +2.1%
MIL 72.9%
STL %
7.8%
7.2%
MIA 1.9%
MIL 7.7% +5.8%
BLK %
10.2%
10.4%
MIA 10.5%
MIL 11.5% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
57.1%
MIA 46.7%
MIL 58.5% +11.8%
Rim FG%
60.8%
64.1%
MIA 72.2% +11.1%
MIL 61.1%
Mid FG%
36.8%
39.4%
MIA 44.1% +1.2%
MIL 42.9%
3P %
34.9%
35.2%
MIA 23.5%
MIL 43.6% +20.1%
FT %
69.5%
77.2%
MIA 75.0% +13.9%
MIL 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
40.2%
MIA 20.9%
MIL 37.5% +16.6%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
17.8%
MIA 39.5%
MIL 21.9% +17.7%
3P Att. %
36.8%
42.0%
MIA 39.5%
MIL 40.6% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions104104
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points86124
Rebounds4353
Assists2735
Steals28
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)7 (0)
Fouls1412
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)46 (1)
Field Goals36-8648-96
At-the-Rim FG13-1822-36
Midrange FG15-349-21
2-Point FG28-5231-57
3-Point FG8-3417-39
Free Throws6-811-18
Fast Break Pts520
2nd Chance Pts214
Points in Paint4856
Pts off Turnovers420
Bench Points3857
Biggest Lead438

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
17 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Justise Winslow
#20 · PG · 6'7" 225 · 23
28.8
19
73%
5
5
0
2
3
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-9
56%
3-6
50%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
26.2
19
79%
8
1
0
1
2
1
0
8
3-5
60%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
25.3
6
30%
3
5
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
21.4
0
0%
6
0
0
2
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
17.4
4
25%
4
2
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
Tyler Johnson
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
24.7
7
44%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
23.3
2
14%
5
2
0
0
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
22.1
9
75%
3
4
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
18.0
7
88%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
13.1
2
14%
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
11.9
2
25%
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
Wayne Ellington
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
7.7
9
90%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
43
27
2
6
17
14
4
39
6-8
75%
28-52
54%
8-34
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.