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All Games Monday, January 14, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
25
Hornets
30%111
108
8
Spurs
70%118
93
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
114.99490.2
SAS logo SAS
100.09397.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHASAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.108
100%
93
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.08 54.0%
SAS
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
12
22
55%
SAS
15
24
63%
Midrange
CHA
18
34
53%
SAS
16
38
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
13
19.5
36
36%
54%
SAS
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
CHA
9
11
82%
SAS
10
12
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker3363%16.5 / 26
J. Lamb1959%9.5 / 16
M. Williams1179%5.5 / 7
B. Biyombo964%4.5 / 7
T. Parker833%4.0 / 12
M. Bridges8133%4.0 / 3
W. Hernangomez880%4.0 / 5
N. Batum758%3.5 / 6
M. Kidd-Gilchrist330%1.5 / 5
M. Monk220%1.0 / 5
D. Graham0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2874%14.0 / 19
D. White1869%9.0 / 13
D. DeRozan1450%7.0 / 14
P. Mills1444%7.0 / 16
D. Bertans867%4.0 / 6
B. Forbes732%3.5 / 11
P. Gasol250%1.0 / 2
J. Poeltl250%1.0 / 2
D. Cunningham0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
87
+13
-7
100
SAS
81
+7
-12
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.08 54.0%
SAS
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
112.6
CHA 114.9 +14.9
SAS 100.0
Pace
98.7
98.6
CHA 90.2
SAS 97.1 +6.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.0
CHA 16.0
SAS 14.8 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
53.4%
CHA 53.8% +3.2%
SAS 50.6%
TO %
11.7%
11.9%
CHA 7.6% +4.5%
SAS 12.1%
ORB %
21.9%
20.9%
CHA 19.5% +12.0%
SAS 7.5%
FTrt
25.7
23.7
CHA 12.0
SAS 14.6 +2.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
58.0%
CHA 55.8% +0.5%
SAS 55.3%
STL %
7.2%
6.2%
CHA 7.4% +3.1%
SAS 4.3%
BLK %
8.9%
8.3%
CHA 6.5%
SAS 10.7% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
56.0%
CHA 54.0% +1.8%
SAS 52.2%
Rim FG%
56.9%
62.7%
CHA 54.5%
SAS 62.5% +8.0%
Mid FG%
41.7%
44.0%
CHA 52.9% +10.8%
SAS 42.1%
3P %
35.1%
39.2%
CHA 36.1% +1.1%
SAS 35.0%
FT %
79.7%
81.8%
CHA 81.8%
SAS 83.3% +1.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
27.8%
CHA 23.9%
SAS 29.3% +5.4%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
43.7%
CHA 37.0% +9.4%
SAS 46.3%
3P Att. %
37.8%
28.6%
CHA 39.1% +14.7%
SAS 24.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsCHASAS
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points10893
Rebounds4536
Assists2421
Steals74
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)12 (0)
Fouls1415
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)3 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)33 (4)
Field Goals43-9238-82
At-the-Rim FG12-2215-24
Midrange FG18-3416-38
2-Point FG30-5631-62
3-Point FG13-367-20
Free Throws9-1110-12
Fast Break Pts89
2nd Chance Pts226
Points in Paint4434
Pts off Turnovers78
Bench Points2924
Biggest Lead158

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
25 Charlotte Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kemba Walker
#15 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 29
36.6
33
63%
4
5
2
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-14
43%
7-13
54%
Jeremy Lamb
#3 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 27
30.8
19
59%
7
2
1
1
2
1
1
6
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
1-3
33%
Nicolas Batum
#5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
30.4
7
58%
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
Marvin Williams
#2 · PF · 6'9" 237 · 33
27.3
11
79%
5
3
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
Bismack Biyombo
#8 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
21.9
9
64%
6
1
1
1
1
5
2
4
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
#14 · SF · 6'7" 232 · 25
25.2
3
30%
7
1
0
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
#9 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37
19.4
8
33%
3
4
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-1
0%
Miles Bridges
#0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 21
18.7
8
133%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
Willy Hernangomez
#41 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25
13.9
8
80%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
Devonte' Graham
#4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
10.9
0
0%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Malik Monk
#1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 21
4.8
2
20%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
Frank Kaminsky
#44 · PF · 7'0" 242 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Dwayne Bacon
#7 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
J.P. Macura
#55 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
Joe Chealey
#31 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
Cody Zeller
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right hand surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
54%
45
24
7
4
7
14
8
37
9-11
82%
30-56
54%
13-36
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.