FinalWin Prob.pScore
1037%110
112
663%115
122
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
106.710594.3
OKC logo OKC
116.2105118.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASOKC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.112
0%
122
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.06 52.8%
OKC
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
23
37
62%
OKC
23
39
59%
Midrange
SAS
11
28
39%
OKC
9
31
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
31
32%
48%
OKC
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
Free Throws
SAS
14
20
70%
OKC
25
29
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Belinelli24133%12.0 / 9
D. DeRozan1845%9.0 / 20
L. Aldridge1771%8.5 / 12
B. Forbes1444%7.0 / 16
D. Bertans964%4.5 / 7
D. White840%4.0 / 10
D. Cunningham7117%3.5 / 3
J. Poeltl660%3.0 / 5
P. Mills429%2.0 / 7
P. Gasol233%1.0 / 3
D. Eubanks2100%1.0 / 1
Q. Pondexter125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook2446%12.0 / 26
D. Schröder1953%9.5 / 18
P. George1847%9.0 / 19
A. Nader15125%7.5 / 6
P. Patterson1393%6.5 / 7
S. Adams1275%6.0 / 8
J. Grant1275%6.0 / 8
T. Ferguson8100%4.0 / 4
H. Diallo110%0.5 / 5
T. Luwawu-Cabarrot0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
91
+14
-14
105
OKC
98
+9
-7
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.06 52.8%
OKC
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
110.3
SAS 106.7
OKC 116.2 +9.5
Pace
98.6
102.9
SAS 94.3
OKC 118.5 +24.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.2
SAS 15.3
OKC 12.2 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
51.4%
SAS 51.0%
OKC 52.2% +1.2%
TO %
11.9%
13.2%
SAS 11.8%
OKC 6.2% +5.6%
ORB %
20.9%
26.0%
SAS 24.5% +9.3%
OKC 15.2%
FTrt
23.7
26.6
SAS 20.8
OKC 31.2 +10.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
54.8%
SAS 47.7%
OKC 62.8% +15.1%
STL %
6.2%
9.0%
SAS 4.8%
OKC 9.5% +4.7%
BLK %
8.3%
9.1%
SAS 10.0% +2.3%
OKC 7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
53.5%
SAS 52.8%
OKC 57.0% +4.2%
Rim FG%
62.7%
59.6%
SAS 62.2% +3.2%
OKC 59.0%
Mid FG%
44.0%
38.6%
SAS 39.3% +10.3%
OKC 29.0%
3P %
39.2%
34.8%
SAS 32.3%
OKC 47.8% +15.5%
FT %
81.8%
71.3%
SAS 70.0%
OKC 86.2% +16.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
38.6%
SAS 38.5%
OKC 41.9% +3.4%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
26.7%
SAS 29.2% +4.2%
OKC 33.3%
3P Att. %
28.6%
34.7%
SAS 32.3% +7.6%
OKC 24.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASOKC
Possessions105105
Possession Minutes26.721.3
Points112122
Rebounds5247
Assists2127
Steals510
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)7 (0)
Fouls1816
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)40 (1)
Field Goals44-9643-93
At-the-Rim FG23-3723-39
Midrange FG11-289-31
2-Point FG34-6532-70
3-Point FG10-3111-23
Free Throws14-2025-29
Fast Break Pts727
2nd Chance Pts1212
Points in Paint5252
Pts off Turnovers1021
Bench Points5348
Biggest Lead1318

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 29
34.9
18
45%
6
4
1
1
4
2
2
4
4-6
67%
7-19
37%
0-0
-
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 33
32.8
17
71%
9
3
1
0
0
1
1
8
1-1
100%
8-13
62%
0-1
0%
#4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25
31.3
8
40%
7
4
0
3
4
3
2
5
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25
27.8
14
44%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
1-7
14%
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 39
14.2
2
33%
6
0
0
0
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
30.4
9
64%
4
1
2
2
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-9
33%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
22.4
24
133%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
4-4
100%
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
18.6
6
60%
10
1
0
1
0
0
5
5
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
15.8
4
29%
2
4
0
0
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
4.0
7
117%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
4.0
1
25%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
4.0
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Right Anterior Cruciate Ligament
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way Contract
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | On Assignment
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | On Assignment
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained Left Wrist
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
53%
52
21
5
7
14
18
13
39
14-20
70%
34-65
52%
10-31
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.