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All Games Wednesday, January 9, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Spurs
51%105
86
17
Grizzlies
49%104
96
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
87.898107.2
MEM logo MEM
99.09789.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMEM
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.86
0%
96
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.88 43.9%
MEM
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
6
20
30%
MEM
17
27
63%
Midrange
SAS
13
36
36%
MEM
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
MEM
8
12.0
33
24%
36%
Free Throws
SAS
15
23
65%
MEM
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Forbes1458%7.0 / 12
M. Belinelli1458%7.0 / 12
L. Aldridge1346%6.5 / 14
P. Mills1359%6.5 / 11
D. White1267%6.0 / 9
D. DeRozan928%4.5 / 16
P. Gasol758%3.5 / 6
D. Bertans350%1.5 / 3
J. Poeltl150%0.5 / 1
D. Cunningham0-0.0 / 4
D. Eubanks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Gasol2672%13.0 / 18
M. Conley1539%7.5 / 19
J. Jackson1275%6.0 / 8
J. Green12150%6.0 / 4
S. Mack1056%5.0 / 9
K. Anderson950%4.5 / 9
J. Holiday638%3.0 / 8
O. Casspi433%2.0 / 6
G. Temple217%1.0 / 6
J. Noah0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
85
+13
-13
98
MEM
88
+11
-9
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.88 43.9%
MEM
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
106.1
SAS 87.8
MEM 99.0 +11.2
Pace
98.6
96.6
SAS 107.2 +17.9
MEM 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.4
SAS 13.4 +2.7
MEM 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
50.8%
SAS 42.8%
MEM 45.6% +2.8%
TO %
11.9%
13.5%
SAS 13.9%
MEM 8.3% +5.6%
ORB %
20.9%
20.1%
SAS 15.7%
MEM 16.7% +1.0%
FTrt
23.7
27.2
SAS 27.7 +5.5
MEM 22.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
63.1%
SAS 46.7%
MEM 59.5% +12.8%
STL %
6.2%
8.5%
SAS 4.1%
MEM 6.2% +2.1%
BLK %
8.3%
10.7%
SAS 3.5%
MEM 14.3% +10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
53.4%
SAS 43.9%
MEM 48.5% +4.6%
Rim FG%
62.7%
59.9%
SAS 30.0%
MEM 63.0% +33.0%
Mid FG%
44.0%
40.0%
SAS 36.1%
MEM 40.0% +3.9%
3P %
39.2%
34.2%
SAS 40.7% +16.5%
MEM 24.2%
FT %
81.8%
77.2%
SAS 65.2%
MEM 70.0% +4.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
34.8%
SAS 24.1%
MEM 30.0% +5.9%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
31.0%
SAS 43.4%
MEM 33.3% +10.0%
3P Att. %
28.6%
34.2%
SAS 32.5%
MEM 36.7% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASMEM
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points8696
Rebounds5352
Assists1422
Steals46
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)9 (0)
Fouls1922
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)45 (1)43 (1)
Field Goals30-8337-90
At-the-Rim FG6-2017-27
Midrange FG13-3612-30
2-Point FG19-5629-57
3-Point FG11-278-33
Free Throws15-2314-20
Fast Break Pts1116
2nd Chance Pts79
Points in Paint2448
Pts off Turnovers820
Bench Points3732
Biggest Lead216

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
10 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bryn Forbes
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25
32.5
14
58%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
3-8
38%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 29
31.4
9
28%
5
4
1
0
4
0
2
3
1-3
33%
4-15
27%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 33
29.6
13
46%
7
1
0
1
1
2
2
5
5-6
83%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
Derrick White
#4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25
15.7
12
67%
2
2
0
0
3
5
0
2
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
13.7
1
50%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
30.6
13
59%
3
3
2
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
29.1
14
58%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 39
19.9
7
58%
12
1
0
0
1
0
1
11
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
18.1
3
50%
6
0
0
0
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
9.1
0
0%
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained Left Wrist
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Right ACL
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
44%
53
14
4
2
13
19
8
45
15-23
65%
19-56
34%
11-27
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.