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All Games Wednesday, January 9, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Pacers
33%104
108
4
Celtics
67%110
135
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
103.8104111.2
BOS logo BOS
132.410295.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDBOS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
135
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.99 49.5%
BOS
1.38 68.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
16
34
47%
BOS
25
32
78%
Midrange
IND
14
29
48%
BOS
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
BOS
14
21.0
32
44%
66%
Free Throws
IND
21
33
64%
BOS
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Sabonis2077%10.0 / 13
V. Oladipo1753%8.5 / 16
T. Evans1550%7.5 / 15
K. O'Quinn1179%5.5 / 7
T. Young1045%5.0 / 11
T. Leaf867%4.0 / 6
B. Bogdanovic735%3.5 / 10
D. Collison758%3.5 / 6
C. Joseph433%2.0 / 6
D. McDermott440%2.0 / 5
A. Holiday467%2.0 / 3
A. Johnson117%0.5 / 3
E. Sumner0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Morris22100%11.0 / 11
J. Brown2273%11.0 / 15
J. Tatum2071%10.0 / 14
G. Hayward14117%7.0 / 6
K. Irving1267%6.0 / 9
T. Rozier1275%6.0 / 8
D. Theis1286%6.0 / 7
A. Horford650%3.0 / 6
R. Williams6100%3.0 / 3
B. Wanamaker375%1.5 / 2
M. Smart233%1.0 / 3
S. Ojeleye220%1.0 / 5
G. Yabusele233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
93
+16
-11
109
BOS
89
+9
-13
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.99 49.5%
BOS
1.38 68.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
111.8
IND 103.8
BOS 132.4 +28.5
Pace
98.2
100.0
IND 111.2 +15.4
BOS 95.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.2
IND 13.0 +2.1
BOS 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
53.4%
IND 47.8%
BOS 64.8% +17.0%
TO %
13.5%
12.4%
IND 9.4% +3.0%
BOS 12.4%
ORB %
21.9%
21.7%
IND 23.5%
BOS 25.0% +1.5%
FTrt
24.2
21.5
IND 36.3 +9.0
BOS 27.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
62.4%
IND 66.7% +2.7%
BOS 64.0%
STL %
8.9%
8.5%
IND 5.8%
BOS 6.9% +1.1%
BLK %
9.2%
9.7%
IND 0.0%
BOS 11.1% +11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
55.3%
IND 49.5%
BOS 68.9% +19.4%
Rim FG%
60.4%
61.6%
IND 47.1%
BOS 78.1% +31.0%
Mid FG%
41.1%
43.1%
IND 48.3% +2.5%
BOS 45.8%
3P %
37.4%
36.5%
IND 32.1%
BOS 43.8% +11.7%
FT %
75.1%
80.2%
IND 63.6%
BOS 87.5% +23.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
32.1%
IND 37.4% +1.0%
BOS 36.4%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
29.8%
IND 31.9%
BOS 27.3% +4.6%
3P Att. %
29.1%
38.1%
IND 30.8%
BOS 36.4% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDBOS
Possessions104102
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points108135
Rebounds3948
Assists2632
Steals67
Blocks07
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)13 (1)
Fouls1825
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)39 (1)
Field Goals39-9150-88
At-the-Rim FG16-3425-32
Midrange FG14-2911-24
2-Point FG30-6336-56
3-Point FG9-2814-32
Free Throws21-3321-24
Fast Break Pts1033
2nd Chance Pts1512
Points in Paint4056
Pts off Turnovers1620
Bench Points4773
Biggest Lead031

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
11 Indiana Pacers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Domantas Sabonis
#11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23
27.2
20
77%
7
5
0
0
1
3
3
4
8-8
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
#21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 31
26.4
10
45%
8
1
0
0
2
4
4
4
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
26.4
17
53%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
2-6
33%
3-6
50%
3-7
43%
Bojan Bogdanovic
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
24.2
7
35%
3
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
Darren Collison
#2 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
21.8
7
58%
0
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
Tyreke Evans
#12 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
22.3
15
50%
3
5
0
0
2
0
0
3
1-3
33%
4-10
40%
2-6
33%
Kyle O'Quinn
#10 · C · 6'10" 250 · 29
20.8
11
79%
5
3
0
0
2
3
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
Cory Joseph
#6 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
20.1
4
33%
3
4
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
TJ Leaf
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 22
17.7
8
67%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-5
40%
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
Doug McDermott
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 27
16.6
4
40%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
Aaron Holiday
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 22
6.2
4
67%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Alize Johnson
#24 · PF · 6'8" 216 · 23
6.2
1
17%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Edmond Sumner
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 23
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Ike Anigbogu
#13 · C · 6'10" 262 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Myles Turner
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore Right Shoulder
Davon Reed
#32 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
50%
39
26
6
0
11
18
12
27
21-33
64%
30-63
48%
9-28
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.