for complete access.
All Games Monday, January 7, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
25
Magic
35%111
95
22
Kings
65%116
111
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
88.8107106.3
SAC logo SAC
103.7107107.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.95
0%
111
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.97 48.5%
SAC
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
10
21
48%
SAC
25
35
71%
Midrange
ORL
9
29
31%
SAC
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
13
19.5
37
35%
53%
SAC
10
15.0
34
29%
44%
Free Throws
ORL
18
24
75%
SAC
11
20
55%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ross2083%10.0 / 12
N. Vučević1856%9.0 / 16
E. Fournier1583%7.5 / 9
W. Iwundu1146%5.5 / 12
A. Gordon1033%5.0 / 15
I. Briscoe945%4.5 / 10
D. Augustin643%3.0 / 7
J. Martin4200%2.0 / 1
J. Isaac217%1.0 / 6
M. Bamba0-0.0 / 3
J. Simmons0-0.0 / 3
K. Birch0-0.0 / 1
J. Grant0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Fox2071%10.0 / 14
B. Bogdanović1558%7.5 / 13
B. Hield1365%6.5 / 10
W. Cauley-Stein1150%5.5 / 11
J. Jackson1161%5.5 / 9
Y. Ferrell1050%5.0 / 10
M. Bagley840%4.0 / 10
H. Giles770%3.5 / 5
F. Mason660%3.0 / 5
N. Bjelica433%2.0 / 6
K. Koufos440%2.0 / 5
S. Labissière2100%1.0 / 1
B. McLemore0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
91
+7
-16
98
SAC
98
+10
-9
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.97 48.5%
SAC
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.5
110.0
ORL 88.8 +15.0
SAC 103.7
Pace
98.4
103.5
ORL 106.3
SAC 107.7 +1.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
13.3
ORL 13.5
SAC 13.4 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
52.4%
ORL 44.3%
SAC 51.5% +7.2%
TO %
12.7%
12.4%
ORL 14.1%
SAC 7.8% +6.3%
ORB %
21.9%
23.1%
ORL 9.4%
SAC 18.0% +8.6%
FTrt
21.6
24.4
ORL 27.6 +7.0
SAC 20.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.2%
58.8%
ORL 46.9%
SAC 53.3% +6.4%
STL %
6.7%
8.0%
ORL 7.5%
SAC 10.3% +2.8%
BLK %
9.5%
7.9%
ORL 1.6%
SAC 8.0% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
54.1%
ORL 48.5%
SAC 50.9% +2.4%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.3%
ORL 47.6%
SAC 71.4% +23.8%
Mid FG%
40.3%
38.8%
ORL 31.0%
SAC 35.7% +4.7%
3P %
35.6%
37.8%
ORL 35.1% +5.7%
SAC 29.4%
FT %
78.2%
72.6%
ORL 75.0% +20.0%
SAC 55.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.9%
36.7%
ORL 24.1%
SAC 36.1% +11.9%
Mid Att. %
32.1%
31.1%
ORL 33.3%
SAC 28.9% +4.5%
3P Att. %
36.0%
32.2%
ORL 42.5% +7.5%
SAC 35.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLSAC
Possessions107107
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points95111
Rebounds4657
Assists1524
Steals811
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)9 (0)
Fouls1518
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (5)48 (2)
Field Goals32-8745-97
At-the-Rim FG10-2125-35
Midrange FG9-2910-28
2-Point FG19-5035-63
3-Point FG13-3710-34
Free Throws18-2411-20
Fast Break Pts1224
2nd Chance Pts49
Points in Paint2464
Pts off Turnovers727
Bench Points4448
Biggest Lead429

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
25 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Aaron Gordon
#00 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 23
34.1
10
33%
9
1
1
0
0
0
2
7
3-4
75%
2-8
25%
1-5
20%
Evan Fournier
#10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 26
26.0
15
83%
1
1
0
0
3
2
0
1
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
Nikola Vucevic
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 28
24.6
18
56%
13
3
1
1
1
1
2
11
3-4
75%
6-12
50%
1-2
50%
Jonathan Isaac
#1 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 21
22.6
2
17%
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
D.J. Augustin
#14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 31
19.4
6
43%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
Wes Iwundu
#25 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 24
26.5
11
46%
5
1
0
0
2
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
#31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 28
23.4
20
83%
1
2
2
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
Isaiah Briscoe
#13 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 23
17.0
9
45%
1
4
2
0
1
3
0
1
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
Mo Bamba
#5 · C · 7'1" 225 · 21
12.8
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
Jonathon Simmons
#17 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 29
11.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
Khem Birch
#24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 26
10.6
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
#2 · PF · 6'10" 239 · 25
6.2
4
200%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
#22 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 26
5.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
#21 · C · 7'1" 275 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
Amile Jefferson
#11 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Melvin Frazier Jr.
#35 · SF · 6'6" 198 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | On Assignment
Troy Caupain
#3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
49%
46
15
8
1
16
15
5
41
18-24
75%
19-50
38%
13-37
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.