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All Games Monday, January 7, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
24
Lakers
32%108
107
17
Mavericks
68%115
97
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
105.9101108.3
DAL logo DAL
95.110295.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.107
100%
97
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.01 50.5%
DAL
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
26
37
70%
DAL
17
29
59%
Midrange
LAL
7
28
25%
DAL
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
8
12.0
29
28%
41%
DAL
8
12.0
30
27%
40%
Free Throws
LAL
17
27
63%
DAL
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Ingram2960%14.5 / 24
L. Ball2162%10.5 / 17
J. Hart1454%7.0 / 13
K. Kuzma1331%6.5 / 21
M. Beasley1393%6.5 / 7
J. McGee867%4.0 / 6
I. Zubac467%2.0 / 3
K. Caldwell-Pope330%1.5 / 5
T. Chandler250%1.0 / 2
S. Mykhailiuk0-0.0 / 1
L. Stephenson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2754%13.5 / 25
H. Barnes1139%5.5 / 14
D. Smith Jr.1169%5.5 / 8
J. Barea1142%5.5 / 13
D. Jordan1071%5.0 / 7
D. Finney-Smith880%4.0 / 5
D. Powell880%4.0 / 5
W. Matthews531%2.5 / 8
D. Harris433%2.0 / 6
D. Nowitzki233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
88
+18
-13
106
DAL
84
+18
-18
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.01 50.5%
DAL
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
109.2
LAL 105.9
DAL 95.1 +10.8
Pace
103.0
99.1
LAL 108.3 +12.7
DAL 95.6
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
14.8
LAL 13.3 +1.8
DAL 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.8%
LAL 47.9% +1.4%
DAL 46.5%
TO %
14.7%
13.6%
LAL 11.7% +4.7%
DAL 16.4%
ORB %
22.2%
22.6%
LAL 22.4%
DAL 29.8% +7.4%
FTrt
25.7
29.1
LAL 28.7 +0.8
DAL 27.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
60.3%
LAL 68.3% +35.0%
DAL 33.3%
STL %
7.3%
6.5%
LAL 11.9% +2.1%
DAL 9.8%
BLK %
9.2%
7.6%
LAL 3.6%
DAL 10.8% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
54.2%
LAL 50.5% +3.0%
DAL 47.5%
Rim FG%
62.0%
62.0%
LAL 70.3% +11.7%
DAL 58.6%
Mid FG%
38.8%
39.0%
LAL 25.0%
DAL 40.7% +15.7%
3P %
33.3%
34.0%
LAL 27.6% +0.9%
DAL 26.7%
FT %
69.9%
74.2%
LAL 63.0%
DAL 70.8% +7.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
43.6%
33.8%
LAL 39.4% +5.6%
DAL 33.7%
Mid Att. %
22.2%
24.0%
LAL 29.8% +1.6%
DAL 31.4%
3P Att. %
34.2%
42.2%
LAL 30.9%
DAL 34.9% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.
Game TotalsLALDAL
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points10797
Rebounds4452
Assists2812
Steals1210
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)18 (1)
Fouls2020
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (7)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)38 (3)
Field Goals41-9436-86
At-the-Rim FG26-3717-29
Midrange FG7-2811-27
2-Point FG33-6528-56
3-Point FG8-298-30
Free Throws17-2717-24
Fast Break Pts345
2nd Chance Pts1514
Points in Paint6046
Pts off Turnovers179
Bench Points2233
Biggest Lead1415

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
24 Los Angeles Lakers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Hart
#3 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 24
43.7
14
54%
12
6
5
0
2
4
1
11
3-3
100%
4-8
50%
1-5
20%
Kyle Kuzma
#0 · PF · 6'9" 221 · 23
37.4
13
31%
5
3
0
0
2
2
1
4
3-5
60%
2-10
20%
2-10
20%
Brandon Ingram
#14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21
37.4
29
60%
3
6
2
0
2
4
1
2
5-7
71%
12-21
57%
0-0
-
Lonzo Ball
#2 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 21
37.1
21
62%
7
5
2
0
2
2
3
4
1-4
25%
4-7
57%
4-8
50%
JaVale McGee
#7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31
23.4
8
67%
10
0
0
0
3
5
2
8
0-1
0%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
#1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26
21.2
3
30%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
Tyson Chandler
#5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 36
19.4
2
50%
4
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
#11 · SF · 6'9" 235 · 30
9.4
13
93%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-5
60%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
Svi Mykhailiuk
#10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22
4.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Ivica Zubac
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 22
3.6
4
67%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
#6 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 28
3.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Moritz Wagner
#15 · C · 6'11" 245 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Isaac Bonga
#17 · SG · 6'9" 203 · 19
DNP - Coach's Decision
Rajon Rondo
#9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ring Finger Surgery
LeBron James
#23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Groin Strain
Alex Caruso
#4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Johnathan Williams
#19 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
51%
44
28
12
2
13
20
11
33
17-27
63%
33-65
51%
8-29
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.