FinalWin Prob.pScore
343%110
102
457%113
114
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
102.010095.8
MIL logo MIL
115.299103.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.102
0%
114
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.02 51.0%
MIL
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
14
25
56%
MIL
31
48
65%
Midrange
UTA
8
24
33%
MIL
6
25
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
14
21.0
37
38%
57%
MIL
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
Free Throws
UTA
16
23
70%
MIL
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell2654%13.0 / 24
R. Gobert1454%7.0 / 13
D. Favors1243%6.0 / 14
J. Crowder1246%6.0 / 13
R. Neto1063%5.0 / 8
R. Rubio990%4.5 / 5
K. Korver950%4.5 / 9
R. O'Neale8133%4.0 / 3
J. Ingles217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo3048%15.0 / 31
M. Brogdon2170%10.5 / 15
B. Lopez15107%7.5 / 7
T. Maker15150%7.5 / 5
K. Middleton1447%7.0 / 15
E. Bledsoe627%3.0 / 11
E. Ilyasova660%3.0 / 5
T. Snell550%2.5 / 5
S. Brown250%1.0 / 2
G. Hill0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
85
+16
-15
101
MIL
89
+17
-10
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.02 51.0%
MIL
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
113.9
UTA 102.0
MIL 115.2 +13.2
Pace
100.5
103.2
UTA 95.8
MIL 103.5 +7.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
13.9
UTA 15.0
MIL 13.9 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
55.0%
UTA 50.0%
MIL 51.5% +1.5%
TO %
14.6%
12.8%
UTA 13.5%
MIL 9.5% +4.0%
ORB %
22.9%
20.8%
UTA 23.4% +1.2%
MIL 22.2%
FTrt
29.5
25.5
UTA 26.7 +10.4
MIL 16.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
60.1%
UTA 55.6%
MIL 58.7% +3.1%
STL %
8.0%
7.2%
UTA 6.0%
MIL 10.1% +4.1%
BLK %
9.7%
10.4%
UTA 8.2%
MIL 12.2% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
57.1%
UTA 51.0%
MIL 53.8% +2.8%
Rim FG%
62.1%
64.1%
UTA 56.0%
MIL 64.6% +8.6%
Mid FG%
39.1%
39.4%
UTA 33.3% +9.3%
MIL 24.0%
3P %
35.6%
35.2%
UTA 37.8% +1.8%
MIL 36.0%
FT %
73.6%
77.2%
UTA 69.6%
MIL 81.3% +11.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.5%
40.2%
UTA 29.1%
MIL 49.0% +19.9%
Mid Att. %
21.1%
17.8%
UTA 27.9%
MIL 25.5% +2.4%
3P Att. %
39.4%
42.0%
UTA 43.0% +17.5%
MIL 25.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTAMIL
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points102114
Rebounds4646
Assists2027
Steals610
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)10 (1)
Fouls2119
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)10 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)36 (2)
Field Goals36-8646-98
At-the-Rim FG14-2531-48
Midrange FG8-246-25
2-Point FG22-4937-73
3-Point FG14-379-25
Free Throws16-2313-16
Fast Break Pts219
2nd Chance Pts917
Points in Paint3668
Pts off Turnovers621
Bench Points3928
Biggest Lead1113

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#45 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 22
39.9
26
54%
3
1
1
0
7
4
2
1
4-4
100%
2-12
17%
6-12
50%
#27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 27
38.6
14
54%
15
3
2
1
2
3
3
12
6-10
60%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
#2 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 31
31.8
2
17%
4
6
1
2
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
#15 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 27
27.4
12
43%
7
1
1
3
1
2
2
5
0-2
0%
6-10
60%
0-3
0%
#3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 28
4.6
9
90%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
#99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 29
29.4
12
46%
5
3
0
0
0
4
1
4
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
2-9
22%
#25 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 27
29.1
10
63%
6
5
0
0
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
#26 · SG · 6'7" 212 · 38
25.0
9
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
#23 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 26
12.1
8
133%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
2-2
100%
#34 · PF · 6'9" 238 · 25
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#30 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#31 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#33 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#13 · C · 6'11" 248 · 21
Inactive - Coach's Decision | NWT
#22 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring
#24 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
#11 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
51%
46
20
6
6
15
21
11
35
16-23
70%
22-49
45%
14-37
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.