FinalWin Prob.pScore
1057%112
119
2143%109
107
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
128.09396.1
DET logo DET
116.39289.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.119
100%
107
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.27 63.3%
DET
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
18
67%
DET
23
32
72%
Midrange
SAS
24
41
59%
DET
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
DET
9
13.5
32
28%
42%
Free Throws
SAS
26
32
81%
DET
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2662%13.0 / 21
L. Aldridge2589%12.5 / 14
D. White1785%8.5 / 10
B. Forbes1558%7.5 / 13
P. Mills1359%6.5 / 11
M. Belinelli964%4.5 / 7
J. Poeltl750%3.5 / 7
D. Bertans550%2.5 / 5
P. Gasol250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin3481%17.0 / 21
A. Drummond1968%9.5 / 14
R. Jackson1478%7.0 / 9
R. Bullock1341%6.5 / 16
L. Kennard1063%5.0 / 8
J. Leuer1083%5.0 / 6
B. Brown450%2.0 / 4
J. Calderon375%1.5 / 2
S. Johnson0-0.0 / 4
G. Robinson III0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
84
+9
-9
93
DET
82
+15
-10
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.27 63.3%
DET
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
109.0
SAS 128.0 +11.7
DET 116.3
Pace
98.6
97.3
SAS 96.1 +6.9
DET 89.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.2
SAS 15.0 +1.2
DET 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
50.8%
SAS 58.9% +4.2%
DET 54.7%
TO %
11.9%
13.2%
SAS 8.8% +3.5%
DET 12.3%
ORB %
20.9%
24.9%
SAS 24.3% +0.6%
DET 23.7%
FTrt
23.7
26.1
SAS 40.5 +20.5
DET 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
57.9%
SAS 55.8% +3.4%
DET 52.4%
STL %
6.2%
7.1%
SAS 5.4%
DET 5.4%
BLK %
8.3%
7.1%
SAS 9.4% +6.0%
DET 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
53.0%
SAS 63.3% +7.6%
DET 55.7%
Rim FG%
62.7%
57.5%
SAS 66.7%
DET 71.9% +5.2%
Mid FG%
44.0%
38.4%
SAS 58.5% +10.9%
DET 47.6%
3P %
39.2%
34.8%
SAS 35.0% +6.9%
DET 28.1%
FT %
81.8%
74.7%
SAS 81.3%
DET 82.4% +1.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
36.7%
SAS 22.8%
DET 37.6% +14.9%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
23.9%
SAS 51.9%
DET 24.7% +27.2%
3P Att. %
28.6%
39.4%
SAS 25.3%
DET 37.6% +12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASDET
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points119107
Rebounds3837
Assists2422
Steals55
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)10 (3)
Fouls1522
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (0)9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)28 (0)
Field Goals43-7942-85
At-the-Rim FG12-1823-32
Midrange FG24-4110-21
2-Point FG36-5933-53
3-Point FG7-209-32
Free Throws26-3214-17
Fast Break Pts1011
2nd Chance Pts169
Points in Paint4058
Pts off Turnovers179
Bench Points2923
Biggest Lead1812

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25
35.3
17
85%
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
4
9-9
100%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25
34.5
15
58%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 29
34.1
26
62%
7
9
2
2
2
5
1
6
2-2
100%
12-21
57%
0-0
-
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 33
28.1
25
89%
6
2
0
1
4
5
2
4
7-8
88%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
#25 · PF · 7'0" 260 · 23
27.1
7
50%
6
2
0
1
2
3
4
2
1-6
17%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
26.4
13
59%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
2-5
40%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
24.9
5
50%
3
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
21.0
9
64%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 39
8.5
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Right ACL
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | G League Assignment
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | G League Assignment
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained Right Wrist
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
119
63%
38
24
5
5
9
15
9
29
26-32
81%
36-59
61%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.