FinalWin Prob.pScore
1532%102
88
1068%108
108
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
88.010099.2
SAS logo SAS
106.9101101.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.88
0%
108
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.96 47.8%
SAS
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
10
23
43%
SAS
18
22
82%
Midrange
MEM
10
31
32%
SAS
11
29
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
SAS
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
MEM
15
19
79%
SAS
29
35
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Conley2181%10.5 / 13
J. Jackson1575%7.5 / 10
D. Brooks1594%7.5 / 8
J. Green844%4.0 / 9
G. Temple732%3.5 / 11
K. Anderson758%3.5 / 6
M. Gasol630%3.0 / 10
J. Carter643%3.0 / 7
J. Holiday214%1.0 / 7
J. Noah117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. White1995%9.5 / 10
L. Aldridge1875%9.0 / 12
P. Mills15125%7.5 / 6
D. DeRozan1246%6.0 / 13
J. Poeltl11138%5.5 / 4
R. Gay941%4.5 / 11
M. Belinelli956%4.5 / 8
B. Forbes750%3.5 / 7
D. Bertans433%2.0 / 6
D. Cunningham233%1.0 / 3
D. Eubanks2100%1.0 / 1
Q. Pondexter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
80
+11
-20
91
SAS
86
+6
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.96 47.8%
SAS
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
112.6
MEM 88.0 +18.9
SAS 106.9
Pace
96.6
98.6
MEM 99.2
SAS 101.8 +2.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.0
MEM 14.5
SAS 14.1 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
53.4%
MEM 44.5%
SAS 54.1% +9.6%
TO %
13.5%
11.9%
MEM 18.9%
SAS 16.1% +2.8%
ORB %
20.1%
20.9%
MEM 16.7% +8.6%
SAS 8.1%
FTrt
27.2
23.7
MEM 23.2
SAS 47.9 +24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.1%
58.0%
MEM 67.7%
SAS 72.2% +4.5%
STL %
8.5%
6.2%
MEM 12.0% +2.1%
SAS 9.9%
BLK %
10.7%
8.3%
MEM 5.9% +0.3%
SAS 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
56.0%
MEM 47.8%
SAS 58.7% +10.9%
Rim FG%
59.9%
62.7%
MEM 43.5%
SAS 81.8% +38.3%
Mid FG%
40.0%
44.0%
MEM 32.3%
SAS 37.9% +5.6%
3P %
34.2%
39.2%
MEM 39.3% +7.5%
SAS 31.8%
FT %
77.2%
81.8%
MEM 78.9%
SAS 82.9% +4.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
27.8%
MEM 28.0%
SAS 30.1% +2.1%
Mid Att. %
31.0%
43.7%
MEM 37.8% +1.9%
SAS 39.7%
3P Att. %
34.2%
28.6%
MEM 34.1% +4.0%
SAS 30.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsMEMSAS
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points88108
Rebounds4243
Assists2126
Steals1210
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)15 (2)
Fouls2919
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)3 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)40 (1)
Field Goals31-8236-73
At-the-Rim FG10-2318-22
Midrange FG10-3111-29
2-Point FG20-5429-51
3-Point FG11-287-22
Free Throws15-1929-35
Fast Break Pts108
2nd Chance Pts62
Points in Paint3042
Pts off Turnovers1426
Bench Points3243
Biggest Lead724

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 19
33.7
15
75%
7
1
4
0
2
3
2
5
4-5
80%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
#17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 33
29.8
7
32%
2
2
1
0
4
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
#1 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 25
28.9
7
58%
4
3
2
2
1
2
0
4
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 34
25.4
6
30%
11
6
1
1
4
2
2
9
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
#11 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
25.3
21
81%
1
3
0
0
1
3
1
0
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
3-5
60%
#0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 29
29.1
8
44%
10
0
1
0
4
6
2
8
3-3
100%
1-6
17%
1-2
50%
#3 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23
22.7
6
43%
3
3
3
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-5
40%
#7 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 30
20.6
2
14%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
#24 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 23
16.7
15
94%
0
1
0
0
1
4
0
0
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
3-5
60%
#55 · C · 6'11" 230 · 34
6.9
1
17%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#10 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#6 · PG · 6'3" 203 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#18 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
#25 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Return from injury management
#12 · SG · 6'9" 205 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
48%
42
21
12
3
20
29
8
34
15-19
79%
20-54
37%
11-28
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.