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All Games Saturday, January 5, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
24
Hornets
24%108
110
4
Nuggets
76%118
123
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
113.49799.8
DEN logo DEN
125.59895.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHADEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.110
0%
123
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.16 57.9%
DEN
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
17
33
52%
DEN
27
45
60%
Midrange
CHA
11
20
55%
DEN
6
18
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
DEN
14
21.0
39
36%
54%
Free Throws
CHA
21
26
81%
DEN
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2048%10.0 / 21
M. Williams1657%8.0 / 14
B. Biyombo1673%8.0 / 11
M. Monk1667%8.0 / 12
N. Batum11110%5.5 / 5
D. Graham1056%5.0 / 9
W. Hernangomez1056%5.0 / 9
M. Kidd-Gilchrist758%3.5 / 6
T. Parker250%1.0 / 2
M. Bridges2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić3967%19.5 / 29
P. Millsap1860%9.0 / 15
G. Harris1761%8.5 / 14
T. Craig1286%6.0 / 7
T. Lyles964%4.5 / 7
J. Murray833%4.0 / 12
M. Plumlee8100%4.0 / 4
M. Morris850%4.0 / 8
M. Beasley450%2.0 / 4
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
80
+14
-17
94
DEN
91
+21
-7
112
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.16 57.9%
DEN
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
112.6
CHA 113.4
DEN 125.5 +12.1
Pace
98.7
98.0
CHA 99.8 +4.6
DEN 95.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.7
CHA 14.4 +0.7
DEN 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
52.7%
CHA 54.3% +1.4%
DEN 52.9%
TO %
11.7%
13.1%
CHA 15.4%
DEN 6.7% +8.7%
ORB %
21.9%
26.6%
CHA 29.3%
DEN 32.7% +3.4%
FTrt
25.7
23.2
CHA 31.7 +12.1
DEN 19.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
65.3%
CHA 56.4%
DEN 63.8% +7.4%
STL %
7.2%
7.9%
CHA 7.2%
DEN 10.2% +3.0%
BLK %
8.9%
8.2%
CHA 6.3%
DEN 11.3% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
54.5%
CHA 57.9% +3.5%
DEN 54.4%
Rim FG%
56.9%
59.6%
CHA 51.5%
DEN 60.0% +8.5%
Mid FG%
41.7%
43.3%
CHA 55.0% +21.7%
DEN 33.3%
3P %
35.1%
35.1%
CHA 37.9% +2.0%
DEN 35.9%
FT %
79.7%
75.5%
CHA 80.8% +5.8%
DEN 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
37.5%
CHA 40.2%
DEN 44.1% +3.9%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
27.7%
CHA 24.4%
DEN 17.6% +6.7%
3P Att. %
37.8%
34.8%
CHA 35.4%
DEN 38.2% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHADEN
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points110123
Rebounds4746
Assists2230
Steals710
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)7 (1)
Fouls1819
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)17 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)29 (2)
Field Goals39-8247-102
At-the-Rim FG17-3327-45
Midrange FG11-206-18
2-Point FG28-5333-63
3-Point FG11-2914-39
Free Throws21-2615-20
Fast Break Pts1012
2nd Chance Pts1731
Points in Paint4864
Pts off Turnovers327
Bench Points3756
Biggest Lead315

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
24 Charlotte Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Marvin Williams
#2 · PF · 6'9" 237 · 33
34.3
16
57%
6
0
3
1
3
2
3
3
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
3-8
38%
Nicolas Batum
#5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
33.5
11
110%
7
3
2
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
Kemba Walker
#15 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 29
33.3
20
48%
4
3
0
0
5
2
0
4
7-9
78%
5-11
45%
1-6
17%
Bismack Biyombo
#8 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
30.1
16
73%
12
0
2
2
2
4
4
8
2-3
67%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
Devonte' Graham
#4 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 24
26.5
10
56%
3
8
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
Malik Monk
#1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 21
22.3
16
67%
3
2
0
0
3
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
Tony Parker
#9 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37
16.3
2
50%
1
3
0
0
3
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
#14 · SF · 6'7" 232 · 25
16.1
7
58%
5
2
0
0
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Willy Hernangomez
#41 · C · 6'11" 240 · 25
15.6
10
56%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Miles Bridges
#0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 21
12.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
J.P. Macura
#55 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
Frank Kaminsky
#44 · PF · 7'0" 242 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Dwayne Bacon
#7 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Cody Zeller
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand Surgery
Jeremy Lamb
#3 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring Strain
Joe Chealey
#31 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
58%
47
22
7
4
17
18
12
35
21-26
81%
28-53
53%
11-29
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.