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All Games Friday, January 4, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Wizards
37%107
109
12
Heat
63%111
115
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
105.8103113.7
MIA logo MIA
111.710394.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.109
0%
115
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
20
39
51%
MIA
25
40
63%
Midrange
WAS
12
23
52%
MIA
10
22
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
10
15.0
36
28%
42%
MIA
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
Free Throws
WAS
15
19
79%
MIA
18
25
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Beal3361%16.5 / 27
T. Ariza2150%10.5 / 21
O. Porter Jr.1454%7.0 / 13
J. Green1045%5.0 / 11
T. Bryant1071%5.0 / 7
T. Satoransky844%4.0 / 9
C. Randle550%2.5 / 5
S. Dekker450%2.0 / 4
I. Mahinmi450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2170%10.5 / 15
J. Richardson1853%9.0 / 17
J. Johnson1771%8.5 / 12
D. Wade1450%7.0 / 14
J. Winslow1359%6.5 / 11
B. Adebayo1169%5.5 / 8
T. Johnson836%4.0 / 11
R. McGruder542%2.5 / 6
D. Jones5125%2.5 / 2
K. Olynyk350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
93
+17
-10
110
MIA
87
+19
-16
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
107.5
WAS 105.8
MIA 111.7 +5.8
Pace
101.7
98.1
WAS 113.7 +19.5
MIA 94.2
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
15.0
WAS 12.7 +2.6
MIA 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
51.5%
WAS 48.0%
MIA 53.3% +5.3%
TO %
13.2%
14.3%
WAS 10.1% +4.2%
MIA 14.3%
ORB %
21.2%
24.8%
WAS 21.3%
MIA 26.2% +4.9%
FTrt
26.6
24.7
WAS 19.4
MIA 27.5 +8.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
61.2%
WAS 57.1%
MIA 63.6% +6.5%
STL %
8.1%
7.8%
WAS 7.8% +1.0%
MIA 6.8%
BLK %
8.0%
10.2%
WAS 3.2%
MIA 9.7% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.6%
52.9%
WAS 49.5%
MIA 54.8% +5.3%
Rim FG%
64.0%
60.8%
WAS 51.3%
MIA 62.5% +11.2%
Mid FG%
40.0%
36.8%
WAS 52.2% +6.7%
MIA 45.5%
3P %
34.0%
34.9%
WAS 27.8%
MIA 31.0% +3.2%
FT %
76.8%
69.5%
WAS 78.9% +6.9%
MIA 72.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
37.3%
WAS 39.8%
MIA 44.0% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
25.9%
WAS 23.5% +0.7%
MIA 24.2%
3P Att. %
37.0%
36.8%
WAS 36.7% +4.9%
MIA 31.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes21.826.3
Points109115
Rebounds4148
Assists2428
Steals87
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)16 (1)
Fouls1818
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (7)11 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)37 (3)
Field Goals42-9844-91
At-the-Rim FG20-3925-40
Midrange FG12-2310-22
2-Point FG32-6235-62
3-Point FG10-369-29
Free Throws15-1918-25
Fast Break Pts106
2nd Chance Pts1416
Points in Paint4662
Pts off Turnovers1313
Bench Points2741
Biggest Lead311

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 Washington Wizards
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Trevor Ariza
#1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 34
42.2
21
50%
3
6
1
0
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-7
14%
5-12
42%
Bradley Beal
#3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 26
40.0
33
61%
9
7
0
0
5
1
2
7
9-11
82%
6-14
43%
4-11
36%
Jeff Green
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 32
35.3
10
45%
6
3
0
0
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-3
0%
Tomas Satoransky
#31 · PG · 6'7" 210 · 27
33.4
8
44%
5
3
1
0
2
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
Thomas Bryant
#13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 21
23.3
10
71%
5
0
0
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
#22 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 26
21.3
14
54%
6
1
3
0
1
2
3
3
0-1
0%
7-9
78%
0-5
0%
Sam Dekker
#8 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 25
16.9
4
50%
3
0
2
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 32
14.3
4
50%
4
1
1
2
0
4
3
1
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Chasson Randle
#9 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26
13.3
5
50%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
Troy Brown Jr.
#6 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 19
DNP - Coach's Decision
Ron Baker
#84 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
John Wall
#2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Heel Surgery
Markieff Morris
#5 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Transient Cervical Neuropraxia
Devin Robinson
#7 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Jordan McRae
#52 · SG · 6'5" 179 · 28
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Dwight Howard
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
50%
41
24
8
2
10
18
10
31
15-19
79%
32-62
52%
10-36
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.