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All Games Tuesday, January 1, 2019
FinalWin Prob.pScore
29
Knicks
15%105
108
3
Nuggets
85%120
115
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
117.49295.5
DEN logo DEN
122.39490.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
115
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.08 54.0%
DEN
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
18
40
45%
DEN
22
35
63%
Midrange
NYK
13
26
50%
DEN
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
DEN
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
Free Throws
NYK
13
18
72%
DEN
15
23
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Kornet1995%9.5 / 10
K. Knox1856%9.0 / 16
E. Kanter1761%8.5 / 14
T. Hardaway1673%8.0 / 11
E. Mudiay1539%7.5 / 19
F. Ntilikina1083%5.0 / 6
A. Trier739%3.5 / 9
N. Vonleh531%2.5 / 8
D. Dotson117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2377%11.5 / 15
N. Jokić1956%9.5 / 17
P. Millsap1653%8.0 / 15
T. Craig1359%6.5 / 11
T. Lyles975%4.5 / 6
J. Murray833%4.0 / 12
M. Plumlee8100%4.0 / 4
J. Hernangomez880%4.0 / 5
G. Harris643%3.0 / 7
M. Morris531%2.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
84
+16
-8
100
DEN
86
+25
-8
111
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.08 54.0%
DEN
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
112.6
NYK 117.4
DEN 122.3 +4.9
Pace
99.6
98.0
NYK 95.5 +4.9
DEN 90.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
14.7
NYK 15.1 +0.8
DEN 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
52.7%
NYK 51.1%
DEN 52.6% +1.5%
TO %
13.4%
13.1%
NYK 8.2%
DEN 7.9% +0.3%
ORB %
22.2%
26.6%
NYK 28.8%
DEN 36.4% +7.6%
FTrt
27.0
23.2
NYK 19.4
DEN 24.2 +4.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.5%
65.3%
NYK 66.7%
DEN 81.8% +15.1%
STL %
6.7%
7.9%
NYK 4.3%
DEN 7.4% +3.1%
BLK %
9.0%
8.2%
NYK 4.9%
DEN 9.1% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
54.5%
NYK 54.0% +2.2%
DEN 51.8%
Rim FG%
56.1%
59.6%
NYK 45.0%
DEN 62.9% +17.9%
Mid FG%
37.8%
43.3%
NYK 50.0% +11.5%
DEN 38.5%
3P %
34.0%
35.1%
NYK 40.7% +5.4%
DEN 35.3%
FT %
75.8%
75.5%
NYK 72.2% +7.0%
DEN 65.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
37.5%
NYK 43.0% +6.2%
DEN 36.8%
Mid Att. %
29.6%
27.7%
NYK 28.0%
DEN 27.4% +0.6%
3P Att. %
33.4%
34.8%
NYK 29.0%
DEN 35.8% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNYKDEN
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points108115
Rebounds4353
Assists2836
Steals47
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)8 (1)
Fouls2119
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (1)16 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)37 (1)
Field Goals42-9344-95
At-the-Rim FG18-4022-35
Midrange FG13-2610-26
2-Point FG31-6632-61
3-Point FG11-2712-34
Free Throws13-1815-23
Fast Break Pts75
2nd Chance Pts1117
Points in Paint5052
Pts off Turnovers99
Bench Points3559
Biggest Lead109

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
29 New York Knicks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kevin Knox
#20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 19
38.7
18
56%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
2-7
29%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
#3 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27
37.5
16
73%
2
2
0
0
3
2
0
2
1-1
100%
6-8
75%
1-4
25%
Noah Vonleh
#32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23
34.3
5
31%
14
3
0
1
1
5
6
8
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
Emmanuel Mudiay
#1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 23
31.7
15
39%
3
9
2
1
4
3
2
1
0-2
0%
6-18
33%
1-2
50%
Luke Kornet
#2 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23
27.0
19
95%
6
1
0
1
0
3
0
6
3-3
100%
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
Enes Kanter
#00 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27
20.1
17
61%
12
2
0
0
0
3
7
5
5-6
83%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
Allonzo Trier
#14 · SG · 6'5" 198 · 23
19.3
7
39%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
25%
1-1
100%
Frank Ntilikina
#11 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 20
18.3
10
83%
0
5
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
Damyean Dotson
#21 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25
13.1
1
17%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
#5 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
Trey Burke
#23 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Lance Thomas
#42 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Mario Hezonja
#8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
Mitchell Robinson
#26 · C · 7'0" 240 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sprained Left Ankle
Isaiah Hicks
#4 · PF · 6'9" 242 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Kristaps Porzingis
#6 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
54%
43
28
4
3
8
21
15
28
13-18
72%
31-66
47%
11-27
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.