FinalWin Prob.pScore
1053%112
103
1747%111
105
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
101.0102112.7
DAL logo DAL
101.910394.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.103
0%
105
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.00 50.0%
DAL
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
17
24
71%
DAL
18
29
62%
Midrange
OKC
14
31
45%
DAL
5
13
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
9
13.5
38
24%
36%
DAL
14
21.0
39
36%
54%
Free Throws
OKC
14
21
67%
DAL
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George3664%18.0 / 28
D. Schröder1956%9.5 / 17
J. Grant1071%5.0 / 7
P. Patterson10100%5.0 / 5
R. Westbrook920%4.5 / 23
S. Adams867%4.0 / 6
A. Nader330%1.5 / 5
R. Felton375%1.5 / 2
H. Diallo375%1.5 / 2
N. Noel2-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2560%12.5 / 21
H. Barnes1657%8.0 / 14
D. Smith Jr.1488%7.0 / 8
D. Jordan1267%6.0 / 9
D. Finney-Smith1083%5.0 / 6
D. Harris788%3.5 / 4
J. Barea638%3.0 / 8
D. Powell633%3.0 / 9
D. Nowitzki675%3.0 / 4
M. Kleber330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
91
+10
-11
101
DAL
80
+14
-23
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.00 50.0%
DAL
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
109.2
OKC 101.0
DAL 101.9 +1.0
Pace
102.9
99.1
OKC 112.7 +18.7
DAL 94.1
Avg. Poss. Time
13.2
14.8
OKC 12.8 +2.5
DAL 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
51.8%
OKC 47.8%
DAL 54.3% +6.5%
TO %
13.2%
13.6%
OKC 9.7% +11.2%
DAL 20.9%
ORB %
26.0%
22.6%
OKC 14.9%
DAL 22.0% +7.1%
FTrt
26.6
29.1
OKC 22.6
DAL 27.2 +4.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.8%
60.3%
OKC 42.5%
DAL 56.8% +14.3%
STL %
9.0%
6.5%
OKC 14.7% +6.9%
DAL 7.8%
BLK %
9.1%
7.6%
OKC 4.8%
DAL 5.5% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
54.2%
OKC 50.0%
DAL 55.9% +5.9%
Rim FG%
59.6%
62.0%
OKC 70.8% +8.7%
DAL 62.1%
Mid FG%
38.6%
39.0%
OKC 45.2% +6.7%
DAL 38.5%
3P %
34.8%
34.0%
OKC 23.7%
DAL 35.9% +12.2%
FT %
71.3%
74.2%
OKC 66.7%
DAL 77.3% +10.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.6%
33.8%
OKC 25.8%
DAL 35.8% +10.0%
Mid Att. %
26.7%
24.0%
OKC 33.3%
DAL 16.0% +17.3%
3P Att. %
34.7%
42.2%
OKC 40.9%
DAL 48.1% +7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCDAL
Possessions102103
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points103105
Rebounds3949
Assists1721
Steals158
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)23 (1)
Fouls2319
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)40 (6)
Field Goals40-9337-81
At-the-Rim FG17-2418-29
Midrange FG14-315-13
2-Point FG31-5523-42
3-Point FG9-3814-39
Free Throws14-2117-22
Fast Break Pts314
2nd Chance Pts811
Points in Paint4644
Pts off Turnovers209
Bench Points3735
Biggest Lead913

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 25
37.9
8
67%
9
2
2
0
0
5
2
7
0-2
0%
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
#0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
37.6
9
20%
9
8
6
0
5
2
0
9
1-2
50%
4-14
29%
0-8
0%
#13 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 29
36.5
36
64%
5
0
2
0
3
4
3
2
9-12
75%
9-13
69%
3-11
27%
#9 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 25
34.7
10
71%
2
0
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
#11 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 25
15.7
3
30%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25
33.0
19
56%
4
3
1
1
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
6-12
50%
2-7
29%
#54 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 30
13.3
10
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 35
11.4
3
75%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#3 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 25
10.1
2
0%
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 20
9.9
3
75%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#23 · SG · 6'7" 184 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Stomach Illness
#15 · NA · 6'8" 205 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#30 · PG · 6'5" 250 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#21 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Patellar Tendon
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
50%
39
17
15
2
11
23
7
32
14-21
67%
31-55
56%
9-38
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.