FinalWin Prob.pScore
1345%106
113
1555%108
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo MIN
115.39885.9
MIA logo MIA
106.198114.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.113
100%
104
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.02 50.9%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
21
40
53%
MIA
26
42
62%
Midrange
MIN
9
30
30%
MIA
3
24
13%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
MIA
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIN
29
36
81%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Towns3471%17.0 / 24
R. Covington1673%8.0 / 11
T. Gibson1464%7.0 / 11
A. Wiggins1338%6.5 / 17
D. Šarić1359%6.5 / 11
T. Jones1246%6.0 / 13
J. Okogie732%3.5 / 11
G. Dieng467%2.0 / 3
J. Bayless0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2166%10.5 / 16
J. Richardson1757%8.5 / 15
D. Jones1673%8.0 / 11
K. Olynyk1381%6.5 / 8
J. Winslow1033%5.0 / 15
H. Whiteside840%4.0 / 10
T. Johnson857%4.0 / 7
R. McGruder735%3.5 / 10
B. Adebayo450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
88
+22
-10
110
MIA
79
+25
-19
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.02 50.9%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
107.5
MIN 115.3 +9.2
MIA 106.1
Pace
100.2
98.1
MIN 85.9
MIA 114.0 +28.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.0
MIN 16.8
MIA 12.6 +4.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.1%
51.5%
MIN 44.7%
MIA 45.6% +0.9%
TO %
12.5%
14.3%
MIN 9.1% +7.3%
MIA 16.4%
ORB %
24.7%
24.8%
MIN 32.7%
MIA 34.7% +2.0%
FTrt
26.6
24.7
MIN 38.3 +7.2
MIA 31.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
61.2%
MIN 63.2% +11.8%
MIA 51.4%
STL %
8.3%
7.8%
MIN 11.2% +3.0%
MIA 8.2%
BLK %
8.9%
10.2%
MIN 15.2% +6.6%
MIA 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
52.9%
MIN 50.9% +1.4%
MIA 49.5%
Rim FG%
60.0%
60.8%
MIN 52.5%
MIA 61.9% +9.4%
Mid FG%
39.7%
36.8%
MIN 30.0% +17.5%
MIA 12.5%
3P %
35.1%
34.9%
MIN 33.3%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
78.7%
69.5%
MIN 80.6% +2.0%
MIA 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
37.3%
MIN 42.6%
MIA 46.7% +4.1%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
25.9%
MIN 31.9%
MIA 26.7% +5.2%
3P Att. %
31.5%
36.8%
MIN 25.5%
MIA 26.7% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMINMIA
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes27.420.6
Points113104
Rebounds4952
Assists2419
Steals118
Blocks106
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)19 (1)
Fouls2228
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (5)17 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)35 (4)
Field Goals38-9437-90
At-the-Rim FG21-4026-42
Midrange FG9-303-24
2-Point FG30-7029-66
3-Point FG8-248-24
Free Throws29-3622-28
Fast Break Pts108
2nd Chance Pts1224
Points in Paint5058
Pts off Turnovers2412
Bench Points2446
Biggest Lead132

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 23
37.1
34
71%
18
7
3
6
3
6
10
8
7-9
78%
9-18
50%
3-6
50%
#1 · PG · 6'1" 196 · 23
36.5
12
46%
4
5
5
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
#22 · SG · 6'7" 197 · 24
36.0
13
38%
2
4
1
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-13
31%
1-3
33%
#33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 28
35.9
16
73%
4
0
1
2
0
5
1
3
7-7
100%
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
#67 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 34
29.6
14
64%
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
6
2-3
67%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
#20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 20
23.8
7
32%
6
3
0
1
0
5
1
5
5-8
63%
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
#36 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 25
18.6
13
59%
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
3
3-3
100%
2-7
29%
2-3
67%
#8 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
12.2
0
0%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
#5 · C · 6'11" 251 · 29
10.4
4
67%
2
0
0
0
2
3
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#3 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 34
DNP - Coach's Decision
#43 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 34
DNP - Coach's Decision
#7 · SF · 6'7" 208 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#25 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
#31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Illness
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Inflamation
#12 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 29
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
51%
49
24
11
10
10
22
17
32
29-36
81%
30-70
43%
8-24
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.