FinalWin Prob.pScore
168%119
115
1732%112
105
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
116.299110.0
POR logo POR
105.010090.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BlazersWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BlazersWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWPOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.115
100%
105
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.22 61.2%
POR
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
11
22
50%
POR
19
36
53%
Midrange
GSW
17
33
52%
POR
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
12
18.0
25
48%
72%
POR
9
13.5
31
29%
44%
Free Throws
GSW
23
28
82%
POR
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Thompson3273%16.0 / 22
S. Curry2563%12.5 / 20
K. Durant2563%12.5 / 20
K. Looney12100%6.0 / 6
J. Jerebko8100%4.0 / 4
Q. Cook675%3.0 / 4
D. Green325%1.5 / 6
S. Livingston250%1.0 / 2
J. Evans250%1.0 / 2
A. McKinnie0-0.0 / 1
J. Bell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Lillard4083%20.0 / 24
J. Nurkić2162%10.5 / 17
C. McCollum1439%7.0 / 18
A. Aminu950%4.5 / 9
M. Harkless739%3.5 / 9
M. Leonard467%2.0 / 3
S. Curry330%1.5 / 5
N. Stauskas350%1.5 / 3
E. Turner220%1.0 / 5
W. Baldwin IV2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Collins0-0.0 / 3
J. Layman0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
87
+7
-12
94
POR
87
+16
-13
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.22 61.2%
POR
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.5
114.2
GSW 116.2 +11.2
POR 105.0
Pace
101.3
99.5
GSW 110.0 +19.1
POR 90.9
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
14.9
GSW 13.1 +2.7
POR 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.4%
52.8%
GSW 57.5% +9.7%
POR 47.8%
TO %
13.5%
13.2%
GSW 11.5%
POR 11.4% +0.1%
ORB %
22.5%
26.6%
GSW 12.5%
POR 22.9% +10.4%
FTrt
22.7
25.8
GSW 35.0 +10.8
POR 24.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.8%
54.4%
GSW 67.5% +21.3%
POR 46.2%
STL %
7.4%
6.6%
GSW 9.1% +3.1%
POR 6.0%
BLK %
11.3%
8.3%
GSW 6.7%
POR 7.3% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.3%
55.6%
GSW 61.2% +9.7%
POR 51.5%
Rim FG%
66.3%
59.0%
GSW 50.0%
POR 52.8% +2.8%
Mid FG%
45.8%
42.5%
GSW 51.5% +5.7%
POR 45.8%
3P %
38.5%
35.9%
GSW 48.0% +19.0%
POR 29.0%
FT %
80.1%
81.4%
GSW 82.1% +0.3%
POR 81.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
39.1%
GSW 27.5%
POR 39.6% +12.1%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
27.0%
GSW 41.3%
POR 26.4% +14.9%
3P Att. %
38.4%
33.9%
GSW 31.3%
POR 34.1% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsGSWPOR
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points115105
Rebounds4246
Assists2718
Steals96
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (0)
Fouls1817
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)35 (2)
Field Goals40-8039-91
At-the-Rim FG11-2219-36
Midrange FG17-3311-24
2-Point FG28-5530-60
3-Point FG12-259-31
Free Throws23-2818-22
Fast Break Pts299
2nd Chance Pts610
Points in Paint3448
Pts off Turnovers1712
Bench Points1814
Biggest Lead184

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
36.2
25
63%
5
8
2
1
2
1
1
4
11-14
79%
4-7
57%
2-8
25%
#35 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 30
33.9
25
63%
2
5
1
1
6
1
0
2
5-6
83%
10-18
56%
0-1
0%
#23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 29
33.9
3
25%
9
6
0
1
2
3
0
9
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-2
50%
#11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
33.6
32
73%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
8-16
50%
4-5
80%
#5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 23
25.2
12
100%
5
0
1
0
1
4
1
4
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
1-1
100%
#21 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 32
17.1
8
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
-
2-3
67%
#34 · PG · 6'7" 192 · 33
14.5
2
50%
3
3
2
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26
13.4
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#9 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 35
12.4
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 26
11.9
6
75%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
#2 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 24
6.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#10 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 22
1.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#32 · PF · 6'7" 249 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | two way
#1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | two way
#15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left pectoral surgery
#0 · C · 6'11" 270 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left achilles
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
61%
42
27
9
4
12
18
5
37
23-28
82%
28-55
51%
12-25
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.