for complete access.
All Games Saturday, December 29, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Nuggets
72%114
122
28
Suns
28%106
118
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
124.59895.5
PHX logo PHX
119.299101.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENPHX
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.122
100%
118
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.37 68.5%
PHX
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
15
22
68%
PHX
28
35
80%
Midrange
DEN
9
19
47%
PHX
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
18
27.0
35
51%
77%
PHX
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
Free Throws
DEN
20
26
77%
PHX
9
14
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray4692%23.0 / 25
N. Jokić2377%11.5 / 15
M. Beasley1575%7.5 / 10
J. Hernangomez10167%5.0 / 3
T. Craig867%4.0 / 6
M. Plumlee758%3.5 / 6
P. Millsap643%3.0 / 7
M. Morris536%2.5 / 7
T. Lyles233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Ayton3392%16.5 / 18
D. Booker2779%13.5 / 17
T. Warren2261%11.0 / 18
M. Bridges17142%8.5 / 6
D. Melton525%2.5 / 10
J. Jackson563%2.5 / 4
R. Holmes5125%2.5 / 2
K. Oubre440%2.0 / 5
E. Okobo0-0.0 / 3
J. Crawford0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
77
+12
-21
89
PHX
86
+12
-13
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.37 68.5%
PHX
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
105.9
DEN 124.5 +5.3
PHX 119.2
Pace
98.0
100.5
DEN 95.5
PHX 101.6 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.4
DEN 15.1
PHX 14.2 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.4%
DEN 67.1% +7.2%
PHX 59.9%
TO %
13.1%
15.0%
DEN 19.4%
PHX 11.8% +7.6%
ORB %
26.6%
20.5%
DEN 28.6%
PHX 28.6%
FTrt
23.2
25.9
DEN 34.2 +18.8
PHX 15.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
59.5%
DEN 73.8% +14.6%
PHX 59.2%
STL %
7.9%
8.8%
DEN 10.2%
PHX 15.2% +5.0%
BLK %
8.2%
8.8%
DEN 4.8%
PHX 12.2% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
54.2%
DEN 68.5% +8.9%
PHX 59.6%
Rim FG%
59.6%
61.0%
DEN 68.2%
PHX 80.0% +11.8%
Mid FG%
43.3%
42.0%
DEN 47.4% +10.4%
PHX 37.0%
3P %
35.1%
32.9%
DEN 51.4% +13.5%
PHX 37.9%
FT %
75.5%
77.9%
DEN 76.9% +12.6%
PHX 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
36.7%
DEN 28.9%
PHX 38.5% +9.5%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
29.8%
DEN 25.0% +4.7%
PHX 29.7%
3P Att. %
34.8%
33.5%
DEN 46.1% +14.2%
PHX 31.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENPHX
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points122118
Rebounds4037
Assists3129
Steals1015
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2021
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)12 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)25 (0)
Field Goals42-7649-91
At-the-Rim FG15-2228-35
Midrange FG9-1910-27
2-Point FG24-4138-62
3-Point FG18-3511-29
Free Throws20-269-14
Fast Break Pts1028
2nd Chance Pts1120
Points in Paint4672
Pts off Turnovers1330
Bench Points2814
Biggest Lead250

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
9 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
39.6
46
92%
6
8
0
1
5
2
0
6
5-6
83%
7-13
54%
9-11
82%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · PF · 6'11" 284 · 24
37.7
23
77%
8
9
3
1
4
3
1
7
7-8
88%
8-9
89%
0-2
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
35.1
10
167%
9
1
2
0
2
2
1
8
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
25.6
8
67%
3
2
1
0
1
6
1
2
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · C · 6'10" 254 · 29
21.6
7
58%
8
3
1
0
5
1
4
4
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 24
29.6
5
36%
3
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
28.7
15
75%
1
2
2
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
5-9
56%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
14.2
6
43%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
8.0
2
33%
2
1
1
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Nick Young
#34 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 34
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right hip injury
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right foot surgery
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low back surgery
Will Barton
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right hip/core muscle surgery
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right hip surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
122
69%
40
31
10
3
21
20
10
30
20-26
77%
24-41
59%
18-35
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.