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All Games Saturday, December 29, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Celtics
58%104
112
16
Grizzlies
42%102
103
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
116.79699.0
MEM logo MEM
108.49592.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMEM
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.112
100%
103
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.24 62.2%
MEM
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
16
22
73%
MEM
12
20
60%
Midrange
BOS
8
22
36%
MEM
17
30
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
16
24.0
36
44%
67%
MEM
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
Free Throws
BOS
16
18
89%
MEM
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving2668%13.0 / 19
M. Morris2279%11.0 / 14
A. Horford1890%9.0 / 10
G. Hayward1464%7.0 / 11
M. Smart857%4.0 / 7
J. Tatum758%3.5 / 6
T. Rozier758%3.5 / 6
J. Brown6100%3.0 / 3
G. Yabusele350%1.5 / 3
D. Theis125%0.5 / 2
S. Ojeleye0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Conley2650%13.0 / 26
D. Brooks1979%9.5 / 12
M. Gasol1568%7.5 / 11
J. Jackson1583%7.5 / 9
K. Anderson10100%5.0 / 5
J. Green650%3.0 / 6
W. Selden660%3.0 / 5
J. Noah440%2.0 / 5
G. Temple220%1.0 / 5
S. Mack0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
79
+11
-17
90
MEM
79
+12
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.24 62.2%
MEM
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
106.1
BOS 116.7 +8.2
MEM 108.4
Pace
100.0
96.6
BOS 99.0 +6.7
MEM 92.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.4
BOS 14.6 +1.1
MEM 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
50.8%
BOS 60.0% +8.0%
MEM 52.0%
TO %
12.4%
13.5%
BOS 16.2%
MEM 16.1% +0.1%
ORB %
21.7%
20.1%
BOS 20.0%
MEM 21.6% +1.6%
FTrt
21.5
27.2
BOS 22.5
MEM 38.2 +15.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
63.1%
BOS 72.5% +5.8%
MEM 66.7%
STL %
8.5%
8.5%
BOS 10.4%
MEM 11.6% +1.2%
BLK %
9.7%
10.7%
BOS 8.0% +3.5%
MEM 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
53.4%
BOS 62.2% +5.6%
MEM 56.6%
Rim FG%
61.6%
59.9%
BOS 72.7% +12.7%
MEM 60.0%
Mid FG%
43.1%
40.0%
BOS 36.4%
MEM 56.7% +20.3%
3P %
36.5%
34.2%
BOS 44.4% +17.5%
MEM 26.9%
FT %
80.2%
77.2%
BOS 88.9% +6.1%
MEM 82.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
34.8%
BOS 27.5% +1.2%
MEM 26.3%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
31.0%
BOS 27.5% +12.0%
MEM 39.5%
3P Att. %
38.1%
34.2%
BOS 45.0% +10.8%
MEM 34.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMEM
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points112103
Rebounds3636
Assists2924
Steals1011
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)16 (1)
Fouls2422
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)28 (3)
Field Goals40-8036-76
At-the-Rim FG16-2212-20
Midrange FG8-2217-30
2-Point FG24-4429-50
3-Point FG16-367-26
Free Throws16-1824-29
Fast Break Pts1812
2nd Chance Pts717
Points in Paint3652
Pts off Turnovers2719
Bench Points3135
Biggest Lead919

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
2 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kyrie Irving
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
34.9
26
68%
4
13
1
0
4
4
1
3
8-8
100%
6-12
50%
2-4
50%
Marcus Morris
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29
33.1
22
79%
4
0
0
0
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
29.5
7
58%
8
5
4
1
2
2
1
7
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
Marcus Smart
#36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 25
28.2
8
57%
1
1
4
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 33
23.3
18
90%
6
3
0
1
3
1
2
4
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
5-7
71%
Gordon Hayward
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 29
26.6
14
64%
3
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 22
19.3
6
100%
4
0
0
0
3
3
1
3
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Terry Rozier
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
18.7
7
58%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
Guerschon Yabusele
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
16.1
3
50%
4
0
0
2
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
Daniel Theis
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
5.7
1
25%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
4.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Brad Wanamaker
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
Jabari Bird
#26 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 24
Inactive - Personal
PJ Dozier
#50 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Aron Baynes
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Fourth Metacarpal Fracture
Robert Williams III
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Groin Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
62%
36
29
10
4
17
24
7
29
16-18
89%
24-44
55%
16-36
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.