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All Games Friday, December 28, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Spurs
39%109
99
10
Nuggets
61%113
102
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
103.19697.3
DEN logo DEN
107.49593.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.99
0%
102
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.98 49.0%
DEN
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
24
31
77%
DEN
20
35
57%
Midrange
SAS
8
31
26%
DEN
9
21
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
DEN
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
Free Throws
SAS
11
20
55%
DEN
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2455%12.0 / 22
D. DeRozan1550%7.5 / 15
B. Forbes1359%6.5 / 11
D. White1050%5.0 / 10
M. Belinelli975%4.5 / 6
R. Gay836%4.0 / 11
J. Poeltl750%3.5 / 7
D. Bertans660%3.0 / 5
P. Mills542%2.5 / 6
D. Cunningham250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray3155%15.5 / 28
N. Jokić2175%10.5 / 14
M. Beasley2188%10.5 / 12
T. Craig1063%5.0 / 8
M. Morris744%3.5 / 8
J. Hernangomez643%3.0 / 7
M. Plumlee338%1.5 / 4
T. Lyles315%1.5 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
86
+15
-10
101
DEN
74
+20
-21
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.98 49.0%
DEN
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
112.6
SAS 103.1
DEN 107.4 +4.2
Pace
98.6
98.0
SAS 97.3 +3.5
DEN 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.7
SAS 14.8 +0.6
DEN 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.7%
SAS 49.4%
DEN 51.8% +2.4%
TO %
11.9%
13.1%
SAS 9.3% +9.2%
DEN 18.5%
ORB %
20.9%
26.6%
SAS 25.0%
DEN 39.5% +14.5%
FTrt
23.7
23.2
SAS 22.5 +2.5
DEN 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
65.3%
SAS 57.5%
DEN 74.4% +16.9%
STL %
6.2%
7.9%
SAS 14.6% +9.3%
DEN 5.3%
BLK %
8.3%
8.2%
SAS 5.4%
DEN 6.5% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
54.5%
SAS 49.0%
DEN 54.3% +5.3%
Rim FG%
62.7%
59.6%
SAS 77.4% +20.3%
DEN 57.1%
Mid FG%
44.0%
43.3%
SAS 25.8%
DEN 42.9% +17.1%
3P %
39.2%
35.1%
SAS 29.6%
DEN 34.5% +4.9%
FT %
81.8%
75.5%
SAS 55.0%
DEN 82.4% +27.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
37.5%
SAS 34.8%
DEN 41.2% +6.3%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
27.7%
SAS 34.8%
DEN 24.7% +10.1%
3P Att. %
28.6%
34.8%
SAS 30.3%
DEN 34.1% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points99102
Rebounds3853
Assists2329
Steals145
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)21 (0)
Fouls1920
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)36 (1)
Field Goals40-8939-85
At-the-Rim FG24-3120-35
Midrange FG8-319-21
2-Point FG32-6229-56
3-Point FG8-2710-29
Free Throws11-2014-17
Fast Break Pts85
2nd Chance Pts1615
Points in Paint5448
Pts off Turnovers169
Bench Points2931
Biggest Lead218

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
16 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 33
38.0
24
55%
7
3
3
0
0
0
4
3
2-3
67%
11-22
50%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 29
37.6
15
50%
5
5
1
0
3
3
0
5
3-6
50%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
#11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25
33.0
13
59%
3
1
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-6
50%
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 24
28.1
10
50%
6
3
6
0
1
3
3
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
#22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 32
24.4
8
36%
2
3
1
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-5
0%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
19.9
5
42%
3
3
0
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
18.5
6
60%
3
1
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-5
40%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
17.9
7
50%
5
2
0
1
1
2
2
3
1-4
25%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
17.8
9
75%
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
3
2-3
67%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
4.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 38
DNP - Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Right Anterior Cruciate Ligament
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
49%
38
23
14
3
10
19
12
26
11-20
55%
32-62
52%
8-27
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.