for complete access.
All Games Friday, December 28, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
30
Cavaliers
19%99
94
11
Heat
81%112
118
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
97.99699.6
MIA logo MIA
125.59491.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.94
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0CavaliersJaron Blossomgame defensive rebound94
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot94
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound94
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0CavaliersJaron Blossomgame misses two point floating jump shot94
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Take) (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)94
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)94
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:05CavaliersCollin Sexton turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)94
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10HeatJustise Winslow makes two point step back jump shot94
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31CavaliersJaron Blossomgame misses three point jump shot94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02CavaliersCollin Sexton misses three point jump shot94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29CavaliersJordan Clarkson makes technical free throw 1 of 194
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29HeatHeat technical foul (Defensive three second)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00CavaliersJordan Clarkson makes three point jump shot (Collin Sexton assists)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Take) (Collin Sexton draws the foul)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09CavaliersCollin Sexton defensive rebound90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26CavaliersJaron Blossomgame makes regular free throw 2 of 290
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26CavaliersJaron Blossomgame makes regular free throw 1 of 289
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jaron Blossomgame draws the foul)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52CavaliersCollin Sexton makes three point jump shot (Jalen Jones assists)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35CavaliersCedi Osman misses three point jump shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00CavaliersAlec Burks misses two point layup85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)85
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 5:30CavaliersCedi Osman makes two point reverse layup (Alec Burks assists)85
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 5:35CavaliersAlec Burks defensive rebound83
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 5:37HeatTyler Johnson misses two point floating jump shot83
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 5:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 5:51CavaliersAlec Burks misses two point jump shot83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 6:15HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)83
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 6:30CavaliersMatthew Dellavedova makes three point jump shot (Jordan Clarkson assists)83
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 6:48HeatTyler Johnson makes two point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)80
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 7:08CavaliersJordan Clarkson makes three point jump shot80
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 7:23HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)77
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 7:37CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes two point putback layup77
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 7:39CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound75
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 7:40CavaliersAlec Burks misses two point layup75
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 7:41CavaliersAlec Burks offensive rebound75
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 7:42CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot75
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 7:55HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 275
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 7:55HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 275
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 7:55CavaliersAlec Burks shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)75
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 7:58HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 7:59CavaliersCedi Osman misses two point floating jump shot75
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 8:14CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound75
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 8:18HeatJosh Richardson misses regular free throw 2 of 275
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 8:18HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 275
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 8:18CavaliersJalen Jones shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)75
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 8:21CavaliersJalen Jones turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)75
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 8:38HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)75
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 8:57CavaliersMatthew Dellavedova makes three point jump shot (Jordan Clarkson assists)75
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)72
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Jaron Blossomgame draws the foul)72
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 9:30HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound72
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 9:30CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. misses three point jump shot72
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 9:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Josh Richardson assists)72
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 9:52CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)72
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 10:09CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound72
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 10:10HeatJosh Richardson misses two point driving layup72
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 10:22HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound72
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 10:26CavaliersJaron Blossomgame misses three point jump shot72
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 10:31HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Jaron Blossomgame steals)72
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 10:47CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 272
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 10:47CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 271
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 10:47HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)71
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 10:56CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound71
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 10:57HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point putback layup71
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 11:01HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound71
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 11:02HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot71
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 11:22CavaliersJaron Blossomgame makes two point jump shot (Matthew Dellavedova assists)71
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 11:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)69
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.69
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound69
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. misses two point jump shot69
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound69
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot69
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound69
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 0:14.0CavaliersJalen Jones misses two point putback layup69
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 0:18.0CavaliersJalen Jones offensive rebound69
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. misses two point turnaround hook shot69
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Larry Nance Jr. steals)69
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound69
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0CavaliersMatthew Dellavedova misses three point jump shot69
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0CavaliersJordan Clarkson defensive rebound69
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot69
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 1:17CavaliersMatthew Dellavedova makes three point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)69
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 1:43HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)66
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 1:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q3 - 1:57CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot66
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 2:17HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup66
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 2:29CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 266
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 2:29CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 265
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 2:29HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)64
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 2:31CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound64
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 2:32CavaliersJaron Blossomgame misses two point hook shot64
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 2:38HeatTyler Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Jaron Blossomgame steals)64
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 2:50CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. turnover (offensive foul)64
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 2:50CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. offensive foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)64
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 2:56CavaliersAlec Burks defensive rebound64
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 2:58HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot64
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 3:12HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound64
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 3:13CavaliersJalen Jones misses three point jump shot64
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 3:32CavaliersAlec Burks defensive rebound64
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 3:34HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround hook shot64
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 3:47CavaliersCedi Osman turnover (traveling)64
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 4:03HeatRodney McGruder makes two point fadeaway jump shot64
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 4:19HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound64
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 4:20CavaliersHassan Whiteside blocks Alec Burks's two point driving layup64
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 4:28HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback layup64
4.3%
75
95.7%
Q3 - 4:35HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound64
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 4:35HeatJustise Winslow misses two point hook shot64
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 4:43HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound64
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 4:43CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. misses two point hook shot64
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q3 - 4:56HeatDwyane Wade makes two point putback layup64
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q3 - 4:58HeatDwyane Wade offensive rebound64
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 4:59HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot64
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 5:09CavaliersCavaliers turnover (shot clock violation)64
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q3 - 5:09CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound64
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 5:10CavaliersCedi Osman misses three point jump shot64
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 5:23HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)64
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 5:34HeatDwyane Wade makes two point turnaround jump shot64
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 5:57CavaliersCedi Osman makes two point floating jump shot (Collin Sexton assists)64
9.6%
69
90.4%
Q3 - 6:13CavaliersCedi Osman defensive rebound62
8.5%
69
91.5%
Q3 - 6:14HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 262
8.3%
69
91.7%
Q3 - 6:14HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 262
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q3 - 6:14CavaliersAlec Burks personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)62
8.2%
68
91.8%
Q3 - 6:28CavaliersCedi Osman makes three point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)62
8.4%
68
91.6%
Q3 - 6:35CavaliersJaron Blossomgame offensive rebound59
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 6:38CavaliersCedi Osman misses three point jump shot59
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 6:49CavaliersCedi Osman defensive rebound59
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 6:52HeatJosh Richardson misses two point floating jump shot59
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 7:00CavaliersCedi Osman personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)59
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 7:04HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound59
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 7:07CavaliersChanning Frye misses three point jump shot59
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q3 - 7:15CavaliersAlec Burks defensive rebound59
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 7:17HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup59
6.2%
68
93.8%
Q3 - 7:40CavaliersCedi Osman makes three point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)59
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 7:46CavaliersChanning Frye defensive rebound56
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 7:49HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point alley-oop layup56
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 7:55HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound56
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 8:00CavaliersCedi Osman misses two point jump shot56
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 8:18HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 256
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 8:18HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 256
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 8:18CavaliersChanning Frye shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)56
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 8:22HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound56
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 8:26CavaliersJosh Richardson blocks Jaron Blossomgame's two point layup56
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 8:49HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop dunk (Justise Winslow assists)56
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 8:54HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound56
5.6%
65
94.4%
Q3 - 8:56CavaliersCollin Sexton misses three point jump shot56
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 9:09HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)56
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 9:16HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound56
8.4%
62
91.6%
Q3 - 9:19CavaliersJaron Blossomgame misses three point jump shot56
8.7%
62
91.3%
Q3 - 9:26HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Cedi Osman draws the foul)56
9.7%
62
90.3%
Q3 - 9:45HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 256
9.7%
62
90.3%
Q3 - 9:45HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 1 of 256
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 9:45CavaliersChanning Frye shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)56
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 9:49HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound56
10.9%
60
89.1%
Q3 - 9:50CavaliersDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Jaron Blossomgame's two point driving layup56
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q3 - 9:57CavaliersJaron Blossomgame defensive rebound56
12.5%
60
87.5%
Q3 - 9:57HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot56
12.0%
60
88.0%
Q3 - 10:04CavaliersAlec Burks makes two point reverse layup56
10.7%
60
89.3%
Q3 - 10:27HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup54
9.6%
60
90.4%
Q3 - 10:47CavaliersAlec Burks makes two point driving layup54
10.7%
58
89.3%
Q3 - 10:59CavaliersChanning Frye defensive rebound52
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q3 - 11:01HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 152
9.3%
58
90.7%
Q3 - 11:01CavaliersCedi Osman shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)52
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q3 - 11:02HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound52
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q3 - 11:05CavaliersCollin Sexton misses two point jump shot52
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 11:08CavaliersJaron Blossomgame offensive rebound52
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q3 - 11:13CavaliersCedi Osman misses two point turnaround hook shot52
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 11:24CavaliersChanning Frye defensive rebound52
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q3 - 11:26HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot52
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q3 - 11:36HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound52
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q3 - 11:39CavaliersChanning Frye misses three point jump shot52
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.52
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound52
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0CavaliersCollin Sexton misses three point jump shot52
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot52
11.9%
56
88.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0CavaliersCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 2 of 252
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0CavaliersCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 1 of 251
13.6%
54
86.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)50
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0CavaliersCollin Sexton defensive rebound50
11.9%
54
88.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot50
11.6%
54
88.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0CavaliersAlec Burks makes two point layup (Jordan Clarkson assists)50
10.9%
54
89.1%
Q2 - 1:06CavaliersJordan Clarkson defensive rebound48
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 1:10HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot48
9.3%
54
90.7%
Q2 - 1:24HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound48
8.9%
54
91.1%
Q2 - 1:27CavaliersCollin Sexton misses regular free throw 2 of 248
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q2 - 1:27CavaliersCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 1 of 248
9.8%
54
90.2%
Q2 - 1:27HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)47
9.7%
54
90.3%
Q2 - 1:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Justise Winslow assists)47
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q2 - 1:54CavaliersJordan Clarkson turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)47
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q2 - 2:11HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup (Rodney McGruder assists)47
11.0%
52
89.0%
Q2 - 2:20HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound47
12.3%
50
87.7%
Q2 - 2:24HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot47
13.2%
50
86.8%
Q2 - 2:38CavaliersAlec Burks turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
12.3%
50
87.7%
Q2 - 2:53CavaliersCedi Osman defensive rebound47
13.7%
50
86.3%
Q2 - 2:57HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot47
13.2%
50
86.8%
Q2 - 3:01CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)47
12.1%
50
87.9%
Q2 - 3:02HeatHeat offensive rebound47
12.1%
50
87.9%
Q2 - 3:03HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot47
13.1%
50
86.9%
Q2 - 3:17CavaliersJordan Clarkson makes two point layup (Larry Nance Jr. assists)47
12.1%
50
87.9%
Q2 - 3:38HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup45
11.1%
50
88.9%
Q2 - 3:59CavaliersAlec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 245
12.1%
48
87.9%
Q2 - 3:59CavaliersAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 244
11.9%
48
88.1%
Q2 - 3:59HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)43
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 4:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Justise Winslow assists)43
10.9%
48
89.1%
Q2 - 4:23HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound43
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 4:26CavaliersCollin Sexton misses two point jump shot43
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 4:40HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Jones steals)43
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q2 - 4:41HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound43
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 4:41CavaliersJalen Jones misses two point floating jump shot43
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 4:48HeatJustise Winslow makes two point floating jump shot43
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q2 - 5:03CavaliersAlec Burks makes two point finger roll layup43
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 5:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Justise Winslow assists)41
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 5:35CavaliersJalen Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 241
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 5:35CavaliersJalen Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 240
14.0%
42
86.0%
Q2 - 5:35HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Jalen Jones draws the foul)39
13.6%
42
86.4%
Q2 - 5:36CavaliersJalen Jones offensive rebound39
13.2%
42
86.8%
Q2 - 5:37CavaliersCedi Osman misses three point jump shot39
12.2%
42
87.8%
Q2 - 5:58HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point dunk (Tyler Johnson assists)39
13.2%
42
86.8%
Q2 - 6:06CavaliersAlec Burks personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)39
14.2%
40
85.8%
Q2 - 6:06HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound39
14.2%
40
85.8%
Q2 - 6:07HeatRodney McGruder misses two point step back jump shot39
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 6:24HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound39
14.2%
40
85.8%
Q2 - 6:28CavaliersCollin Sexton misses two point jump shot39
14.7%
40
85.3%
Q2 - 6:37HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)39
15.9%
40
84.1%
Q2 - 6:43HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)39
15.9%
40
84.1%
Q2 - 6:58CavaliersCollin Sexton turnover (traveling)39
17.1%
38
82.9%
Q2 - 7:04CavaliersJaron Blossomgame defensive rebound39
18.6%
38
81.4%
Q2 - 7:07HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot39
18.1%
38
81.9%
Q2 - 7:13HeatTyler Johnson defensive rebound39
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 7:16CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot39
17.5%
38
82.5%
Q2 - 7:25HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)39
18.6%
38
81.4%
Q2 - 7:36HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 239
18.6%
38
81.4%
Q2 - 7:36HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 239
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q2 - 7:36CavaliersMatthew Dellavedova shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)39
19.5%
36
80.5%
Q2 - 7:36HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound39
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q2 - 7:37HeatJaron Blossomgame blocks Tyler Johnson's two point dunk39
21.4%
36
78.6%
Q2 - 7:40CavaliersMatthew Dellavedova turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)39
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q2 - 7:52HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot39
22.0%
36
78.0%
Q2 - 8:04CavaliersJaron Blossomgame makes three point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)39
23.6%
34
76.4%
Q2 - 8:10CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound36
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 8:13HeatTyler Johnson misses two point jump shot36
19.7%
34
80.3%
Q2 - 8:30CavaliersJordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 2 of 236
18.5%
34
81.5%
Q2 - 8:30CavaliersJordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 1 of 235
18.3%
34
81.7%
Q2 - 8:30HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)34
18.0%
34
82.0%
Q2 - 8:45HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)34
17.1%
34
82.9%
Q2 - 9:00CavaliersJalen Jones makes two point putback layup34
20.1%
31
79.9%
Q2 - 9:02CavaliersJalen Jones offensive rebound32
18.4%
31
81.6%
Q2 - 9:03CavaliersJalen Jones misses two point driving layup32
17.3%
31
82.7%
Q2 - 9:16CavaliersJaron Blossomgame defensive rebound32
18.4%
31
81.6%
Q2 - 9:19HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot32
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 9:31CavaliersJalen Jones personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)32
16.8%
31
83.2%
Q2 - 9:41CavaliersJordan Clarkson turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Johnson steals)32
16.8%
31
83.2%
Q2 - 9:44CavaliersJaron Blossomgame defensive rebound32
18.4%
31
81.6%
Q2 - 9:46HeatJosh Richardson misses two point driving layup32
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 10:08CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes two point dunk (Jordan Clarkson assists)32
16.8%
31
83.2%
Q2 - 10:13CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound30
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 10:18HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot30
15.2%
31
84.8%
Q2 - 10:30CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)30
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q2 - 10:36CavaliersJordan Clarkson offensive rebound30
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 10:39CavaliersMatthew Dellavedova misses three point jump shot30
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 10:44CavaliersJaron Blossomgame defensive rebound30
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 10:48HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot30
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 11:03HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound30
14.0%
31
86.0%
Q2 - 11:08CavaliersJalen Jones misses three point jump shot30
14.3%
31
85.7%
Q2 - 11:25HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup (Josh Richardson assists)30
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 11:39HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound30
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q2 - 11:43CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. misses two point hook shot30
16.9%
29
83.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q1 - 0:14.0CavaliersJordan Clarkson defensive rebound30
17.5%
29
82.5%
Q1 - 0:18.0HeatTyler Johnson misses three point jump shot30
17.1%
29
82.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0CavaliersJordan Clarkson makes two point jump shot (Matthew Dellavedova assists)30
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)28
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 128
16.4%
27
83.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0HeatTyler Johnson shooting foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)27
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q1 - 1:08HeatTyler Johnson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)25
13.8%
27
86.2%
Q1 - 1:25CavaliersMatthew Dellavedova turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 1:28CavaliersJaron Blossomgame defensive rebound25
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 1:34HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot25
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 1:36HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound25
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 1:40CavaliersTyler Johnson blocks Matthew Dellavedova's two point floating jump shot25
16.7%
24
83.3%
Q1 - 1:48CavaliersJalen Jones defensive rebound25
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 1:53HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot25
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 2:04CavaliersJordan Clarkson personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)25
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q1 - 2:12CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)25
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q1 - 2:12HeatHeat defensive rebound25
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q1 - 2:12CavaliersJordan Clarkson misses two point floating jump shot25
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q1 - 2:32CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound25
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 2:32HeatLarry Nance Jr. blocks Justise Winslow's two point putback layup25
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 2:33HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound25
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q1 - 2:36HeatDwyane Wade misses two point reverse layup25
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q1 - 2:58CavaliersJordan Clarkson makes three point step back jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)25
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q1 - 3:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Johnson assists)22
13.8%
24
86.2%
Q1 - 3:29CavaliersAlec Burks turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Johnson steals)22
14.7%
22
85.3%
Q1 - 3:33CavaliersJordan Clarkson defensive rebound22
16.1%
22
83.9%
Q1 - 3:38HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot22
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q1 - 3:50CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 222
14.7%
22
85.3%
Q1 - 3:50CavaliersLarry Nance Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 221
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q1 - 3:50HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)21
15.2%
22
84.8%
Q1 - 3:51HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Larry Nance Jr. steals)21
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 4:02CavaliersCollin Sexton makes two point jump shot21
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 4:22HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot19
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q1 - 4:50CavaliersJordan Clarkson makes two point floating jump shot (Alec Burks assists)19
13.5%
20
86.5%
Q1 - 5:00HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 2 of 217
12.6%
20
87.4%
Q1 - 5:00HeatRodney McGruder makes regular free throw 1 of 217
12.9%
19
87.1%
Q1 - 5:00CavaliersCollin Sexton shooting foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)17
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 5:10CavaliersCollin Sexton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)17
13.3%
18
86.7%
Q1 - 5:20HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point turnaround hook shot (Dwyane Wade assists)17
14.3%
18
85.7%
Q1 - 5:35CavaliersAlec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 217
15.3%
16
84.7%
Q1 - 5:35CavaliersAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 216
15.1%
16
84.9%
Q1 - 5:35HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)15
14.9%
16
85.1%
Q1 - 5:44CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound15
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 5:45CavaliersChanning Frye misses three point jump shot15
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 5:55HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback layup15
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 5:58HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound15
15.3%
14
84.7%
Q1 - 5:59HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot15
16.1%
14
83.9%
Q1 - 6:11HeatJosh Richardson makes technical free throw 1 of 115
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 6:11CavaliersCavaliers technical foul (Defensive three second)15
15.4%
13
84.6%
Q1 - 6:25CavaliersChanning Frye makes three point jump shot (Cedi Osman assists)15
16.2%
13
83.8%
Q1 - 6:40HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Take) (Alec Burks draws the foul)12
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 6:40CavaliersAlec Burks defensive rebound12
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 6:42HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup12
13.9%
13
86.1%
Q1 - 7:12CavaliersAlec Burks makes three point jump shot12
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 7:28HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)9
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 7:47CavaliersAlec Burks makes two point jump shot9
13.0%
10
87.0%
Q1 - 7:53HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Loose ball) (Cedi Osman draws the foul)7
12.2%
10
87.8%
Q1 - 8:00CavaliersCedi Osman defensive rebound7
12.2%
10
87.8%
Q1 - 8:04HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot7
11.8%
10
88.2%
Q1 - 8:08HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound7
11.2%
10
88.8%
Q1 - 8:12CavaliersCollin Sexton misses two point jump shot7
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 8:28HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point driving dunk7
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 8:50CavaliersChanning Frye makes three point jump shot (Collin Sexton assists)7
12.8%
8
87.2%
Q1 - 8:57HeatRodney McGruder personal foul (Loose ball) (Collin Sexton draws the foul)4
11.3%
8
88.7%
Q1 - 8:57CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound4
11.3%
8
88.7%
Q1 - 8:57CavaliersCollin Sexton misses two point driving layup4
10.8%
8
89.2%
Q1 - 9:00CavaliersJaron Blossomgame defensive rebound4
11.3%
8
88.7%
Q1 - 9:04HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot4
10.9%
8
89.1%
Q1 - 9:07HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound4
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 9:10CavaliersCedi Osman misses three point jump shot4
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 9:36HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)4
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 9:40HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound4
12.6%
5
87.4%
Q1 - 9:43HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot4
13.3%
5
86.7%
Q1 - 9:55CavaliersChanning Frye makes two point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)4
12.6%
5
87.4%
Q1 - 10:07CavaliersCedi Osman defensive rebound2
11.9%
5
88.1%
Q1 - 10:10HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point jump shot2
11.6%
5
88.4%
Q1 - 10:17HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound2
11.0%
5
89.0%
Q1 - 10:21CavaliersChanning Frye misses three point jump shot2
11.3%
5
88.7%
Q1 - 10:45HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)2
11.9%
5
88.1%
Q1 - 10:59HeatHeat defensive rebound2
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 11:00CavaliersHassan Whiteside blocks Jaron Blossomgame's two point driving layup2
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:12HeatJustise Winslow makes two point floating jump shot2
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 11:24CavaliersCedi Osman makes two point finger roll layup2
15.2%
0
84.8%
Q1 - 11:40HeatRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Cedi Osman steals)0
14.2%
0
85.8%
Q1 - 12:00Channing Frye vs. Hassan Whiteside (Justise Winslow gains possession)0
13.4%
0
86.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
12
20
60%
MIA
24
32
75%
Midrange
CLE
6
24
25%
MIA
14
28
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
13
19.5
37
35%
53%
MIA
10
15.0
31
32%
48%
Free Throws
CLE
19
22
86%
MIA
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Clarkson1875%9.0 / 12
A. Burks1771%8.5 / 12
C. Osman1246%6.0 / 13
L. Nance1150%5.5 / 11
M. Dellavedova975%4.5 / 6
C. Sexton833%4.0 / 12
C. Frye857%4.0 / 7
J. Blossomgame732%3.5 / 11
J. Jones429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow2455%12.0 / 22
B. Adebayo18100%9.0 / 9
J. Richardson1650%8.0 / 16
R. McGruder1673%8.0 / 11
H. Whiteside1260%6.0 / 10
T. Johnson1150%5.5 / 11
D. Wade1050%5.0 / 10
K. Olynyk964%4.5 / 7
D. Jones2100%1.0 / 1
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
82
+14
-14
96
MIA
87
+11
-7
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.4
107.5
CLE 97.9 +27.6
MIA 125.5
Pace
96.9
98.1
CLE 99.6 +7.8
MIA 91.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.0
CLE 14.5 +1.2
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
51.5%
CLE 46.3%
MIA 58.2% +11.9%
TO %
13.0%
14.3%
CLE 14.2%
MIA 6.7% +7.5%
ORB %
23.7%
24.8%
CLE 20.5%
MIA 23.3% +2.8%
FTrt
23.6
24.7
CLE 27.2 +9.6
MIA 17.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.2%
61.2%
CLE 67.7% +7.3%
MIA 60.4%
STL %
6.7%
7.8%
CLE 6.3%
MIA 8.5% +2.2%
BLK %
4.3%
10.2%
CLE 3.3%
MIA 11.4% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
52.9%
CLE 49.0%
MIA 60.2% +11.2%
Rim FG%
57.5%
60.8%
CLE 60.0%
MIA 75.0% +15.0%
Mid FG%
39.5%
36.8%
CLE 25.0%
MIA 50.0% +25.0%
3P %
35.5%
34.9%
CLE 35.1% +2.8%
MIA 32.3%
FT %
79.2%
69.5%
CLE 86.4% +11.4%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
37.3%
CLE 24.7%
MIA 35.2% +10.5%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
25.9%
CLE 29.6% +1.1%
MIA 30.8%
3P Att. %
33.2%
36.8%
CLE 45.7% +11.6%
MIA 34.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9694
Possession Minutes23.124.6
Points94118
Rebounds4245
Assists2129
Steals68
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)7 (0)
Fouls1521
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals31-8148-91
At-the-Rim FG12-2024-32
Midrange FG6-2414-28
2-Point FG18-4438-60
3-Point FG13-3710-31
Free Throws19-2212-16
Fast Break Pts015
2nd Chance Pts1617
Points in Paint2860
Pts off Turnovers822
Bench Points4250
Biggest Lead524

BOXSCORE

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30 Cleveland Cavaliers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jaron Blossomgame
#4 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 25
32.6
7
32%
10
0
2
1
0
0
2
8
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
1-4
25%
Alec Burks
#10 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 27
29.5
17
71%
6
5
0
0
2
3
1
5
4-4
100%
5-9
56%
1-1
100%
Collin Sexton
#2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20
28.6
8
33%
2
3
0
0
3
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
1-4
25%
Cedi Osman
#16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24
28.6
12
46%
5
1
1
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-7
29%
Channing Frye
#9 · C · 6'11" 255 · 36
18.3
8
57%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
Jordan Clarkson
#8 · SG · 6'3" 194 · 27
31.2
18
75%
5
4
0
0
2
1
1
4
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
Larry Nance Jr.
#22 · SF · 6'8" 245 · 26
29.2
11
50%
7
4
2
1
3
3
2
5
5-7
71%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
Jalen Jones
#21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
22.6
4
29%
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
#18 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 28
19.4
9
75%
0
3
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
Ante Zizic
#41 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22
DNP - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Soreness
Rodney Hood
#1 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26
DNP - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles Tendon Soreness
Tristan Thompson
#13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Sprain
Kevin Love
#0 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Surgery
John Henson
#31 · C · 6'11" 229 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Wrist Surgery
JR Smith
#5 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 33
Inactive - Personal
David Nwaba
#12 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
49%
42
21
6
2
14
15
9
33
19-22
86%
18-44
41%
13-37
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.