FinalWin Prob.pScore
2033%103
88
967%109
125
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
88.010094.4
IND logo IND
126.399105.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETIND
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.88
0%
125
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.91 45.4%
IND
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
16
32
50%
IND
31
42
74%
Midrange
DET
9
23
39%
IND
17
27
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
9
13.5
36
25%
38%
IND
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
DET
11
12
92%
IND
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin1869%9.0 / 13
L. Kennard1488%7.0 / 8
R. Bullock1365%6.5 / 10
A. Drummond1260%6.0 / 10
R. Jackson836%4.0 / 11
B. Brown627%3.0 / 11
Z. Pachulia675%3.0 / 4
J. Leuer563%2.5 / 4
S. Johnson422%2.0 / 9
J. Calderon250%1.0 / 2
L. Galloway0-0.0 / 6
K. Thomas0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Collison19119%9.5 / 8
D. Sabonis1979%9.5 / 12
M. Turner1785%8.5 / 10
T. Young1765%8.5 / 13
B. Bogdanovic1260%6.0 / 10
D. McDermott1286%6.0 / 7
T. Evans1056%5.0 / 9
V. Oladipo732%3.5 / 11
A. Holiday5125%2.5 / 2
K. O'Quinn467%2.0 / 3
T. Leaf3150%1.5 / 1
C. Joseph0-0.0 / 1
D. Reed0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
78
+19
-22
97
IND
86
+10
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.91 45.4%
IND
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
109.8
DET 88.0 +38.3
IND 126.3
Pace
97.3
98.2
DET 94.4
IND 105.2 +10.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
14.6
DET 15.3
IND 13.7 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
52.9%
DET 42.3%
IND 63.1% +20.8%
TO %
13.2%
13.5%
DET 18.6%
IND 11.8% +6.8%
ORB %
24.9%
21.9%
DET 30.8% +10.8%
IND 20.0%
FTrt
26.1
24.2
DET 13.2
IND 22.7 +9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
62.8%
DET 73.5% +11.2%
IND 62.3%
STL %
7.1%
8.9%
DET 7.0%
IND 11.1% +4.1%
BLK %
7.1%
9.2%
DET 8.7%
IND 9.1% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
54.8%
DET 45.4%
IND 64.4% +19.0%
Rim FG%
57.5%
60.4%
DET 50.0%
IND 73.8% +23.8%
Mid FG%
38.4%
41.1%
DET 39.1%
IND 63.0% +23.9%
3P %
34.8%
37.4%
DET 25.0%
IND 26.3% +1.3%
FT %
74.7%
75.1%
DET 91.7% +21.7%
IND 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
38.7%
DET 35.2%
IND 47.7% +12.6%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
32.2%
DET 25.3% +5.4%
IND 30.7%
3P Att. %
39.4%
29.1%
DET 39.6% +18.0%
IND 21.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETIND
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points88125
Rebounds4443
Assists2533
Steals711
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2217
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)36 (2)
Field Goals34-9153-88
At-the-Rim FG16-3231-42
Midrange FG9-2317-27
2-Point FG25-5548-69
3-Point FG9-365-19
Free Throws11-1214-20
Fast Break Pts916
2nd Chance Pts176
Points in Paint4068
Pts off Turnovers1030
Bench Points3153
Biggest Lead037

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
31.7
18
69%
7
5
0
0
7
3
1
6
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
3-7
43%
#25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28
26.8
13
65%
3
0
1
1
4
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 25
25.6
12
60%
12
0
1
3
3
3
6
6
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
25.2
8
36%
4
6
0
0
2
2
1
3
3-3
100%
1-6
17%
1-5
20%
#6 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 22
20.6
6
27%
2
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-3
0%
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
22.8
2
50%
2
7
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23
21.2
14
88%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
20.6
0
0%
1
1
2
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-4
0%
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
17.9
6
75%
6
1
0
0
3
4
4
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#7 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 23
16.3
4
22%
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-3
0%
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
6.7
5
63%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#8 · PF · 6'11" 245 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#22 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Adductor Tear
#12 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#18 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
45%
44
25
7
6
22
22
16
28
11-12
92%
25-55
45%
9-36
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.