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All Games Tuesday, December 25, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Blazers
30%104
96
2
Jazz
70%112
117
ORTG#PossPace
POR logo POR
96.0100107.3
UTA logo UTA
115.810194.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPORUTA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.96
0%
117
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR
0.94 47.1%
UTA
1.22 60.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
POR
15
33
45%
UTA
23
32
72%
Midrange
POR
11
33
33%
UTA
10
22
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
POR
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
UTA
13
19.5
29
45%
67%
Free Throws
POR
17
26
65%
UTA
12
23
52%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Lillard2059%10.0 / 17
E. Turner1267%6.0 / 9
C. McCollum1134%5.5 / 16
A. Aminu1179%5.5 / 7
Z. Collins1071%5.0 / 7
S. Curry8100%4.0 / 4
J. Nurkić735%3.5 / 10
M. Leonard750%3.5 / 7
M. Harkless630%3.0 / 10
W. Baldwin IV4200%2.0 / 1
N. Stauskas0-0.0 / 3
J. Layman0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell1948%9.5 / 20
R. Gobert1869%9.0 / 13
J. Ingles1583%7.5 / 9
D. Exum1594%7.5 / 8
R. Rubio1458%7.0 / 12
J. Crowder1250%6.0 / 12
K. Korver10100%5.0 / 5
D. Favors758%3.5 / 6
R. Neto3150%1.5 / 1
R. O'Neale2-0.0 / 0
T. Sefolosha2100%1.0 / 1
G. Niang0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

POR
88
+14
-12
102
UTA
84
+13
-17
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR
0.94 47.1%
UTA
1.22 60.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
110.8
POR 96.0 +19.8
UTA 115.8
Pace
99.5
100.5
POR 107.3 +12.7
UTA 94.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.6
POR 13.4 +1.8
UTA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
53.8%
POR 44.4%
UTA 63.3% +18.9%
TO %
13.2%
14.6%
POR 10.7% +4.7%
UTA 15.4%
ORB %
26.6%
22.9%
POR 21.6%
UTA 22.5% +0.9%
FTrt
25.8
29.5
POR 29.2 +1.5
UTA 27.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
64.4%
POR 57.1% +13.6%
UTA 43.5%
STL %
6.6%
8.0%
POR 7.0% +0.1%
UTA 6.9%
BLK %
8.3%
9.7%
POR 5.6%
UTA 15.2% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.6%
55.9%
POR 47.1%
UTA 60.9% +13.8%
Rim FG%
59.0%
62.1%
POR 45.5%
UTA 71.9% +26.4%
Mid FG%
42.5%
39.1%
POR 33.3%
UTA 45.5% +12.2%
3P %
35.9%
35.6%
POR 39.1%
UTA 44.8% +5.7%
FT %
81.4%
73.6%
POR 65.4% +13.2%
UTA 52.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
39.5%
POR 37.1%
UTA 38.6% +1.5%
Mid Att. %
27.0%
21.1%
POR 37.1%
UTA 26.5% +10.6%
3P Att. %
33.9%
39.4%
POR 25.8%
UTA 34.9% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPORUTA
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points96117
Rebounds4249
Assists2020
Steals77
Blocks310
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)17 (0)
Fouls2019
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)40 (3)
Field Goals35-8946-83
At-the-Rim FG15-3323-32
Midrange FG11-3310-22
2-Point FG26-6633-54
3-Point FG9-2313-29
Free Throws17-2612-23
Fast Break Pts108
2nd Chance Pts1516
Points in Paint4658
Pts off Turnovers1414
Bench Points4144
Biggest Lead223

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 Portland Trail Blazers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Damian Lillard
#0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 28
34.3
20
59%
5
4
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
7-16
44%
2-5
40%
CJ McCollum
#3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27
33.7
11
34%
3
3
1
1
4
2
1
2
2-4
50%
3-11
27%
1-3
33%
Al-Farouq Aminu
#8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28
32.8
11
79%
7
2
3
0
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
Jusuf Nurkic
#27 · C · 7'0" 290 · 24
25.9
7
35%
10
2
1
1
1
5
2
8
1-2
50%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
#4 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 26
24.7
6
30%
4
0
1
0
0
3
3
1
2-4
50%
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
Meyers Leonard
#11 · PF · 7'1" 255 · 27
19.5
7
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
Evan Turner
#1 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 30
19.3
12
67%
3
3
0
0
2
0
0
3
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
Zach Collins
#33 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 21
15.2
10
71%
3
2
0
0
2
2
1
2
2-4
50%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
Seth Curry
#31 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 28
14.6
8
100%
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
Nik Stauskas
#6 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25
12.0
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
Jake Layman
#10 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 25
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Caleb Swanigan
#50 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Wade Baldwin IV
#2 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 23
2.7
4
200%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Gary Trent Jr.
#9 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 20
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Anfernee Simons
#24 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 20
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
47%
42
20
7
3
12
20
11
31
17-26
65%
26-66
39%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.