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All Games Sunday, December 23, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Mavericks
43%112
118
20
Blazers
57%114
121
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
105.4112105.4
POR logo POR
108.011297.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BlazersMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

BlazersMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALPOR
OT1 - End of 1st OT.118
0%
121
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.00 50.0%
POR
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
23
46
50%
POR
29
42
69%
Midrange
DAL
8
23
35%
POR
9
24
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
POR
11
16.5
38
29%
43%
Free Throws
DAL
20
28
71%
POR
12
17
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Barnes2771%13.5 / 19
L. Dončić2348%11.5 / 24
D. Jordan1478%7.0 / 9
D. Powell1458%7.0 / 12
J. Brunson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Barea938%4.5 / 12
W. Matthews833%4.0 / 12
D. Finney-Smith563%2.5 / 4
M. Kleber550%2.5 / 5
D. Harris217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Lillard3372%16.5 / 23
C. McCollum2258%11.0 / 19
M. Harkless1372%6.5 / 9
M. Leonard1372%6.5 / 9
S. Curry1286%6.0 / 7
J. Nurkić1056%5.0 / 9
A. Aminu945%4.5 / 10
Z. Collins550%2.5 / 5
E. Turner211%1.0 / 9
N. Stauskas250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
103
+15
-9
118
POR
103
+13
-9
116
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.00 50.0%
POR
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
114.2
DAL 105.4
POR 108.0 +2.7
Pace
99.1
99.5
DAL 105.4 +7.7
POR 97.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.9
DAL 13.7 +1.1
POR 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
52.8%
DAL 47.6%
POR 52.4% +4.8%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
DAL 8.0% +0.2%
POR 8.2%
ORB %
22.6%
26.6%
DAL 14.8% +0.2%
POR 14.6%
FTrt
29.1
25.8
DAL 27.2 +10.9
POR 16.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
54.4%
DAL 51.2%
POR 59.2% +8.0%
STL %
6.5%
6.6%
DAL 0.9%
POR 4.5% +3.6%
BLK %
7.6%
8.3%
DAL 3.0%
POR 8.7% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
55.6%
DAL 50.0%
POR 52.2% +2.2%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.0%
DAL 50.0%
POR 69.0% +19.0%
Mid FG%
39.0%
42.5%
DAL 34.8%
POR 37.5% +2.7%
3P %
34.0%
35.9%
DAL 35.3% +6.4%
POR 28.9%
FT %
74.2%
81.4%
DAL 71.4% +0.8%
POR 70.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
39.1%
DAL 44.7% +4.3%
POR 40.4%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
27.0%
DAL 22.3% +0.7%
POR 23.1%
3P Att. %
42.2%
33.9%
DAL 33.0%
POR 36.5% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALPOR
Possessions112112
Possession Minutes25.527.5
Points118121
Rebounds4953
Assists2229
Steals15
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)9 (1)
Fouls2026
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (7)7 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (3)46 (3)
Field Goals43-10349-104
At-the-Rim FG23-4629-42
Midrange FG8-239-24
2-Point FG31-6938-66
3-Point FG12-3411-38
Free Throws20-2812-17
Fast Break Pts1519
2nd Chance Pts138
Points in Paint5260
Pts off Turnovers717
Bench Points3534
Biggest Lead714

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
11 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 27
35.4
27
71%
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0
0-1
0%
6-12
50%
5-8
63%
Luka Doncic
#77 · PG · 6'6" 230 · 20
35.4
23
48%
11
6
0
0
1
0
2
9
7-9
78%
5-14
36%
2-7
29%
Wesley Matthews
#23 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 32
34.8
8
33%
4
3
0
0
2
4
0
4
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
2-7
29%
DeAndre Jordan
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
34.4
14
78%
10
1
0
0
1
1
3
7
2-3
67%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
Jalen Brunson
#13 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 22
32.8
11
61%
6
3
1
0
2
3
0
6
0-2
0%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 34
20.3
9
38%
1
8
0
0
1
1
0
1
5-7
71%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
18.7
14
58%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
4-4
100%
5-8
63%
0-3
0%
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
18.2
2
17%
5
1
0
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 26
17.6
5
63%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
17.6
5
50%
7
0
0
2
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 41
DNP - Injury/Illness | return from injury management
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | two way
Dennis Smith Jr.
#1 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right wrist sprain
Ray Spalding
#26 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | assignment
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | two way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
118
50%
49
22
1
2
9
20
8
41
20-28
71%
31-69
45%
12-34
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.