FinalWin Prob.pScore
2924%107
98
1676%117
95
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
98.0100104.7
DET logo DET
95.010095.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.98
100%
95
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.92 46.2%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
21
42
50%
DET
18
32
56%
Midrange
ATL
9
26
35%
DET
6
22
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
DET
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
Free Throws
ATL
20
25
80%
DET
17
27
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter1875%9.0 / 12
A. Len1544%7.5 / 17
K. Bazemore1343%6.5 / 15
T. Young1235%6.0 / 17
D. Dedmon1169%5.5 / 8
J. Lin1050%5.0 / 10
K. Huerter840%4.0 / 10
J. Anderson7117%3.5 / 3
D. Bembry440%2.0 / 5
D. Hamilton0-0.0 / 1
A. Poythress0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Galloway1875%9.0 / 12
R. Jackson1667%8.0 / 12
B. Griffin1544%7.5 / 17
A. Drummond1343%6.5 / 15
B. Brown1071%5.0 / 7
R. Bullock857%4.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia770%3.5 / 5
S. Johnson425%2.0 / 8
L. Kennard233%1.0 / 3
J. Calderon250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
84
+21
-16
105
DET
84
+12
-16
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.92 46.2%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
109.0
ATL 98.0 +3.0
DET 95.0
Pace
103.9
97.3
ATL 104.7 +9.0
DET 95.7
Avg. Poss. Time
13.6
15.2
ATL 13.8 +1.3
DET 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.2%
50.8%
ATL 42.9%
DET 47.0% +4.1%
TO %
15.8%
13.2%
ATL 13.6% +0.8%
DET 14.4%
ORB %
24.8%
24.9%
ATL 29.4% +18.0%
DET 11.4%
FTrt
25.5
26.1
ATL 27.5
DET 32.5 +5.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
57.9%
ATL 66.7% +4.9%
DET 61.8%
STL %
7.8%
7.1%
ATL 9.0% +3.0%
DET 6.0%
BLK %
9.2%
7.1%
ATL 16.7% +3.5%
DET 13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.6%
53.0%
ATL 46.2%
DET 49.5% +3.3%
Rim FG%
59.0%
57.5%
ATL 50.0%
DET 56.3% +6.3%
Mid FG%
37.9%
38.4%
ATL 34.6% +7.3%
DET 27.3%
3P %
35.2%
34.8%
ATL 26.1%
DET 34.5% +8.4%
FT %
75.2%
74.7%
ATL 80.0% +17.0%
DET 63.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
36.7%
ATL 46.2% +7.6%
DET 38.6%
Mid Att. %
20.4%
23.9%
ATL 28.6%
DET 26.5% +2.1%
3P Att. %
40.3%
39.4%
ATL 25.3%
DET 34.9% +9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDET
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points9895
Rebounds5441
Assists2421
Steals96
Blocks99
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)16 (0)
Fouls2525
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (6)5 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (4)36 (0)
Field Goals36-9134-83
At-the-Rim FG21-4218-32
Midrange FG9-266-22
2-Point FG30-6824-54
3-Point FG6-2310-29
Free Throws20-2517-27
Fast Break Pts102
2nd Chance Pts1819
Points in Paint5240
Pts off Turnovers1710
Bench Points3941
Biggest Lead172

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 29
35.0
13
43%
4
1
2
3
1
3
0
4
4-4
100%
3-10
30%
1-3
33%
#25 · C · 7'1" 250 · 26
34.7
15
44%
17
1
1
3
4
5
8
9
1-2
50%
7-17
41%
0-1
0%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 198 · 20
34.4
8
40%
2
2
1
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
#11 · PG · 6'1" 164 · 20
31.0
12
35%
7
6
2
0
6
1
3
4
4-6
67%
4-11
36%
0-3
0%
#14 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 29
21.0
11
69%
5
3
1
1
1
6
0
5
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
#15 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 42
27.9
18
75%
7
2
0
0
1
3
1
6
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
3-9
33%
#95 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24
17.9
4
40%
3
2
1
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
#7 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
17.0
10
50%
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
6-6
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
#1 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 25
14.0
7
117%
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
#5 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 23
3.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25
3.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#2 · SG · 6'5" 183 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#6 · PF · 6'9" 253 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Soreness
#20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#18 · C · 6'11" 249 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Pain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
46%
54
24
9
9
16
25
15
39
20-25
80%
30-68
44%
6-23
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.