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All Games Saturday, December 22, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
21
Spurs
26%109
101
2
Rockets
74%118
108
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
107.49494.9
HOU logo HOU
114.99493.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.101
0%
108
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.06 53.2%
HOU
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
19
33
58%
HOU
15
31
48%
Midrange
SAS
13
31
42%
HOU
3
10
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
HOU
19
28.5
54
35%
53%
Free Throws
SAS
7
11
64%
HOU
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2856%14.0 / 25
L. Aldridge1850%9.0 / 18
R. Gay1359%6.5 / 11
B. Forbes1275%6.0 / 8
D. Bertans1179%5.5 / 7
J. Poeltl675%3.0 / 4
D. White542%2.5 / 6
P. Mills550%2.5 / 5
M. Belinelli325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3951%19.5 / 38
C. Capela2170%10.5 / 15
E. Gordon1845%9.0 / 20
G. Green1558%7.5 / 13
P. Tucker660%3.0 / 5
D. House450%2.0 / 4
G. Clark3150%1.5 / 1
Nene225%1.0 / 4
B. Knight0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
85
+8
-9
93
HOU
85
+21
-9
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.06 53.2%
HOU
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
115.4
SAS 107.4
HOU 114.9 +7.4
Pace
98.6
98.0
SAS 94.9 +1.7
HOU 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.8
SAS 15.2 +0.3
HOU 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
54.2%
SAS 53.4% +4.5%
HOU 48.9%
TO %
11.9%
12.8%
SAS 8.8%
HOU 7.9% +0.9%
ORB %
20.9%
22.8%
SAS 9.3%
HOU 32.8% +23.5%
FTrt
23.7
27.9
SAS 12.5
HOU 22.1 +9.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
54.1%
SAS 57.1%
HOU 59.5% +2.4%
STL %
6.2%
8.6%
SAS 3.2%
HOU 4.3% +1.1%
BLK %
8.3%
8.7%
SAS 22.0% +17.3%
HOU 4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
56.9%
SAS 53.2% +2.7%
HOU 50.5%
Rim FG%
62.7%
60.6%
SAS 57.6% +9.2%
HOU 48.4%
Mid FG%
44.0%
41.8%
SAS 41.9% +11.9%
HOU 30.0%
3P %
39.2%
35.6%
SAS 41.7% +6.5%
HOU 35.2%
FT %
81.8%
79.1%
SAS 63.6%
HOU 71.4% +7.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
33.9%
SAS 37.5% +4.9%
HOU 32.6%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
14.2%
SAS 35.2%
HOU 10.5% +24.7%
3P Att. %
28.6%
51.9%
SAS 27.3%
HOU 56.8% +29.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points101108
Rebounds4358
Assists2422
Steals34
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)9 (0)
Fouls1718
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)19 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)39 (0)
Field Goals42-8837-95
At-the-Rim FG19-3315-31
Midrange FG13-313-10
2-Point FG32-6418-41
3-Point FG10-2419-54
Free Throws7-1115-21
Fast Break Pts103
2nd Chance Pts726
Points in Paint5232
Pts off Turnovers1511
Bench Points2520
Biggest Lead717

BOXSCORE

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21 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
37.5
28
56%
7
8
1
2
1
2
1
6
4-5
80%
12-24
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
#22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 32
34.1
13
59%
8
5
0
0
1
2
0
8
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 33
31.4
18
50%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
9-18
50%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25
28.6
12
75%
5
1
0
0
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
Derrick White
#4 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 24
27.5
5
42%
5
5
1
3
3
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
23.1
11
79%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
20.6
3
25%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
20.5
5
50%
0
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
16.6
6
75%
4
1
0
2
1
0
1
3
0-2
0%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right ACL Tear
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 38
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Soreness
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
53%
43
24
3
9
9
17
4
39
7-11
64%
32-64
50%
10-24
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.