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All Games Saturday, December 22, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Nuggets
56%115
111
20
Clippers
44%113
132
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
109.910196.9
LAC logo LAC
129.4102106.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ClippersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ClippersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENLAC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
132
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.4%
LAC
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
37
51%
LAC
36
51
71%
Midrange
DEN
13
29
45%
LAC
7
21
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
9
13.5
31
29%
44%
LAC
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
Free Throws
DEN
20
25
80%
LAC
16
17
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić1963%9.5 / 15
J. Murray1850%9.0 / 18
M. Morris1575%7.5 / 10
T. Lyles1372%6.5 / 9
M. Beasley1139%5.5 / 14
M. Plumlee840%4.0 / 10
J. Hernangomez844%4.0 / 9
T. Welsh867%4.0 / 6
T. Craig650%3.0 / 6
B. Goodwin563%2.5 / 4
N. Young0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Harris2166%10.5 / 16
D. Gallinari2188%10.5 / 12
M. Harrell2091%10.0 / 11
S. Gilgeous-Alexander1478%7.0 / 9
P. Beverley12100%6.0 / 6
A. Bradley975%4.5 / 6
M. Scott975%4.5 / 6
T. Wallace844%4.0 / 9
L. Williams660%3.0 / 5
B. Marjanovic650%3.0 / 6
M. Gortat440%2.0 / 5
S. Thornwell2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
92
+15
-9
107
LAC
87
+15
-15
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.4%
LAC
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
112.1
DEN 109.9
LAC 129.4 +19.5
Pace
98.0
102.0
DEN 96.9
LAC 106.5 +9.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
13.9
DEN 14.9
LAC 13.5 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
52.9%
DEN 46.9%
LAC 63.0% +16.1%
TO %
13.1%
13.4%
DEN 7.7% +7.6%
LAC 15.3%
ORB %
26.6%
21.9%
DEN 23.2%
LAC 35.1% +11.9%
FTrt
23.2
32.6
DEN 25.8 +7.3
LAC 18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
58.2%
DEN 51.2%
LAC 52.8% +1.6%
STL %
7.9%
6.6%
DEN 9.9% +3.0%
LAC 6.9%
BLK %
8.2%
7.7%
DEN 6.9%
LAC 7.6% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
56.2%
DEN 51.4%
LAC 64.1% +12.7%
Rim FG%
59.6%
58.0%
DEN 51.4%
LAC 70.6% +19.2%
Mid FG%
43.3%
41.2%
DEN 44.8% +11.5%
LAC 33.3%
3P %
35.1%
38.7%
DEN 29.0%
LAC 50.0% +21.0%
FT %
75.5%
79.2%
DEN 80.0%
LAC 94.1% +14.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
39.9%
DEN 38.1%
LAC 55.4% +17.3%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
30.6%
DEN 29.9%
LAC 22.8% +7.1%
3P Att. %
34.8%
29.5%
DEN 32.0% +10.2%
LAC 21.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.
Game TotalsDENLAC
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points111132
Rebounds3756
Assists2128
Steals107
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)15 (3)
Fouls1623
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (0)43 (1)
Field Goals41-9753-92
At-the-Rim FG19-3736-51
Midrange FG13-297-21
2-Point FG32-6643-72
3-Point FG9-3110-20
Free Throws20-2516-17
Fast Break Pts1018
2nd Chance Pts1827
Points in Paint5080
Pts off Turnovers1914
Bench Points5263
Biggest Lead127

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
8 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
30.9
18
50%
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
3
5-5
100%
5-10
50%
1-6
17%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · C · 6'10" 254 · 29
30.0
8
40%
9
4
2
0
3
4
2
7
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
#3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
26.1
6
50%
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
23.3
8
44%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · PF · 6'11" 284 · 24
20.6
19
63%
6
3
0
1
4
2
2
4
3-3
100%
5-13
38%
2-2
100%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
28.1
11
39%
4
1
5
0
0
3
2
2
1-1
100%
5-11
45%
0-3
0%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 23
24.8
15
75%
1
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
17.7
13
72%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
Nick Young
#34 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 34
13.1
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
9.7
8
67%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
9.3
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Brandon Goodwin
#6 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 23
6.4
5
63%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low back surgery
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right hip
Will Barton
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right hip and core muscle surgery
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right hip surgery
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right foot surgery
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right big toe fracture
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
51%
37
21
10
5
9
16
13
24
20-25
80%
32-66
48%
9-31
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.