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All Games Friday, December 21, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
12
Timberwolves
48%113
98
21
Spurs
52%114
124
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo MIN
100.098104.1
SAS logo SAS
125.39993.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.98
0%
124
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.27 63.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
13
22
59%
SAS
6
13
46%
Midrange
MIN
14
40
35%
SAS
21
41
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
SAS
19
28.5
33
58%
86%
Free Throws
MIN
26
31
84%
SAS
13
18
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Wiggins1550%7.5 / 15
R. Covington1365%6.5 / 10
K. Towns1341%6.5 / 16
T. Jones1063%5.0 / 8
T. Gibson990%4.5 / 5
J. Okogie844%4.0 / 9
D. Šarić758%3.5 / 6
J. Bayless758%3.5 / 6
G. Dieng638%3.0 / 8
J. Nunnally6300%3.0 / 1
D. Rose422%2.0 / 9
A. Tolliver0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Forbes2292%11.0 / 12
M. Belinelli1785%8.5 / 10
D. Bertans1575%7.5 / 10
R. Gay1488%7.0 / 8
D. DeRozan1255%6.0 / 11
J. Poeltl1267%6.0 / 9
L. Aldridge1050%5.0 / 10
D. White758%3.5 / 6
P. Mills643%3.0 / 7
Q. Pondexter5125%2.5 / 2
D. Cunningham350%1.5 / 3
D. Eubanks150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
86
+11
-12
97
SAS
83
+13
-16
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.27 63.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
112.6
MIN 100.0
SAS 125.3 +25.3
Pace
100.2
98.6
MIN 104.1 +10.5
SAS 93.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.0
MIN 13.8 +1.6
SAS 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.1%
53.4%
MIN 43.4%
SAS 63.8% +20.4%
TO %
12.5%
11.9%
MIN 11.0% +3.4%
SAS 14.4%
ORB %
24.7%
20.9%
MIN 18.8%
SAS 26.8% +8.0%
FTrt
26.6
23.7
MIN 37.3 +16.6
SAS 20.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
58.0%
MIN 57.6%
SAS 78.3% +20.7%
STL %
8.3%
6.2%
MIN 11.2% +4.1%
SAS 7.1%
BLK %
8.9%
8.3%
MIN 9.3% +4.5%
SAS 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
56.0%
MIN 50.5%
SAS 63.3% +12.8%
Rim FG%
60.0%
62.7%
MIN 59.1% +12.9%
SAS 46.2%
Mid FG%
39.7%
44.0%
MIN 35.0%
SAS 51.2% +16.2%
3P %
35.1%
39.2%
MIN 28.6%
SAS 57.6% +29.0%
FT %
78.7%
81.8%
MIN 83.9% +11.7%
SAS 72.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
27.8%
MIN 26.5% +11.6%
SAS 14.9%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
43.7%
MIN 48.2%
SAS 47.1% +1.1%
3P Att. %
31.5%
28.6%
MIN 25.3%
SAS 37.9% +12.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsMINSAS
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points98124
Rebounds3950
Assists1936
Steals117
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)16 (0)
Fouls1922
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)39 (1)
Field Goals33-8346-87
At-the-Rim FG13-226-13
Midrange FG14-4021-41
2-Point FG27-6227-54
3-Point FG6-2119-33
Free Throws26-3113-18
Fast Break Pts1115
2nd Chance Pts139
Points in Paint4642
Pts off Turnovers2018
Bench Points4459
Biggest Lead130

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
12 Minnesota Timberwolves
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Robert Covington
#33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 28
30.7
13
65%
7
1
6
1
1
4
2
5
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
Andrew Wiggins
#22 · SG · 6'7" 197 · 24
29.3
15
50%
6
0
0
0
2
3
1
5
9-10
90%
3-8
38%
0-3
0%
Karl-Anthony Towns
#32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 23
28.9
13
41%
6
4
1
0
1
3
0
6
4-5
80%
3-10
30%
1-5
20%
Taj Gibson
#67 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 33
23.6
9
90%
7
1
0
2
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
#25 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 30
15.9
4
22%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-8
13%
0-0
-
Josh Okogie
#20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 20
26.0
8
44%
3
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
4-5
80%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
Tyus Jones
#1 · PG · 6'1" 196 · 23
25.8
10
63%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
Dario Saric
#36 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 25
20.1
7
58%
5
4
1
0
3
0
1
4
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
Gorgui Dieng
#5 · C · 6'11" 251 · 29
19.1
6
38%
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
#8 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
12.0
7
58%
0
3
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
#43 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 34
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
James Nunnally
#7 · SF · 6'7" 208 · 28
4.3
6
300%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
Luol Deng
#9 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 34
DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeff Teague
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left ankle inflammation
C.J. Williams
#12 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 29
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Jared Terrell
#3 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Keita Bates-Diop
#31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
51%
39
19
11
5
12
19
9
30
26-31
84%
27-62
44%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.